WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 128 FBS teams. We simulate thousands of games and use those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 128 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts.
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Florida State Seminoles | - | 81.0 | 31.9 | 18.6 |
| 2. | Oregon Ducks | - | 76.4 | 30.0 | 19.8 |
| 3. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 75.4 | 27.8 | 17.9 |
| 4. | Oklahoma Sooners | - | 74.4 | 29.0 | 19.6 |
| 5. | Auburn Tigers | +1 | 73.7 | 29.0 | 19.8 |
| 6. | Texas A&M Aggies | +6 | 73.5 | 30.5 | 21.7 |
| 7. | Baylor Bears | -2 | 73.0 | 29.4 | 20.8 |
| 8. | LSU Tigers | - | 72.5 | 26.8 | 18.5 |
| 9. | UCLA Bruins | +4 | 72.4 | 28.7 | 20.2 |
| 10. | Georgia Bulldogs | -3 | 72.1 | 27.9 | 19.8 |
| 11. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -2 | 71.2 | 27.2 | 19.6 |
| 12. | USC Trojans | +4 | 70.0 | 27.7 | 19.8 |
| 13. | Wisconsin Badgers | +1 | 69.6 | 25.9 | 18.6 |
| 14. | Ole Miss Rebels | +17 | 69.6 | 26.5 | 19.1 |
| 15. | Stanford Cardinal | -4 | 69.6 | 27.3 | 20.0 |
| 16. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -1 | 68.9 | 26.8 | 19.7 |
| 17. | Michigan State Spartans | -7 | 68.8 | 25.1 | 18.0 |
| 18. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +1 | 67.7 | 27.7 | 20.9 |
| 19. | Kansas State Wildcats | -2 | 67.3 | 26.5 | 20.4 |
| 20. | Clemson Tigers | -2 | 66.1 | 26.5 | 20.3 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +15 | 65.3 | 23.5 | 17.9 |
| 22. | Florida Gators | +6 | 65.1 | 24.1 | 18.4 |
| 23. | Duke Blue Devils | +7 | 65.1 | 27.1 | 21.4 |
| 24. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1 | 65.0 | 25.1 | 19.7 |
| 25. | BYU Cougars | -1 | 64.6 | 24.4 | 19.2 |
| 26. | Louisville Cardinals | -1 | 64.4 | 24.8 | 19.5 |
| 27. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | -6 | 64.3 | 25.3 | 19.5 |
| 28. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -8 | 64.0 | 29.1 | 23.7 |
| 29. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -7 | 62.4 | 25.6 | 20.6 |
| 30. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -3 | 62.4 | 25.4 | 20.4 |
| 31. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +9 | 62.2 | 26.9 | 22.6 |
| 32. | Boise State Broncos | -6 | 61.9 | 28.5 | 24.2 |
| 33. | Missouri Tigers | +4 | 61.7 | 24.8 | 20.2 |
| 34. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +9 | 60.7 | 23.7 | 19.9 |
| 35. | Arizona Wildcats | - | 60.4 | 25.4 | 21.7 |
| 36. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +9 | 59.8 | 27.4 | 24.3 |
| 37. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -5 | 59.7 | 25.6 | 21.6 |
| 38. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +3 | 59.3 | 25.3 | 22.0 |
| 39. | Pittsburgh Panthers | - | 59.0 | 24.7 | 21.7 |
| 40. | TCU Horned Frogs | +4 | 58.7 | 23.5 | 20.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -8 | 58.6 | 22.5 | 19.4 |
| 42. | Texas Longhorns | -13 | 58.6 | 24.5 | 21.7 |
| 43. | Washington Huskies | -5 | 58.0 | 24.1 | 20.8 |
| 44. | Tennessee Volunteers | -2 | 57.7 | 23.3 | 20.4 |
| 45. | UCF Knights | +3 | 57.6 | 25.2 | 22.7 |
| 46. | West Virginia Mountaineers | - | 57.0 | 25.1 | 22.5 |
| 47. | Michigan Wolverines | -13 | 56.8 | 22.9 | 20.3 |
| 48. | Maryland Terrapins | +1 | 54.2 | 22.9 | 21.6 |
| 49. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +1 | 54.1 | 23.2 | 21.6 |
| 50. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +3 | 54.0 | 23.8 | 22.4 |
| 51. | Bowling Green Falcons | +3 | 53.6 | 25.6 | 24.7 |
| 52. | Oregon State Beavers | -1 | 53.6 | 27.4 | 25.5 |
| 53. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +5 | 52.5 | 25.4 | 24.4 |
| 54. | Utah Utes | +6 | 52.2 | 23.3 | 22.7 |
| 55. | Navy Midshipmen | +7 | 51.7 | 25.0 | 24.5 |
| 56. | Utah State Aggies | -9 | 50.8 | 22.9 | 22.6 |
| 57. | East Carolina Pirates | +2 | 49.7 | 23.7 | 23.6 |
| 58. | Houston Cougars | -3 | 49.6 | 23.5 | 23.6 |
| 59. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -7 | 49.5 | 26.6 | 27.0 |
| 60. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +3 | 48.7 | 21.8 | 22.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Boston College Eagles | +3 | 48.4 | 22.4 | 22.9 |
| 62. | San Diego State Aztecs | +4 | 48.4 | 25.1 | 25.1 |
| 63. | Washington State Cougars | -6 | 48.3 | 26.2 | 26.7 |
| 64. | Indiana Hoosiers | +1 | 48.1 | 25.1 | 25.9 |
| 65. | Toledo Rockets | -4 | 47.9 | 24.3 | 25.4 |
| 66. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +18 | 47.8 | 24.6 | 25.3 |
| 67. | North Texas Mean Green | +3 | 47.7 | 22.2 | 23.6 |
| 68. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +20 | 47.1 | 22.2 | 23.5 |
| 69. | South Florida Bulls | +21 | 46.5 | 22.7 | 23.9 |
| 70. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +21 | 46.4 | 25.2 | 26.6 |
| 71. | Northwestern Wildcats | -3 | 46.4 | 20.8 | 22.4 |
| 72. | Ball State Cardinals | -5 | 46.4 | 25.1 | 26.2 |
| 73. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | - | 46.3 | 22.1 | 23.6 |
| 74. | South Alabama Jaguars | +3 | 46.2 | 22.9 | 24.3 |
| 75. | Syracuse Orange | +6 | 45.9 | 20.8 | 22.4 |
| 76. | Rice Owls | -7 | 45.9 | 22.9 | 24.1 |
| 77. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | -2 | 45.3 | 23.3 | 24.6 |
| 78. | California Golden Bears | -4 | 45.3 | 24.6 | 26.2 |
| 79. | UTSA Roadrunners | -7 | 45.3 | 24.0 | 25.6 |
| 80. | Virginia Cavaliers | -9 | 45.3 | 20.2 | 21.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Colorado State Rams | -5 | 45.1 | 24.8 | 26.6 |
| 82. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -3 | 45.1 | 24.1 | 25.9 |
| 83. | Kansas Jayhawks | - | 44.9 | 20.5 | 22.9 |
| 84. | Iowa State Cyclones | +12 | 44.3 | 21.7 | 23.7 |
| 85. | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | -29 | 44.3 | 23.9 | 25.9 |
| 86. | Memphis Tigers | +15 | 43.6 | 21.7 | 24.1 |
| 87. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -5 | 42.7 | 23.0 | 25.1 |
| 88. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -10 | 42.5 | 21.7 | 24.2 |
| 89. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -3 | 42.4 | 18.7 | 21.4 |
| 90. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +17 | 42.4 | 22.0 | 24.8 |
| 91. | Connecticut Huskies | -4 | 41.8 | 21.7 | 24.1 |
| 92. | Kentucky Wildcats | -12 | 41.6 | 20.7 | 23.6 |
| 93. | Akron Zips | +6 | 41.5 | 22.1 | 25.5 |
| 94. | Tulane Green Wave | +6 | 41.5 | 19.6 | 23.1 |
| 95. | Wyoming Cowboys | +2 | 41.2 | 23.7 | 27.0 |
| 96. | Texas State Bobcats | -7 | 41.0 | 22.2 | 25.5 |
| 97. | Ohio Bobcats | -12 | 40.4 | 22.0 | 25.8 |
| 98. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -4 | 39.8 | 22.5 | 25.8 |
| 99. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +12 | 39.6 | 22.3 | 25.8 |
| 100. | Air Force Falcons | -2 | 39.6 | 23.1 | 26.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Purdue Boilermakers | +1 | 39.1 | 21.9 | 26.0 |
| 102. | San Jose State Spartans | +1 | 39.1 | 23.9 | 28.1 |
| 103. | Temple Owls | -8 | 38.9 | 21.6 | 26.0 |
| 104. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +9 | 38.9 | 20.6 | 25.3 |
| 105. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +1 | 38.6 | 18.0 | 22.1 |
| 106. | Colorado Buffaloes | -13 | 38.0 | 21.4 | 25.9 |
| 107. | New Mexico Lobos | +1 | 37.8 | 24.1 | 28.7 |
| 108. | UNLV Rebels | -4 | 36.0 | 21.2 | 26.5 |
| 109. | Buffalo Bulls | -17 | 35.5 | 21.4 | 26.5 |
| 110. | Old Dominion Monarchs | +2 | 35.4 | 23.9 | 29.3 |
| 111. | Troy Trojans | +3 | 34.8 | 23.7 | 29.8 |
| 112. | UAB Blazers | -2 | 34.4 | 22.4 | 28.1 |
| 113. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -4 | 34.3 | 21.4 | 27.2 |
| 114. | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | +1 | 33.1 | 21.0 | 27.1 |
| 115. | Army Black Knights | +3 | 30.8 | 20.3 | 27.1 |
| 116. | Georgia Southern Eagles | +1 | 29.6 | 20.0 | 28.0 |
| 117. | UTEP Miners | -1 | 29.1 | 21.6 | 29.0 |
| 118. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +2 | 28.5 | 19.5 | 28.2 |
| 119. | SMU Mustangs | -14 | 27.7 | 19.2 | 27.4 |
| 120. | New Mexico State Aggies | +1 | 26.1 | 20.5 | 29.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Appalachian State Mountaineers | +1 | 25.6 | 19.4 | 28.9 |
| 122. | Georgia State Panthers | +2 | 25.6 | 19.4 | 28.7 |
| 123. | Western Michigan Broncos | -4 | 25.3 | 18.6 | 27.8 |
| 124. | Idaho Vandals | -1 | 25.1 | 19.0 | 28.9 |
| 125. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +1 | 21.3 | 16.3 | 27.7 |
| 126. | Massachusetts Minutemen | +1 | 20.8 | 16.9 | 28.3 |
| 127. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | -2 | 20.3 | 18.3 | 29.5 |
| 128. | FIU Golden Panthers | - | 12.1 | 13.8 | 29.8 |
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