Major League Baseball
$210 million just isn't what it used to be...
Major League Baseball

$210 million just isn't what it used to be...

Updated Aug. 1, 2022 4:06 p.m. ET

Yes, it’s the $210 million that everyone’s going to remember. No, it’s not a particularly meaningful number, unless you’re Max Scherzer’s ego, or his agent. Because it turns out that $210 million paid out over 14 years isn’t anything like $210 paid today, or even over seven years. An illustrative passage from Dave Cameron’s excellent explication:

You know what the crowd projected Scherzer to sign for this winter? $168 million over seven years. I guessed $175 million. Pretty much everyone else did too. The $210 million figure is going to grab headlines, but this is essentially the contract that we all thought Scherzer would get this winter; it’s just structured differently than we anticipated.

--snip--

In terms of guaranteed dollars, Scherzer got $55 million more than Lester did, which makes the gap between the two contracts seem enormous. When you factor in the payout structures, though, the value of the two contracts is actually only $10 million apart; the Nationals didn’t actually pay all that much more for Scherzer than the Cubs did for Lester.

Right, especially considering that Scherzer’s slightly younger and slightly better – based on past results, anyway – than Lester. Based on the market, it seems that Scherzer got exactly what he deserved oh, and based on performance, too. Jeff Sullivan computes Scherzer’s value over the next seven seasons as $170 million, which is almost exactly what his money would look like, if disbursed in equal payments over seven seasons.

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