National Hockey League
NHL Mock Expansion Draft: Protection Lists, Explanations, & More
National Hockey League

NHL Mock Expansion Draft: Protection Lists, Explanations, & More

Published Jun. 30, 2017 6:28 p.m. ET

NHL Mock Expansion Draft: General aerial view of the MGM Grand Las Vegas hotel and casino and the Las Vegas strip and skyline on Las Vegas Blvd. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

NHL Mock Expansion Draft: (November) Protection Lists, Alternate Protection Lists, Explanations, Rules, Las Vegas Roster

Las Vegas plans to conduct a monthly NHL mock expansion draft to prepare themselves for next June. We here at Puck Prose are looking to do the same thing with detailed analysis that should have us looking at some of the same players that George McPhee and company are as well.

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To break it all down for you, we’ve included a list of available and automatically exempt players. We’ve also included three protection lists. 1) our main list that we’re using to select our Las Vegas roster 2) the first alternative option 3) another alternative option that could be considered. All have explanations as to the thought process behind each selection.

Truth be told, we can target and identify the vast majority of protected players. Between no-movement clauses and star players, it’s only a spot or two on each team that is actually debatable. Now, there’s still lots of time for player movement in 2016-17 leading up to the deadline, and rumors of a trade period before protection lists are due. To play it safe, for the time being, we’ve chosen to omit the likes of Jacob Trouba, Marc-Andre Fleury, and Ben Bishop, among a few others. If there’s uncertainty surrounding an inevitable trade, there’s no point in worrying about it until we see how it affects the new club.

Rules for Expansion

All 30 NHL teams have two options to protect players
a) Seven forwards, three defensemen, one goaltender
b) Eight skaters and one goaltender

– All players that own a no-movement clause in their contract must be protected, unless they agree to waive it.

– *All first and second-year professionals are automatically exempt from the expansion draft.

*There’s been some gray area to this one so we’d like to help clarify with the best explanation we could find. Before shutting down, General Fanager asked this very question to the NHL, with the following response:

via Sin Bin,

“A Player aged 18 or 19 earns a year of professional experience by playing 10 or more NHL games in a given NHL season.”

“A player aged 20 or older (based on age on December 31 of calendar year in which the season starts) earns a year of professional experience by playing 10 or more Professional Games under a standard player contract in a given League Year.”

General Fanager also wanted answers for European skaters and how the NHL decides to calculate professional years overseas. Here’s the response:

via Sin Bin,

“Professional seasons are expected to only count while a player is under an NHL SPC. A player like Artemi Panarin for instance, who played several “professional seasons” in the KHL prior to signing with the Chicago Blackhawks for the 2015-16 season, is expected to still be exempt from the Expansion Draft. This is because his seasons in the KHL were played before he signed an NHL SPC, so his first “professional season” for purposes of expansion is considered the 2015-16 season.”

There’s still a bit of uncertainty surrounding the availability of certain players. Using the rules above, we’ve determined a few players to either be automatically exempt or available, differing from Cap Friendly’s interpretation for their expansion tool.

Player Exposure Requirements

All clubs must provide a minimum one player that falls under each of the following categories:

1) one defenseman who is under contract for 2017-18 and played in 40 games in 2016-17, or 70 games in 2015-16 and 2016-17 combined.

2) two forwards under contract for 2017-18 and played in 40 games in 2016-17, or 70 games in 2015-16 and 2016-17 combined.

3) one goalie under contract for 2017-18 or RFA

Truth be told, all 30 teams will naturally have players that meet the requirements. There won’t be much planning or thought put into it when most bottom six forwards or bottom pair defenseman go unprotected.

– Players with a career-ending injury, or who have missed the previous 60 games due to injury will be automatically exempt from the expansion draft. This is notable for individuals such as Ryane Clowe (NJ) or David Clarkson (CLB) who some feared would take up a spot due to no-move clauses.

Las Vegas Selection Rules

– Las Vegas must select one player from each of the 30 existing teams.
– They must select at least 14 forwards, nine defense, and three goalies.
– Las Vegas must spend between 60-100 percent of the prior season’s upper cap limit ($43.8-$73.0 million)
– *20 of those 30 selections must be under contract for 2017-18 (only 10 UFAs or RFAs are allowed for that two-day negotiating period)

Honestly, this one doesn’t make a lot of sense. Experts/analysts insist that RFAs don’t count against the 20 under contract, but that’s absurd. If Las Vegas selects an RFA, they own that players rights until he’s eligible for free agency, so technically speaking, the player is pretty much under contract. Even if he’s unhappy and wants to flee to the KHL, Vegas still owns him if he ever decides to come back – not as though an RFA is going anywhere.

By the way, that two-day negotiating period set forth during the time Las Vegas is selecting is to ensure they can get all 30 players under contract for 2017-18. Without it, there’d be too much uncertainty with selections. This way if a free agent refuses to join the expansion team, at least they have time to change their selection to someone under contract or another FA that will agree to terms.

All 30 NHL teams must submit their protection list by 5pm (et) on Saturday, June 17, 2017 at the very latest. Las Vegas will then have until June 20, 2017 to submit their expansion draft picks. The announcement is expected to be made the following day on June 21st.

Nov 1, 2016; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Anaheim Ducks defenseman Clayton Stoner (3), Anaheim Ducks right wing Jakob Silfverberg (33) and Anaheim Ducks center Ryan Kesler (17) celebrate a goal in the first period of the game against Los Angeles Kings at Staples Center. Ducks won 4-0. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Anaheim Ducks

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Corey Perry (NMC) 31 $8.625M F Nick Ritchie
F Ryan Getzlaf (NMC) 31 $8.25M F Kalle Kossila
F Ryan Kesler (NMC) 32 $6.875M F Kevin Roy
F Rickard Rakell 23 $3.8M F Max Jones
F Jakob Silfverberg 26 $3.75M F Julius Nattinen
F Andrew Cogliano 29 $3.0M F Deven Sideroff
F Antoine Vermette 34 $1.75M F Ondrej Kase
F Nate Thompson 32 UFA F Kenton Helgesen
F Ryan Garbutt 31 UFA
F Jared Boll 30 $900K D Jacob Larsson
F Nick Sorensen 22 RFA D Andy Welinski
F Emerson Etem 24 RFA D Shea Theodore
F Mason Raymond 31 UFA D Keaton Thompson
F Chris Wagner 25 $637.5K D Marcus Pettersson
F Nic Kerdiles 22 RFA D Brandon Montour
F Joseph Cramarossa 23 RFA
F Corey Tropp 27 $625K G Kevin Boyle
F Stefan Noesen 23 RFA
F Michael Sgarbossa 24 RFA
D Sami Vatanen 25 $4.875M
D Cam Fowler 24 $4.0M
D Kevin Bieksa (NMC) 35 $4.0M
D Simon Despres 25 $3.7M
D Clayton Stoner 31 $3.25M
D Josh Manson 25 $825K
D Hampus Lindholm 22 $5.25M
D Korbinian Holzer 28 UFA
D Nate Guenin 33 UFA
D Jeff Schultz 30 UFA
D Jaycob Megna 23 RFA
D Andrew O’Brien 23 RFA
G John Gibson 23 $2.3M
G Jonathan Bernier 28 UFA
G Dustin Tokarski 27 UFA
G Matt Hackett 26 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
4F – 4D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Corey Perry (NMC) F Corey Perry (NMC) F Corey Perry (NMC)
F Ryan Getzlaf (NMC) F Ryan Getzlaf (NMC) F Ryan Getzlaf (NMC)
F Ryan Kesler (NMC) F Ryan Kesler (NMC) F Ryan Kesler (NMC)
F Rickard Rakell F Rickard Rakell F Rickard Rakell
D Kevin Bieksa (NMC) D Josh Manson F Jakob Silfverberg
D Hampus Lindholm D Hampus Lindholm F Andrew Cogliano
D Cam Fowler D Cam Fowler F Nic Kerdiles
D Sami Vatanen D Sami Vatanen D Hampus Lindholm
G John Gibson G John Gibson D Cam Fowler
D Sami Vatanen
*Bieksa asked to waive NMC G John Gibson
*Bieksa asked to waive NMC

Sadly, the Anaheim Ducks are one of the teams in tough with the expansion draft. One way or another, this organization is bound to lose a quality player. If they choose to save an extra defenseman (the likely choice), it will result in exposed top-six forwards. However, if Anaheim wants to save those forwards, it would cost them a quality top-four d-man. Now, don’t be surprised if GM Bob Murray uses draft picks/or players in order to protect an extra body, but his insistence to go for it in 2016-17 will ultimately cost him.

Protection List:

We’ve chosen the 4-4-1 protection scheme for Anaheim. Three of four spots up front are occupied with NMC’s, leaving room for only one of the available forwards (Rakell, Silfverberg, Cogliano, etc.). On the blue line, Murray might be able to convince Bieksa to waive his NMC, in which case Josh Manson is protected. To play it safe, we’ve omitted Manson, claiming the Ducks will seek to protect him even if it means a side deal.

Alternative Protection List 1:

As mentioned, here is what things would look like if Bieksa is willing to waive his NMC.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If GM Bob Murray is confident Bieksa will waive his NMC and thinks he can protect Manson via trade, then a 7-3-1 scheme opens up. This would allow Anaheim to protect the likes of Rakell, Silfverberg, and Cogliano, plus another forward – we’ve decided to go with a quality prospect in Nic Kerdiles.

Nov 3, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; The Arizona Coyotes celebrate after defeating the Nashville Predators 3-2 in a shootout at Gila River Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

Arizona Coyotes

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Shane Doan 40 UFA F Dylan Strome
F Jamie McGinn 28 $3.33M F Lawson Crouse
F Martin Hanzal 29 UFA F Max Domi
F Tobias Rieder 23 $2.25M F Laurent Dauphin
F Brad Richardson 31 $2.083M F Christian Dvorak
F Radim Vrbata 35 UFA F Michael Bunting
F Ryan White 28 UFA F Dakota Mermis
F Anthony Duclair 21 RFA F Conor Garland
F Jordan Martinook 24 RFA F Ryan MacInnis
F Craig Cunningham 25 RFA F Christian Fischer
F Tyler Gaudet 22 RFA F Brendan Perlini
F Chris Mueller 30 UFA F Nick Merkley
F Garret Ross 24 RFA F Lane Pederson
F Matia Marcantuoni 22 RFA
F Henrik Samuelsson 22 RFA D Jakob Chychrun
D Dysin Mayo
D Oliver Ekman-Larsson 25 $5.5M D Kyle Wood
D Alex Goligoski (NMC) 31 $5.475M D Anthony DeAngelo
D Connor Murphy 23 $3.85M D Jalen Smereck
D Michael Stone 26 $4.0M
D Luke Schenn 26 $1.25M G Adin Hill
D Kevin Connauton 26 $1.0M
D Zbynek Michalek 33 UFA
D Jamie McBain 28 UFA
D Jarred Tinordi 23 RFA
D Justin Hache 22 RFA
G Mike Smith 34 $5.66M
G Louis Domingue 24 $1.05M
G Justin Peters 29 UFA
G Marek Langhamer 21 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
4F – 4D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Martin Hanzal F Tobias Rieder F Tobias Rieder
F Tobias Rieder F Anthony Duclair F Anthony Duclair
F Anthony Duclair F Jordan Martinook F Jamie McGinn
F Jamie McGinn F Henrik Samuelsson F Jordan Martinook
D Alex Goligoski (NMC) D Alex Goligoski (NMC) D Alex Goligoski (NMC)
D Oliver Ekman-Larsson D Oliver Ekman-Larsson D Oliver Ekman-Larsson
D Michael Stone D Michael Stone D Michael Stone
D Connor Murphy D Connor Murphy D Connor Murphy
G Louis Domingue G Louis Domingue G Louis Domingue

Due to the relatively young age of the Coyotes forward group, many top players are automatically exempt. That’s good news for a team that needs to protect more than three defensemen.

Protection List:

We’re assuming Arizona seeks to retain Martin Hanzal long-term (due to become a UFA next summer). That leaves room for three more forwards. Tobias Rieder and Anthony Duclair are locks, but that fourth slot is wide open. We’ve gone with Jamie McGinn, but GM John Chayka might be inclined to protect Jordan Martinook or Henrik Samuelsson instead. Looking at the blue line/goaltending, those spots are virtual locks with the current occupants.

Alternative Protection List 1:

This is what the protection list might look like if the Yotes intend to let Hanzal walk in free agency, and would prefer to protect the younger quality pieces.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Very similar to our main protection list, suggesting this is what it may look like if Martinook’s hot play continues throughout 2016-17.

Oct 4, 2016; Quebec City, Quebec, CAN; Boston Bruins forward Ryan Spooner (51) celebrates with Adam McQuaid (54) after scoring a goal against the Montreal Canadiens during the first period of a preseason hockey game at Centre Videotron. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Bruins

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F David Krejci (NMC) 30 $7.25M F Danton Heinen
F Patrice Bergeron (NMC) 31 $6.875M F Noel Acciari
F David Backes (NMC) 32 $6.0M F Peter Cehlarik
F Brad Marchand 28 $6.125M F Colton Hargrove
F Matt Beleskey 28 $3.8M F Austin Czarnik
F Jimmy Hayes 26 $2.3M F Sean Kuraly
F Ryan Spooner 24 RFA F Justin Hickman
F David Pastrnak 20 RFA F Anton Blidh
F Riley Nash 27 $900K F Colby Cave
F Dominic Moore 35 UFA F Jake DeBrusk
F Tim Schaller 25 RFA F Zachary Senyshyn
F Tyler Randell 25 RFA F Frank Vatrano
F Zac Rinaldo 25 UFA
F Brian Ferlin 24 RFA D Rob O’Gara
D Matt Grzelcyk
D Zdeno Chara (NMC) 39 $4.0M D Jeremy Lauzon
D Torey Krug 25 $5.25M D Brandon Carlo
D Adam McQuaid 30 $2.75M D Jakub Zboril
D Kevan Miller 28 $2.5M
D John-Michael Liles 35 UFA G Zane McIntyre
D Colin Miller 23 $1.0M G Daniel Vladar
D Joe Morrow 23 RFA
D Alex Grant 27 UFA
D Tommy Cross 26 UFA
D Chris Castro 24 RFA
D Linus Arnesson 21 RFA
G Tuukka Rask (NMC) 29 $7.0M
G Anton Khudobin 30 $1.2M
G Malcolm Subban 22 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F David Krejci (NMC) F David Krejci (NMC) F David Krejci (NMC)
F Patrice Bergeron (NMC) F Patrice Bergeron (NMC) F Patrice Bergeron (NMC)
F David Backes (NMC) F David Backes (NMC) F David Backes (NMC)
F Brad Marchand F Brad Marchand F Brad Marchand
F David Pastrnak F David Pastrnak F David Pastrnak
F Ryan Spooner F Ryan Spooner F Ryan Spooner
F Jimmy Hayes F Matt Beleskey F Tim Schaller
D Zdeno Chara (NMC) D Zdeno Chara (NMC) D Zdeno Chara (NMC)
D Torey Krug D Torey Krug D Torey Krug
D Colin Miller D Colin Miller D Colin Miller
G Tuukka Rask (NMC) G Tuukka Rask (NMC) G Tuukka Rask (NMC)

In case anyone had any thought of protecting four defensemen, it’s absolutely unnecessary and there’s just too many forwards to protect. With that being the case, this is one of those rare scenarios with three protection lists using the same scheme. There are only a couple of spots up for grabs/debate anyways.

Protection List:

The main list was pretty straightforward I felt. The only real spot for good debate is that 7th forward slot. I’ve chosen to protect the younger, cheaper cap hit in Jimmy Hayes, forcing Las Vegas to absorb Matt Beleskey’s $3.8 million dollar cap hit if they choose to take a forward from the Bruins.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Virtually identical to the main list. This is for those that may prefer to protect Beleskey in hopes of luring George McPhee to bite on Jimmy Hayes.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If GM Don Sweeney wants to keep Vegas away from guys like Kevan Miller and Adam McQuaid, he could use that 7th slot to protect a prospect, we’ve chosen Tim Schaller. You only go this route if you’re comfortable losing a decent forward in order to protect an already depleted blue line.

Nov 1, 2016; Saint Paul, MN, USA; Buffalo Sabres defenseman Dmitry Kulikov (77) congratulates goalie Robin Lehner (40) on a win against the Minnesota Wild at Xcel Energy Center. The Sabres win 2-1 over the wild. Mandatory Credit: Marilyn Indahl-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Sabres

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Ryan O’Reilly 25 $7.5M F Jack Eichel
F Kyle Okposo (NMC) 28 $6.0M F Hudson Fasching
F Evander Kane 25 $5.25M F Sam Reinhart
F Matt Moulson 32 $5.0M F Alex Nylander
F Tyler Ennis 27 $4.6M F Eric Cornel
F Brian Gionta 37 UFA F Vaclav Karabacek
F Marcus Foligno 25 RFA F Evan Rodrigues
F Cody McCormick 33 UFA F Nicholas Baptiste
F Zemgus Girgensons 22 RFA F Justin Bailey
F Johan Larsson 24 RFA F Jean Dupuy
F Nicolas Deslauriers 25 $775K F William Carrier
F Derek Grant 26 UFA
F Cal O’Reilly 30 UFA D Casey Nelson
F Cole Schneider 26 RFA D Brendan Guhle
F Justin Kea 22 RFA D Brycen Martin
F Daniel Catenacci 23 RFA D Erik Burgdoerfer
G Jason Kasdorf
D Rasmus Ristolainen 21 $5.4M
D Zach Bogosian (NMC) 26 $5.143M
D Dmitry Kulikov 25 UFA
D Josh Gorges 32 $3.9M
D Cody Franson 29 UFA
D Jake McCabe 23 $1.6M
D Justin Falk 28 UFA
D Taylor Fedun 28 UFA
D Brady Austin 23 RFA
G Robin Lehner 25 RFA
G Anders Nilsson 26 UFA
G Linus Ullmark 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Kyle Okposo (NMC) F Kyle Okposo (NMC) F Kyle Okposo (NMC)
F Ryan O’Reilly F Ryan O’Reilly F Ryan O’Reilly
F Evander Kane F Evander Kane F Tyler Ennis
F Zemgus Girgensons F Zemgus Girgensons F Zemgus Girgensons
D Zach Bogosian (NMC) F Tyler Ennis D Zach Bogosian (NMC)
D Rasmus Ristolainen F Marcus Foligno D Rasmus Ristolainen
D Dmitry Kulikov F Johan Larsson D Dmitry Kulikov
D Jake McCabe D Zach Bogosian (NMC) D Jake McCabe
G Robin Lehner D Rasmus Ristolainen G Robin Lehner
D Jake McCabe
G Robin Lehner

There’s a good chance the Sabres will be forced to save an extra defender in expansion. This could ultimately expose some quality forwards. We explore the potential of a 7-3-1 protection scheme, but it leaves a notable UFA for Las Vegas to bargain with that could be a major loss on the back end.

Protection List:

Even though Dmitry Kulikov is slated to become a UFA, it’s important to get him protected. Some fans on social media have suggested the Sabres could circumvent the system with a pre-arrangement ensuring a refusal to sign with the expansion club, but those are the type of curious situations that can get the league involved. No instead, we protect Bogosian, Ristolainen, Kulikov, and McCabe, leaving us four spots up front. Okposo and O’Reilly are locks, but debate could occur on those other two spots. Although it’s unlikely Las Vegas would have interest in Kane’s character issues, it’s too much of a risk to leave him exposed. With the last spot, I’ve chosen to protect a young 1st rounder still looking to reach his ceiling.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If Buffalo wanted to roll the dice with Kulikov, they’ve got a lot of room to protect several key forwards that would otherwise be available. Guys like Girgensons, Ennis, Foligno, and Larsson could all be saved in this scenario.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If Tim Murray truly is ready to turn the page on Kane as past reports have suggested, he could leave Evander exposed. Basically, any way you want to look at it, Buffalo stands to lose someone such as Ennis, Kane, Foligno, or Larsson.

Nov 3, 2016; San Jose, CA, USA; Calgary Flames left wing Matthew Tkachuk (19) celebrates with right wing Michael Frolik (67) and center Mikael Backlund (11) after scoring a goal during the third period against the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose the Calgary Flames defeated the San Jose Sharks 3 to 2. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

Calgary Flames

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Johnny Gaudreau 23 $6.75M F Matthew Tkachuk
F Sean Monahan 22 $6.375M F Andrew Mangiapane
F Troy Brouwer 31 $4.5M F Brett Pollock
F Michael Frolik 28 $4.3M F Daniel Pribyl
F Mikael Backlund 27 $3.575M F Mark Jankowski
F Matt Stajan 32 $3.125M F Morgan Klimchuk
F Lance Bouma 26 $2.2M F Hunter Smith
F Kris Versteeg 30 UFA F Garnet Hathaway
F Sam Bennett 20 RFA F Austin Carroll
F Michael Ferland 24 RFA
F Alex Chiasson 26 RFA
F Freddie Hamilton 24 $613K D Rasmus Andersson
F Brandon Bollig 29 UFA D Kenney Morrison
F Linden Vey 25 RFA D Oliver Kylington
F Hunter Shinkaruk 22 $1.076M D Keegan Kanzig
F Emile Poirier 21 $863K
G David Rittich
D Mark Giordano 33 $6.75M G Jon Gillies
D Dougie Hamilton 23 $5.75M G Mason McDonald
D Dennis Wideman 33 UFA G Nick Schneider
D T.J. Brodie 26 $4.65M
D Deryk Engelland 34 UFA
D Jyrki Jokipakka 25 RFA
D Nicklas Grossmann 31 UFA
D Brett Kulak 22 RFA
D Ryan Culkin 22 RFA
D Tyler Wotherspoon 23 RFA
G Brian Elliott 31 UFA
G Chad Johnson 30 UFA
G Tom McCollum 26 $613K

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Johnny Gaudreau F Johnny Gaudreau F Johnny Gaudreau
F Sean Monahan F Sean Monahan F Sean Monahan
F Sam Bennett F Sam Bennett F Sam Bennett
F Troy Brouwer F Troy Brouwer F Mikael Backlund
F Mikael Backlund F Mikael Backlund D Mark Giordano
F Michael Frolik F Michael Frolik D T.J. Brodie
F Lance Bouma F Michael Ferland D Dougie Hamilton
D Mark Giordano D Mark Giordano D Jyrki Jokipakka
D T.J. Brodie D T.J. Brodie G Brian Elliott
D Dougie Hamilton D Dougie Hamilton
G Brian Elliott G Brian Elliott

The Flames could technically use either protection scheme as they’re bound to lose a decent player regardless. Since they’ve got an abundance of forwards and only three defenders that truly need protection, it makes sense to use the 7-3-1 option.

Protection List:

In terms of locks for protection, Giordano, Brodie, and Hamilton are guaranteed. Up front, Gaudreau, Monahan, Bennett, and Backlund are virtual locks as well. With seven forwards available for protection, that leaves us three spots to work with. Brouwer and Frolik are impact top-six forwards, which make for sensible saves. We’ve gone with Lance Bouma for the final spot serving as an important role player in the bottom-six. One could make a case for Michael Ferland, Alex Chiasson, or maybe even Hunter Shinkaruk.

Alternative Protection List 1:

As mentioned, alternative options exist in the same scheme. Another popular option in place of Lance Bouma might be Michael Ferland.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Not sure why Calgary would choose this option unless they felt some insistence to protect Jyrki Jokipakka. If that’s the case, we’d expect our “virtual locks” to occupy the other seven spots.

Oct 30, 2016; Raleigh, NC, USA; Carolina Hurricanes head coach Bill Peters talks to his players during t a time out during the third period at PNC Arena. The Philadelphia Flyers defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. Mandatory Credit: James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports

Carolina Hurricanes

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Jordan Staal 28 $6.0M F Sebastian Aho
F Jeff Skinner 24 $5.725M F Julien Gauthier
F Victor Rask 23 $4.0M F Aleksi Saarela
F Bryan Bickell 30 UFA F Nicolas Roy
F Elias Lindholm 21 $2.7M F Clark Bishop
F Lee Stempniak 33 $2.5M F Andrew Poturalski
F Viktor Stalberg 30 UFA F Valentin Zykov
F Joakim Nordstrom 24 $1.275M F Lucas Wallmark
F Jay McClement 33 UFA F Sergey Tolchinsky
F Andrej Nestrasil 25 RFA F Derek Ryan
F Teuvo Teravainen 22 RFA
F Phillip Di Giuseppe 23 RFA D Noah Hanifin
F Martin Frk 23 RFA D Brett Pesce
F Andrew Miller 28 UFA D Jaccob Slavin
F Brock McGinn 22 RFA D Tyler Ganly
F Erik Karlsson 22 RFA D Jake Bean
F Patrick Brown 24 RFA D Jake Chelios
F Brendan Woods 24 RFA D Haydn Fleury
F Connor Brickley 24 RFA D Roland McKeown
D Josh Wesley
D Justin Faulk 24 $4.83M
D Ron Hainsey 35 UFA G Alex Nedeljkovic
D Ryan Murphy 23 $788K
D Klas Dahlbeck 25 RFA
D Jakub Nakladal 28 UFA
D Matt Tennyson 26 UFA
D Keegan Lowe 23 RFA
D Trevor Carrick 22 RFA
D Dennis Robertson 25 RFA
G Cam Ward 32 $3.3M
G Eddie Lack 28 $2.75M
G Michael Leighton 35 UFA
G Daniel Altshuller 22 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Jordan Staal F Jordan Staal F Jordan Staal
F Jeff Skinner F Jeff Skinner F Jeff Skinner
F Victor Rask F Victor Rask F Victor Rask
F Elias Lindholm F Elias Lindholm F Elias Lindholm
F Teuvo Teravainen F Teuvo Teravainen D Justin Faulk
F Brock McGinn F Andrej Nestrasil D Ron Hainsey
F Phillip Di Giuseppe F Joakim Nordstrom D Trevor Carrick
D Justin Faulk D Justin Faulk D Klas Dahlbeck
D Klas Dahlbeck D Ron Hainsey G Cam Ward
D Trevor Carrick D Ryan Murphy
G Cam Ward G Cam Ward

If the rules would allow for it, the Canes would certainly love to protect extra forwards and maybe save one or two defenseman total. Fact is, most of their quality blue liners that emerged in 2015-16 are automatically exempt. There would be little reason to protect four d-men, but we’ve put one together nonetheless.

Protection List:

For our main list, we’ve decided to protect what GM Ron Francis is building; the younger core players. Given the lack of talent on the back end needing to be saved, we’ve chosen to protect Faulk, Dahlbeck, and Carrick. The obvious locks up front are Staal, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm, and Teravainen. Those last two spots are where things get a little fuzzy. Using our philosophy, it makes sense to protect both Brock McGinn and Phil Di Giuseppe. Neither has made the impact that a Nestrasil or Nordstrom has, but they could be major future pieces.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If you’d prefer to protect the veteran talent, this might the protection scheme for you. Here Carolina could save Ron Hainsey on the back end, and both Andrej Nestrasil and Joakim Nordstrom up front. You’re basically forcing Las Vegas to pluck from your prospect pool though.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Again, not sure why the Canes would want this protection scheme, but if they felt a need to protect their blue line that they’ve been working desperately to build, then perhaps it makes sense?

Nov 1, 2016; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Blackhawks center Artem Anisimov (15) celebrates his gaol against Calgary Flames with his teammates during the third period at the United Center. The Hawks won 5-1. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Chicago Blackhawks

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Patrick Kane (NMC) 27 $10.5M F Tyler Motte
F Jonathan Toews (NMC) 28 $10.5M F Nick Schmaltz
F Marian Hossa (NMC) 37 $5.275M F Artemi Panarin
F Artem Anisimov (NMC) 28 $4.55M F Vinnie Hinostroza
F Marcus Kruger 26 $3.083M F Graham Knott
F Richard Panik 25 RFA F Alexandre Fortin
F Ryan Hartman 22 $863K F Luke Johnson
F Andrew Desjardins 30 UFA F Martin Lundberg
F Jordin Tootoo 33 UFA F Tanner Kero
F Dennis Rasmussen 26 RFA
F Kyle Baun 24 $625K D Gustav Forsling
F Spencer Abbott 28 UFA D Carl Dahlstrom
F Pierre-Cedric Labrie 29 UFA D Robin Norell
F Brandon Mashinter 28 UFA D Nolan Valleau
F Mark McNeill 23 RFA D Erik Gustafsson
F Sam Carrick 24 RFA
G Lars Johansson
D Brent Seabrook (NMC) 31 $6.875M
D Duncan Keith (NMC) 33 $5.538M
D Niklas Hjalmarsson (NMC) 29 $4.1M
D Brian Campbell 37 UFA
D Trevor van Riemsdyk 25 $825K
D Michal Kempny 26 RFA
D Michal Rozsival 38 UFA
D Ville Pokka 22 RFA
D Viktor Svedberg 25 $750K
D Dillon Fournier 22 RFA
D Ernest Schilling 28 UFA
G Corey Crawford (NMC) 31 $6.0M
G Scott Darling 27 UFA
G Mac Carruth 24 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Patrick Kane (NMC) F Patrick Kane (NMC) F Patrick Kane (NMC)
F Jonathan Toews (NMC) F Jonathan Toews (NMC) F Jonathan Toews (NMC)
F Marian Hossa (NMC) F Marian Hossa (NMC) F Marian Hossa (NMC)
F Artem Anisimov (NMC) F Artem Anisimov (NMC) F Artem Anisimov (NMC)
F Marcus Kruger F Marcus Kruger F Marcus Kruger
F Richard Panik F Richard Panik F Richard Panik
F Ryan Hartman F Mark McNeill F Dennis Rasmussen
D Brent Seabrook (NMC) D Brent Seabrook (NMC) D Brent Seabrook (NMC)
D Duncan Keith (NMC) D Duncan Keith (NMC) D Duncan Keith (NMC)
D Niklas Hjalmarsson (NMC) D Niklas Hjalmarsson (NMC) D Niklas Hjalmarsson (NMC)
G Corey Crawford (NMC) G Corey Crawford (NMC) G Corey Crawford (NMC)

If you’ve tinkered around with the expansion tools, you know that Chicago has locked themselves into seven players (four forwards, three defense, one goalie) with no-movement clauses. That leaves no possibility of using the 4-4-1 scheme to protect a valuable defender, unless of course Chicago is willing to hand Marcus Kruger to Las Vegas.

Protection List:

With only three spots to fill, the work is fairly limited only having to identify three forwards. Marcus Kruger is a must-save, Richard Panik is slowly working his way to a similar status (if he can keep it up), leaving just one spot. Given his emergence this year, Ryan Hartman might have the early lead, but that could always change.

Alternative Protection List 1:

For the last forward spot here, we’ve gone with Mark McNeill. A handful of available players have shown a lot more at the NHL level so far, but then again, McNeill’s ceiling potential is a lot higher than the rest.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Here’s another alternative in that final forward spot. Dennis Rasmussen had a decent showing in 2015-16 and still has time to make his mark.

Oct 29, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; The Colorado Avalanche celebrate after defeatomg the Arizona Coyotes 3-2 at Gila River Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado Avalanche

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Nathan MacKinnon 21 $6.3M F Andreas Martinsen
F Matt Duchene 25 $6.0M F Reid Petryk
F Gabriel Landeskog 23 $5.571M F Mikko Rantanen
F Jarome Iginla 39 UFA F J.T. Compher
F Carl Soderberg 31 $4.75M F A.J. Greer
F Joe Colborne 26 $2.5M F Julien Nantel
F Blake Comeau 30 $2.4M F Trent Vogelhuber
F John Mitchell 31 UFA
F Cody McLeod 32 $1.33M D Mason Geertsen
F Mikhail Grigorenko 22 RFA D Chris Bigras
F Gabriel Bourque 26 UFA D Anton Lindholm
F Rene Bourque 34 UFA D Sergei Boikov
F Jim O’Brien 27 UFA
F Mike Sislo 28 UFA G Spencer Martin
F Joe Whitney 28 UFA
F Rocco Grimaldi 23 RFA
F Troy Bourke 22 RFA
F Samuel Henley 23 RFA
F Turner Elson 24 RFA
D Erik Johnson (NMC) 28 $6.0M
D Tyson Barrie 25 $5.5M
D Francois Beauchemin (NMC) 36 $4.5M
D Fedor Tyutin 33 UFA
D Eric Gelinas 25 RFA
D Nikita Zadorov 21 RFA
D Patrick Wiercioch 26 RFA
D Mat Clark 26 UFA
D Ryan Stanton 27 UFA
D Duncan Siemens 23 RFA
D Cody Corbett 22 RFA
G Semyon Varlamov 28 $5.9M
G Calvin Pickard 24 $1.0M
G Jeremy Smith 27 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Nathan MacKinnon F Nathan MacKinnon F Nathan MacKinnon
F Matt Duchene F Matt Duchene F Matt Duchene
F Gabriel Landeskog F Gabriel Landeskog F Gabriel Landeskog
F Carl Soderberg F Carl Soderberg F Carl Soderberg
F Mikhail Grigorenko F Mikhail Grigorenko D Erik Johnson (NMC)
F Cody McLeod F Joe Colborne D Tyson Barrie
F Joe Colborne F Rocco Grimaldi D Francois Beauchemin (NMC)
D Erik Johnson (NMC) D Erik Johnson (NMC) D Nikita Zadorov
D Tyson Barrie D Tyson Barrie G Calvin Pickard
D Francois Beauchemin (NMC) D Francois Beauchemin (NMC)
G Calvin Pickard G Calvin Pickard

It’s worth noting that 36-year-old defenseman Francois Beauchemin may be asked to waive his no-movement clause if Sakic can convince the veteran Las Vegas will have little interest. If that’s the case, Nikita Zadorov seems to be the next logical choice for protection on the back end.

Protection List:

Using the 7-3-1 scheme, you can see we’ve opted to save Calvin Pickard between the pipes. This is one of the best protection list arguments around the league. Here’s my take on it: Varlamov is 28-years-old carrying a lucrative cap hit. Pickard is only 24-years-old on an affordable deal. So, younger and cheaper always makes more sense. Plus, Varlamov is a great goalie, but it’s not as though he hasn’t had a chance to cement his name as an elite tier goalie. One way or another, George McPhee could be eyeing a goaltender from the Avs, so mid as well free up close to $6 million dollars in cap space.

Those top five forward spots are virtual locks using this protection scheme. Those last two slots are where debate opens up. We’re leaning towards Joe Sakic saving a couple core veterans opposed to prospects.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Similar to the first protection list, but this is what things might look like if Colorado would prefer to save a prospect instead of Cody McLeod. There’s still a long season to determine which prospect needs saving the most, but perhaps Grimaldi has the early lead.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If the Avs prove unsuccessful in getting Beauchemin to waive his NMC, but also feel it necessary to protect Nikita Zadorov at the same time, then a 4-4-1 scheme comes into play. It only leaves enough room to save MacKinnon, Duchene, Landeskog, and Soderberg up front, leaving the likes of Mikhail Grigorenko available – not exactly ideal.

Nov 1, 2016; Columbus, OH, USA; Columbus Blue Jackets center Sam Gagner (89) celebrates a goal against the Dallas Stars during the third period at Nationwide Arena. Columbus defeated Dallas 3-2 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Russell LaBounty-USA TODAY Sports

Columbus Blue Jackets

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Brandon Saad 23 $6.0M F Sonny Milano
F Brandon Dubinsky (NMC) 30 $5.85M F Keegan Kolesar
F Nick Foligno (NMC) 28 $5.5M F Pierre-Luc Dubois
F Scott Hartnell (NMC) 34 $4.75M F Paul Bittner
F Cam Atkinson 27 $3.5M F Justin Scott
F Boone Jenner 23 $2.9M F Dante Salituro
F Matt Calvert 26 $2.2M F Kole Sherwood
F William Karlsson 23 $1.0M F Oliver Bjorkstrand
F Alexander Wennberg 22 RFA F Jordan Maletta
F Josh Anderson 22 $863K F Markus Hannikainen
F Lukas Sedlak 23 RFA F Nick Moutrey
F David Clarkson (NMC – LTIR) 32 $5.25M
F Gregory Campbell 32 UFA D Zach Werenski
F Brett Gallant 27 UFA D Markus Nutivaara
F Daniel Zaar 22 RFA D Dillon Heatherington
F Jaime Sifers 33 UFA D Gabriel Carlsson
F Alex Broadhurst 23 RFA D Dean Kukan
F T.J. Tynan 24 RFA D Jacob Graves
D Blake Siebenaler
D Seth Jones 22 $5.4M D Oleg Yevenko
D Jack Johnson 29 $4.357M
D David Savard 26 $4.25M
D Ryan Murray 23 $2.825M
D Dalton Prout 26 $1.575M
D Scott Harrington 23 RFA
D John Ramage 25 $613K
D Cody Goloubef 26 UFA
G Sergei Bobrovsky (NMC) 28 $7.425M
G Curtis McElhinney 33 UFA
G Joonas Korpisalo 22 RFA
G Oscar Dansk 22 RFA
G Anton Forsberg 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Brandon Saad F Brandon Saad F Brandon Saad
F Brandon Dubinsky (NMC) F Brandon Dubinsky (NMC) F Brandon Dubinsky (NMC)
F Nick Foligno (NMC) F Nick Foligno (NMC) F Nick Foligno (NMC)
F Scott Hartnell (NMC) F Cam Atkinson F Cam Atkinson
F Cam Atkinson F Boone Jenner F Boone Jenner
F Boone Jenner F William Karlsson F Alexander Wennberg
F Alexander Wennberg F Alexander Wennberg F Lukas Sedlak
D Seth Jones D Seth Jones D Seth Jones
D David Savard D David Savard D David Savard
D Ryan Murray D Ryan Murray D Ryan Murray
G Sergei Bobrovsky (NMC) G Sergei Bobrovsky (NMC) G Sergei Bobrovsky (NMC)
*Hartnell asked to waive NMC *Hartnell asked to waive NMC

You wouldn’t know it by looking at the standings over the past couple of years, but Columbus boasts one of the deeper groups in the NHL. No matter which protection scheme they choose, they stand to lose a quality player. We tinkered with a 4-4-1 scheme in an attempt to save Jack Johnson, but the numbers just don’t work unless Blue Jackets fans are okay losing a Boone Jenner or Alex Wennberg type.

Protection List:

Working with what’s in front of us at the moment, Scott Hartnell and his NMC are still in the mix. The forced save leaves names like William Karlsson and Lukas Sedlak on the outside looking in. That could change if Jarmo can get Hartnell to either waive his no-move or find another team that wants him.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what things might look like if Hartnell is traded or waives that NMC. In this philosophy, Columbus is saving as many core pieces as possible.

Alternative Protection List 2:

This is what the 7-3-1 scheme might look like if Lukas Sedlak continues to impress in 2016-17. It’s basically a three man battle between Sedlak, Karlsson, and Wennberg for that final spot up front.

Nov 3, 2016; Dallas, TX, USA; The St. Louis Blues and the Dallas Stars fight during the third period at the American Airlines Center. The Stars beat the Blues 6-2. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Dallas Stars

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Jason Spezza (NMC) 33 $7.5M F Devin Shore
F Patrick Sharp 34 UFA F Mattias Janmark
F Tyler Seguin 24 $5.75M F Denis Gurianov
F Jamie Benn (NMC) 27 $9.5M F Jason Dickinson
F Ales Hemsky 33 UFA F Remi Elie
F Cody Eakin 25 $3.85M F Cole Ully
F Antoine Roussel 26 $2.0M
F Jiri Hudler 32 UFA D Ondrej Vala
F Patrick Eaves 32 UFA D Julius Honka
F Lauri Korpikoski 30 UFA D Niklas Hansson
F Adam Cracknell 31 UFA D Chris Martenet
F Brett Ritchie 23 RFA
F Radek Faksa 22 RFA G Phillippe Desrosiers
F Curtis McKenzie 25 RFA
F Gemel Smith 22 RFA
F Branden Troock 22 RFA
F Justin Dowling 26 RFA
F Brendan Ranford 24 RFA
F Travis Morin 32 UFA
F Matej Stransky 23 RFA
D John Klingberg 24 $4.25M
D Dan Hamhuis 33 $3.75M
D Johnny Oduya 35 UFA
D Jordie Benn 29 $1.1M
D Jamie Oleksiak 23 RFA
D Patrik Nemeth 24 RFA
D Esa Lindell 22 RFA
D Stephen Johns 24 $725K
D Andrew Bodnarchuk 28 $725K
D Ludwig Bystrom 22 RFA
D Mattias Backman 24 RFA
D Nick Ebert 22 RFA
D Dustin Stevenson 27 UFA
G Kari Lehtonen 32 $5.9M
G Antti Niemi 33 $4.5M
G Henri Kiviaho 22 RFA
G Maxime Lagace 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Jason Spezza (NMC) F Jason Spezza (NMC) F Jason Spezza (NMC)
F Jamie Benn (NMC) F Jamie Benn (NMC) F Jamie Benn (NMC)
F Tyler Seguin F Tyler Seguin F Tyler Seguin
F Radek Faksa F Radek Faksa F Radek Faksa
F Cody Eakin F Cody Eakin D John Klingberg
F Brett Ritchie F Brett Ritchie D Stephen Johns
F Antoine Roussel F Gemel Smith D Patrik Nemeth
D John Klingberg D John Klingberg D Esa Lindell
D Stephen Johns D Stephen Johns G Antti Niemi
D Patrik Nemeth D Esa Lindell
G Antti Niemi G Antti Niemi

For the sake of Dallas’ protection lists, we’ve opted to exclude impending UFA Patrick Sharp. The thought process is this: Jim Nill probably isn’t concerned that Las Vegas would have interest in an aging veteran, and we don’t even know if there’s plans to re-sign Sharp. Those protection slots are better served for younger core pieces.

Protection List:

For this list, we’re assuming GM Jim Nill has every intent to keep his top talent together since they’re in the middle of a Stanley Cup window. That means protecting the likes of Cody Eakin, Radek Faksa, Brett Ritchie, and Antoine Roussel. On the blue line, there are a handful of players of similar talent level that could be debated upon. Logical selections have gotta be Klingberg and Johns. That third slot is a wild-card between Nemeth, Lindell, Oleksiak, Benn, and Hamhuis.

Alternative Protection List 1:

This is an example of what the list could look like if Dallas opts to use one of those final forward slots on a prospect. Only problem is deciding which prospect to protect from Gemel Smith, Curtis McKenzie, and Brendan Ranford (among others).

Alternative Protection List 2:

If the Stars want to save an extra blue liner, it will likely cost them a quality forward next June. Dallas has put a lot of work into fixing the back end, so perhaps they’d like to preserve that. It might look a little something like the above.

Nov 2, 2016; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Detroit Red Wings center Andreas Athanasiou (72) celebrates his goal against Philadelphia Flyers during the first period at Wells Fargo Center. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Detroit Red Wings

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Henrik Zetterberg 36 $6.083M F Dylan Larkin
F Frans Nielsen (NMC) 32 $5.25M F Evgeny Svechnikov
F Gustav Nyquist 27 $4.75M F Dylan Sadowy
F Justin Abdelkader 29 $4.25M F Givani Smith
F Darren Helm 29 $3.85M F Axel Holmstrom
F Tomas Tatar 25 RFA F Dominic Turgeon
F Thomas Vanek 32 UFA F Tyler Bertuzzi
F Riley Sheahan 24 $2.075M F Zach Nastasiuk
F Drew Miller 32 UFA F Matt Lorito
F Steve Ott 34 UFA
F Luke Glendening 27 $1.8M D Villi Saarijarvi
F Andreas Athanasiou 22 RFA D Filip Hronek
F Johan Franzan (LTIR) 36 $3.955M D Brian Lashoff
F Joe Vitale (LTIR) 31 UFA D Daniel Renouf
F Tomas Jurco 23 RFA D Robbie Russo
F Tomas Nosek 24 $613K D Joe Hicketts
F Eric Tangradi 27 $650K
F Ben Street 29 UFA G Jake Paterson
F Anthony Mantha 22 $863K
F Mitch Callahan 25 RFA
D Mike Green 31 $6.0M
D Danny DeKeyser 26 $5.0M
D Niklas Kronwall 35 $4.75M
D Jonathan Ericsson 32 $4.25M
D Brendan Smith 27 UFA
D Alexey Marchenko 24 $1.45M
D Xavier Ouellet 23 RFA
D Ryan Sproul 23 $625K
D Nick Jensen 26 RFA
G Jimmy Howard 32 $5.292M
G Petr Mrazek 24 $4.0M
G Eddie Pasquale 25 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Frans Nielsen (NMC) F Frans Nielsen (NMC) F Frans Nielsen (NMC)
F Henrik Zetterberg F Gustav Nyquist F Gustav Nyquist
F Gustav Nyquist F Justin Abdelkader F Anthony Mantha
F Justin Abdelkader F Tomas Tatar F Tomas Tatar
F Tomas Tatar F Riley Sheahan D Mike Green
F Riley Sheahan F Anthony Mantha D Danny DeKeyser
F Anthony Mantha F Andreas Athanasiou D Alexey Marchenko
D Mike Green D Mike Green D Ryan Sproul
D Danny DeKeyser D Danny DeKeyser G Petr Mrazek
D Alexey Marchenko D Ryan Sproul
G Petr Mrazek G Petr Mrazek

The Red Wings would likely love to save upwards of four, maybe even five defensemen with a couple of guys just starting to make an impact. Unfortunately, they’ve got far too many forwards to take care of, leaving them with the 7-3-1 scheme.

Protection List:

Our thought process behind the main list is preserving the most important players, even though it leaves a few key guys on the outside looking in. The Red Wings would surely love to protect Athanasiou, Helm, and Glendening, among others, but numbers don’t seem to support it. To save any of those forwards, it means exposing the likes of Riley Sheahan or Anthony Mantha.

The toughest selection was that final defensive slot. We’ve opted to go with Alexey Marchenko, but Detroit would probably love to protect Ryan Sproul and Xavier Ouellet as well.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If GM Ken Holland is determined to save his younger core, a list could look like this. It would include Athanasiou up front and Sproul on the back end. This is a very real possibility, but as you can see, Detroit would need to feel comfortable that Las Vegas wouldn’t select Henrik Zetterberg, who would be exposed in this scenario.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Detroit can’t exactly afford to lose a young defensive prospect like Sproul or Ouellet given the current situation. Perhaps a 4-4-1 scheme exposing the likes of Abdelkader and Sheahan might help keep Las Vegas away from the back end.

Nov 3, 2016; New York, NY, USA; Edmonton Oilers defenseman Adam Larsson (6) celebrates his goal against the New York Rangers with teammates during the third period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Edmonton Oilers

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Jordan Eberle 26 $6.0M F Connor McDavid
F Milan Lucic (NMC) 28 $6.0M F Jesse Puljujarvi
F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 23 $6.0M F Anton Slepyshev
F Benoit Pouliot 30 $4.0M F Drake Caggiula
F Matt Hendricks 35 UFA F Patrick Russell
F Mark Letestu 31 $1.8M F Jere Sallinen
F Patrick Maroon 28 $1.5M F Kyle Platzer
F Zack Kassian 25 RFA F Greg Chase
F Anton Lander 25 UFA F Zach Pochiro
F Leon Draisaitl 20 RFA F Braden Christoffer
F Iiro Pakarinen 25 RFA
F Tyler Pitlick 24 RFA D Matthew Benning
F Taylor Beck 25 RFA D Darnell Nurse
F Jujhar Khaira 22 RFA D Ethan Bear
F Mitchell Moroz 22 RFA D Caleb Jones
F Bogdan Yakimov 22 RFA D Joey Laleggia
D Ben Betker
D Andrej Sekera (NMC) 30 $5.5M
D Oscar Klefbom 23 $4.167M G Nick Ellis
D Adam Larsson 23 $4.167M G Eetu Laurikainen
D Mark Fayne 29 $3.625M
D Kris Russell 29 UFA
D Brandon Davidson 25 $1.425M
D Eric Gryba 28 UFA
D Andrew Ference (LTIR) 37 UFA
D Mark Fraser 30 UFA
D Griffin Reinhart 22 RFA
D Dillon Simpson 23 RFA
D David Musil 23 RFA
D Jordan Oesterle 24 RFA
G Cam Talbot (NMC) 29 $4.167M
G Jonas Gustavsson 32 UFA
G Laurent Brossoit 23 $750K

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Jordan Eberle F Jordan Eberle F Jordan Eberle
F Milan Lucic (NMC) F Milan Lucic (NMC) F Milan Lucic (NMC)
F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins F Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
F Leon Draisaitl F Leon Draisaitl F Leon Draisaitl
F Benoit Pouliot F Benoit Pouliot F Benoit Pouliot
F Patrick Maroon F Jujhar Khaira F Patrick Maroon
F Zack Kassian F Iiro Pakarinen F Iiro Pakarinen
D Andrej Sekera (NMC) D Andrej Sekera (NMC) D Andrej Sekera (NMC)
D Oscar Klefbom D Oscar Klefbom D Oscar Klefbom
D Adam Larsson D Adam Larsson D Adam Larsson
G Cam Talbot (NMC) G Cam Talbot (NMC) G Cam Talbot (NMC)

GM Peter Chiarelli has set himself up beautifully for the expansion draft. The Oilers are one of the few teams where a 7-3-1 scheme protects just the right players, leaving few guys available that would be a devastating loss. The only real potential to have quality talent plucked is between the pipes with top prospect Laurent Brossoit – although the more Talbot performs, the easier that loss would be to deal with.

Protection List:

nine of 11 spots are spoken for even though only three actual NMC’s exist. Eberle, Lucic, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, and Pouliot are virtual locks up front. Sekera, Klefbom, and Larsson are the only defensemen that needs protection, leaving just two forward spots up for grabs. If Edmonton wants to keep the current group together that is having so much success, it makes sense to protect both Zack Kassian and Patrick Maroon.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Similar to our main list, but this is what things might look like if Edmonton opts to use those final two spots on prospects opposed to veterans. There are several young players that could be in the mix, we’ve opted to go with Khaira and Pakarinen.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Here’s a hybrid mix of the first two lists. If Edmonton is having difficulty choosing between a veteran or prospect approach, they could force themselves to pick (1) of Maroon or Kassian, and (1) of the remaining available prospects.

Nov 3, 2016; Sunrise, FL, USA; Florida Panthers teammates celebrate after defeating the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime at the BB&T Center. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Florida Panthers

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Aleksander Barkov 21 $5.9M F Denis Malgin
F Vincent Trocheck 23 $4.75M F Jared McCann
F Nick Bjugstad 24 $4.1M F Kyle Rau
F Jussi Jokinen 33 $4.0M F Jayce Hawryluk
F Jaromir Jagr 44 UFA F Dryden Hunt
F Reilly Smith 25 $5.0M F Juho Lammikko
F Jonathan Huberdeau 23 $5.9M F Tim Bozon
F Derek MacKenzie 35 $1.375M F Chase Balisy
F Colton Sceviour 27 $950K
F Shane Harper 27 UFA D Michael Matheson
F Greg McKegg 24 RFA D Ian McCoshen
F Shawn Thornton 39 UFA D Thomas Schemitsch
F Jonathan Marchessault 25 $750K D Michael Downing
F Steve Hodges 22 RFA D Linus Hultstrom
F Brody Sutter 25 RFA D Josh Brown
F Paul Thompson 27 UFA
F Logan Shaw 24 RFA G Samuel Montembeault
G Colin Stevens
D Keith Yandle (NMC) 30 $6.35M
D Jason Demers 28 $4.5M
D Mark Pysyk 24 RFA
D Alex Petrovic 24 RFA
D Aaron Ekblad 20 $7.5M
D Steven Kampfer 28 UFA
D Jakub Kindl 29 UFA
D MacKenzie Weegar 22 RFA
D Brent Regner 27 UFA
G Roberto Luongo 37 $4.533M
G James Reimer 28 $3.4M
G Reto Berra 29 UFA
G Mike McKenna 33 UFA
G Sam Brittain 24 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Aleksander Barkov F Aleksander Barkov F Aleksander Barkov
F Vincent Trocheck F Vincent Trocheck F Vincent Trocheck
F Nick Bjugstad F Nick Bjugstad F Nick Bjugstad
F Jonathan Huberdeau F Jonathan Huberdeau F Jonathan Huberdeau
F Reilly Smith F Reilly Smith D Keith Yandle (NMC)
F Jonathan Marchessault F Jonathan Marchessault D Aaron Ekblad
F Jussi Jokinen F Derek MacKenzie D Alex Petrovic
D Keith Yandle (NMC) D Keith Yandle (NMC) D Jason Demers
D Aaron Ekblad D Aaron Ekblad G James Reimer
D Alex Petrovic D Alex Petrovic
G James Reimer G James Reimer

Here’s one of the most debatable lists based on the Panthers depth at each position. You could put Florida in that Ducks echelon of guaranteed to lose a real good player. With that in mind, if I’m the Panthers GM, I’ve gotta make sure that Las Vegas is forced to pay up if they want to pluck one of my better players. If that means protecting a young unproven defender opposed to a proven top-four veteran, so be it.

Protection List:

Just entering their Stanley Cup window, Florida must protect it’s most important players. Barkov, Trocheck, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, and Smith are obvious locks. Marchessault is working his way into a lock based off his hot start, and we’re including veteran Jussi Jokinen. Many are projecting he be left unprotected, but the dude just tallied 61 points in 2015-16, let’s be real here. On the back end as promised, we’ve opted to leave Jason Demers available in order to protect Alex Petrovic. If Vegas wants a defenseman, they’ll need to pay up.

Alternative Protection List 1:

As mentioned, most don’t include Jussi Jokinen. If you’re in that group of thought, perhaps saving captain Derek MacKenzie makes a little more sense? Then again, names like McKegg, Harper, or Thompson are potential candidates as well.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If Florida felt the need for a 4-4-1 protection scheme, it might look a little something like this. It doesn’t make a whole lot of sense though considering it leaves Jokinen, Smith, Marchessault, and others for the taking.

November 3, 2016; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Los Angeles Kings celebrate the goal scored by defenseman Matt Greene (2) against the Pittsburgh Penguins during the third period at Staples Center. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Kings

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Anze Kopitar (NMC) 29 $10.0M F Spencer Watson
F Dustin Brown 31 $5.875M F Adrian Kempe
F Jeff Carter 31 $5.273M F Matt Luff
F Marian Gaborik 34 $4.875M F Jonny Brodzinski
F Tyler Toffoli 24 RFA F Michael Amadio
F Trevor Lewis 29 $2.0M F Joel Lowry
F Dwight King 27 UFA F Patrick Bjorkstrand
F Kyle Clifford 25 $1.6M
F Teddy Purcell 31 UFA D Erik Cernak
F Tanner Pearson 24 RFA D Jacob Moverare
F Jordan Nolan 27 $950K D Damir Sharipzyanov
F Nic Dowd 26 $640K D Paul Ladue
F Nick Shore 24 RFA D Alex Lintuniemi
F Andy Andreoff 25 RFA D Kevin Gravel
F Devin Setoguchi 28 UFA D Zac Leslie
F Michael Mersch 24 RFA D Kurtis MacDermid
F Justin Auger 22 RFA
F Andrew Crescenzi 24 RFA
F Michael Latta 25 RFA
D Drew Doughty 26 $7.0M
D Alec Martinez 29 $4.0M
D Jake Muzzin 27 $4.0M
D Matt Greene 33 $2.5M
D Brayden McNabb 25 $1.7M
D Tom Gilbert 33 UFA
D Derek Forbort 24 $650K
D Rob Scuderi 37 UFA
D Zach Trotman 26 RFA
D Vincent Loverde 27 UFA
G Jonathan Quick 30 $5.8M
G Jeff Zatkoff 29 $900K
G Jack Campbell 24 $613K
G Peter Budaj 34 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Anze Kopitar (NMC) F Anze Kopitar (NMC) F Anze Kopitar (NMC)
F Jeff Carter F Jeff Carter F Jeff Carter
F Tyler Toffoli F Tyler Toffoli F Tyler Toffoli
F Tanner Pearson F Tanner Pearson F Tanner Pearson
F Marian Gaborik F Trevor Lewis D Drew Doughty
F Kyle Clifford F Dwight King D Alec Martinez
F Michael Mersch F Kyle Clifford D Jake Muzzin
D Drew Doughty D Drew Doughty G Jonathan Quick
D Alec Martinez D Alec Martinez
D Jake Muzzin D Jake Muzzin
G Jonathan Quick G Jonathan Quick

It’s important to note that while we have included a 4-4-1 scheme in the 2nd alternate list, it’s highly unlikely LA chooses that route with the abundance of forwards available. As it stands, the Kings already stand to leave a few quality players exposed in the 7-3-1 format.

Protection List:

Eight players are virtually locked into protection slots. The three D (Doughty, Martinez, Muzzin), Quick, then up front, Kopitar, Carter, Toffoli, and Pearson. That leaves three forward spots to protect players. Given his injury history, I’d prefer to keep Gaborik unprotected but I see LA protecting an old investment. So, we’ve got Trevor Lewis, Dwight King, Jordan Nolan, Andy Andreoff, Kyle Clifford, Michael Mersch, Nic Dowd, and Nick Shore all fighting for two spots. I’m opting to protect Clifford and Mersch.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If the Kings would prefer to protect a few more core pieces, they could opt for this option which is similar to the main list minus Gaborik and Mersch, plus Lewis and King.

Alternative Protection List 2:

If for whatever reason LA were to choose to save an extra defenseman, the only real debate in the entire list is whether to protect Derek Forbort or Brayden McNabb with that final spot. Again, let’s call this very unlikely.

Oct 29, 2016; Saint Paul, MN, USA; Minnesota Wild forward Eric Staal (12) celebrates his goal in the third period against the Dallas Stars at Xcel Energy Center. The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 4-0. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Wild

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Zach Parise (NMC) 32 $7.538M F Joel Eriksson Ek
F Mikko Koivu (NMC) 33 $6.75M F Chase Lang
F Jason Pominville (NMC) 33 $5.6M F Alex Tuch
F Eric Staal 31 $3.5M F Sam Anas
F Charlie Coyle 24 $3.2M F Pavel Jenys
F Mikael Granlund 24 RFA F Mario Lucia
F Nino Niederreiter 24 RFA F Christoph Bertschy
F Jason Zucker 24 $2.0M F Adam Gilmour
F Chris Stewart 28 $1.15M F Grayson Downing
F Erik Haula 25 RFA
F Teemu Pulkkinen 24 RFA D Dylan Labbe
F Zac Dalpe 26 UFA D Gustav Bouramman
F Jordan Schroeder 26 RFA D Mike Rielly
F Pat Cannone 30 UFA D Gustav Olofsson
F Brady Brassart 23 RFA D Nick Seeler
F Kurtis Gabriel 23 RFA D Zach Palmquist
F Tyler Graovac 23 $625K D Hunter Warner
F Zack Mitchell 23 RFA
G Adam Vay
D Ryan Suter (NMC) 31 $7.538M G Steve Michalek
D Jared Spurgeon 26 $5.188M
D Jonas Brodin 23 $4.167M
D Marco Scandella 26 $4.0M
D Mathew Dumba 22 $2.55M
D Christian Folin 25 RFA
D Nate Prosser 30 UFA
D Victor Bartley 28 UFA
D Alex Gudbranson 22 RFA
D Guillaume Gelinas 23 RFA
G Devan Dubnyk 30 $4.333M
G Darcy Kuemper 26 UFA
G Alex Stalock 29 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Zach Parise (NMC) F Zach Parise (NMC) F Zach Parise (NMC)
F Mikko Koivu (NMC) F Mikko Koivu (NMC) F Mikko Koivu (NMC)
F Jason Pominville (NMC) F Jason Pominville (NMC) F Charlie Coyle
F Charlie Coyle F Charlie Coyle F Mikael Granlund
F Mikael Granlund F Mikael Granlund D Ryan Suter (NMC)
F Nino Niederreiter F Nino Niederreiter D Jared Spurgeon
F Erik Haula F Eric Staal D Mathew Dumba
D Ryan Suter (NMC) D Ryan Suter (NMC) D Christian Folin
D Jared Spurgeon D Jared Spurgeon G Devan Dubnyk
D Mathew Dumba D Mathew Dumba
G Devan Dubnyk G Devan Dubnyk *Pominville asked to waive NMC

One way or another, the Wild are likely to lose one of two defensemen. Because of that, Minnesota can make life a little easier on themselves. Sure, they could use a 4-4-1 protection scheme and choose who to keep between Jonas Brodin or Marco Scandella. Then again, it’ll cost them three valuable exposed forwards to do so. Why not use the 7-3-1 format, protect Suter, Dumba, and Spurgeon, and let Las Vegas decide which top-four defender they’d prefer. At least that way, Minnesota can protect a few extra bodies.

Protection List:

Having three extra forward slots means the Wild don’t need to choose between saving Coyle or Granlund. They can save both, plus Nino Niederreiter. That 7th slot is where things get interesting. We’ve opted for Erik Haula, but other names that could contend are Jason Zucker, Eric Staal, Teemu Pulkkinen, Zac Dalpe, and Tyler Graovac.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Let’s call this the protection list if Eric Staal continues to tear it up in 2016-17. On such an affordable cap hit, it wouldn’t make much sense to risk losing him if he has a solid bounce back season.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Here’s what that 4-4-1 list might look like. As you can see, it leaves Charlie Coyle available, and you mid as well save the emerging Christian Folin and force Las Vegas to pay up if they want to pluck top talent from the Wild.

Oct 29, 2016; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Montreal Canadiens defenseman Shea Weber (6) reacts with teammates Brendan Gallagher (11) and Alexander Radulov (47) and Alex Galchenyuk (27) after scoring a goal against the Toronto Maple Leafs during the third period at the Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

Montreal Canadiens

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Tomas Plekanec 33 $6.0M F Artturi Lehkonen
F Alexander Radulov 30 UFA F Martin Reway
F Max Pacioretty 27 $4.5M F Nikita Scherbak
F Andrew Shaw 25 $3.9M F Daniel Audette
F Brendan Gallagher 24 $3.75M F Michael McCarron
F David Desharnais 30 UFA F Mark MacMillan
F Alex Galchenyuk 22 RFA F Jeremy Gregoire
F Torrey Mitchell 31 $1.2M
F Paul Byron 27 $1.167M D Mikhail Sergachev
F Brian Flynn 28 UFA D Noah Juulsen
F Phillip Danault 23 $913K D Tom Parisi
F Daniel Carr 24 $725K D Ryan Johnston
F Chris Terry 27 UFA D Brett Lernout
F Max Friberg 23 RFA
F Bobby Farnham 27 UFA G Michael McNiven
F Jacob de La Rose 21 RFA G Charlie Lindgren
F Sven Andrighetto 23 RFA G Zach Fucale
F Connor Crisp 22 RFA
F Charles Hudon 22 RFA
F Stefan Matteau 22 RFA
D Shea Weber 31 $7.587M
D Andrei Markov 37 UFA
D Jeff Petry (NMC) 28 $5.5M
D Alexei Emelin 30 $4.1M
D Nathan Beaulieu 23 RFA
D Greg Pateryn 26 $800K
D Zach Redmond 28 $613K
D Mark Barberio 26 $750K
D Philip Samuelsson 25 RFA
D Joel Hanley 25 RFA
D Jonathan Racine 23 RFA
D Dalton Thrower 22 RFA
G Carey Price 29 $6.5M
G Al Montoya 31 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Max Pacioretty F Max Pacioretty F Max Pacioretty
F Brendan Gallagher F Brendan Gallagher F Brendan Gallagher
F Alex Galchenyuk F Alex Galchenyuk F Alex Galchenyuk
F Tomas Plekanec F Tomas Plekanec F Tomas Plekanec
F Andrew Shaw F Andrew Shaw D Shea Weber
F Charles Hudon F Daniel Carr D Jeff Petry (NMC)
F Phillip Danault F Paul Byron D Nathan Beaulieu
D Shea Weber D Shea Weber D Alexei Emelin
D Jeff Petry (NMC) D Jeff Petry (NMC) G Carey Price
D Nathan Beaulieu D Nathan Beaulieu
G Carey Price G Carey Price

This is admittedly one of the toughest teams to figure out. They could make an argument for using either protection scheme, and tend to have a large number of players vying for very few spots. It makes those final 2-3 forward slots a difficult choice.

Protection List:

On the back end, Weber, Petry, and Beaulieu are logical choices to protect. Personally, I’d prefer to save the three extra forwards opposed to keeping Emelin. I’m not even sure Las Vegas would be interested in the Russian defender.

Up front, the Habs may opt to leave Plekanec unprotected to see if they could shed the contract, but it might be wise to save the longtime Montreal forward. It also makes sense to save their newest investment in Andrew Shaw. That leaves two slots for (2) David Desharnais, Torrey Mitchell, Paul Byron, Brian Flynn, Phillip Danault, Daniel Carr, Jacob de La Rose, Sven Adrighetto, and Charles Hudon. I’m leaning to Hudon and Danault based on potential.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If the Habs would prefer to keep more of their core 23-man roster together, they might choose to protect the likes of Daniel Carr and Paul Byron instead of a pair of prospects.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Should Montreal feel a need to protect Alexei Emelin (not sure why they would want to do this), a 4-4-1 scheme might look like this. It’s worth noting that leaves Plekanec and Shaw for Las Vegas to choose from.

Nov 3, 2016; Glendale, AZ, USA; Nashville Predators right wing Craig Smith (15) celebrates with defenseman Ryan Ellis (4) after scoring a power play goal in the second period against Arizona Coyotes at Gila River Arena. Mandatory Credit: Matt Kartozian-USA TODAY Sports

Nashville Predators

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Filip Forsberg 22 $6.0M F Kevin Fiala
F James Neal 29 $5.0M F Vladislav Kamenev
F Mike Fisher 36 UFA F Yakov Trenin
F Craig Smith 27 $4.25M F Justin Kirkland
F Ryan Johansen 24 RFA F Anthony Richard
F Colin Wilson 27 $3.938M F Adam Payerl
F Mike Ribeiro 36 UFA F Frederick Gaudreau
F Calle Jarnkrok 25 $2.0M F Michael Liambas
F Viktor Arvidsson 23 RFA
F Colton Sissons 22 $625K D Samuel Girard
F Miikka Salomaki 23 $613K D Frederic Allard
F Cody Bass 29 $613K D Jack Dougherty
F Austin Watson 24 RFA D Alexandre Carrier
F Harry Zolnierczyk 29 UFA D Trevor Murphy
F Trevor Smith 31 $613K D Jonathan-Ismael Diaby
F Pontus Aberg 23 RFA
F Felix Girard 22 RFA G Juuse Saros
F Max Gortz 23 RFA G Jonas Gunnarsson
D P.K. Subban 27 $9.0M
D Roman Josi 26 $4.0M
D Mattias Ekholm 26 $3.75M
D Ryan Ellis 25 $2.5M
D Matt Carle 32 UFA
D Anthony Bitetto 26 $613K
D Yannick Weber 28 UFA
D Petter Granberg 24 $613K
D Matt Irwin 28 UFA
D Jaynen Rissling 23 RFA
G Pekka Rinne (NMC) 33 $7.0M
G Marek Mazanec 25 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
4F – 4D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Filip Forsberg F Filip Forsberg F Filip Forsberg
F Ryan Johansen F Ryan Johansen F Ryan Johansen
F James Neal F Craig Smith F James Neal
F Craig Smith F Colin Wilson F Craig Smith
D P.K. Subban D P.K. Subban F Colin Wilson
D Roman Josi D Roman Josi F Viktor Arvidsson
D Mattias Ekholm D Mattias Ekholm F Calle Jarnkrok
D Ryan Ellis D Ryan Ellis D P.K. Subban
G Pekka Rinne (NMC) G Pekka Rinne (NMC) D Roman Josi
D Ryan Ellis
G Pekka Rinne (NMC)

Welcome Preds fans to that exclusive club of teams bound to provide one of the better selections to Las Vegas. The conundrum is this: use a 7-3-1 scheme and lose D Mattias Ekholm, or use a 4-4-1 scheme and lose one of Colin Wilson, Craig Smith, Viktor Arvidsson, Calle Jarnkrork, the list goes on. Perhaps if Nashville is unable to turn things around after a slow start, it might trigger some type of trade that allows the Predators to protect seven forwards.

Protection List:

Assuming things stay relatively normal without significant change, the 4-4-1 scheme makes a little more sense. Ekholm is far more valuable than any one of those forwards that Nashville could lose. Some have suggested James Neal be left unprotected due to his contract, but that would be a mistake for the Preds, he’s a quality goal scorer. The only real debate is who to protect with that fourth and final slot up front. Arvidsson is certainly forcing his name into the conversation early on, but this has gotta be a two-man race between Colin Wilson and Craig Smith.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Perhaps David Poile does want to tempt George McPhee leaving Neal unprotected in hopes of shedding a big contract. If that’s the case, Nashville can protect both Smith and Wilson and don’t have to choose.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Let’s make a wild hypothetical that Nashville’s defensive experiment is a disaster. Maybe Ekholm gets dealt, or the Preds are okay letting Las Vegas potentially scoop him up. A 7-3-1 scheme could look like this. At least in this scenario, they can save Neal, Smith, Wilson, Arvidsson, and Jarnkrok.

Nov 3, 2016; Sunrise, FL, USA; New Jersey Devils right wing PA Parenteau (center) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against Florida Panthers during the third period at the BB&T Center. The Florida Panthers defeat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

New Jersey Devils

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Taylor Hall 24 $6.0M F Pavel Zacha
F Travis Zajac 31 $5.75M F Blake Speers
F Mike Cammalleri 34 $5.0M F Miles Wood
F Kyle Palmieri 25 $4.65M F Michael Mcleod
F Adam Henrique 26 $4.0M F John Quenneville
F Devante Smith-Pelly 24 $1.3M F Nathan Bastian
F Vernon Fiddler 36 UFA F Nick Lappin
F Jacob Josefson 25 RFA F Ryan Kujawinski
F P.A. Parenteau 33 UFA F Blake Coleman
F Beau Bennett 24 RFA F Brandon Baddock
F Reid Boucher 23 RFA F Blake Pietila
F Luke Gazdic 27 UFA F Joseph Blandisi
F Ryane Clowe (NMC – LTIR) 34 $4.85M F Sergey Kalinin
F Carter Camper 28 UFA
F Ben Thomson 23 RFA D Yohann Auvitu
D Steve Santini
D Andy Greene 33 $5.0M D Josh Jacobs
D Ben Lovejoy 32 $2.667M D Colton White
D John Moore 25 $1.667M D Colby Sissons
D Kyle Quincey 31 UFA D Vojtech Mozik
D Jon Merrill 24 $1.138M
D Damon Severson 22 RFA G Mackenzie Blackwood
D Brandon Gormley 24 RFA G Ken Appleby
D Andrew MacWilliam 26 UFA
D Karl Stollery 28 UFA
D Reece Scarlett 23 RFA
D Seth Helgeson 26 RFA
G Cory Schneider 30 $6.0M
G Keith Kinkaid 27 UFA
G Scott Wedgewood 24 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Taylor Hall F Taylor Hall F Taylor Hall
F Travis Zajac F Travis Zajac F Travis Zajac
F Adam Henrique F Adam Henrique F Adam Henrique
F Kyle Palmieri F Kyle Palmieri F Kyle Palmieri
F Devante Smith-Pelly D Andy Greene F Devante Smith-Pelly
F Mike Cammalleri D Damon Severson F Sergey Kalinin
F Reid Boucher D John Moore F Beau Bennett
D Andy Greene D Jon Merrill D Andy Greene
D Damon Severson G Cory Schneider D Damon Severson
D John Moore D John Moore
G Cory Schneider G Cory Schneider

GM Ray Shero has options at this point. Depending how he feels, the Devils could use either protection scheme. The debate becomes, would you rather save D Jon Merill or Devante-Smith Pelly and Mike Cammalleri plus one other forward. Truth be told, if I’m GM George McPhee, my eyes are set squarely on goaltenders Keith Kinkaid and Scott Wedgewood.

Protection List:

Using the 7-3-1 format, locks to be protected include Hall, Zajac, Henrique, and Palmieri up front, Greene and Severson on the back end, and Schneider in goal. That leaves three forward slots and one on defense. Looking to the blue line, the debate is between John Moore and Jon Merrill. Both are similar talents but you’ve got to give the advantage to Moore unless Merill turns some heads upon return from injury. Looking at the forwards, Smith-Pelly and Cammalleri are next top talents that need protection. That leaves (1) slot for Josefson, Bennett, and Boucher. Although Boucher is yet to make much of an NHL impact, there’s a lot of potential worth saving.

Alternative Protection List 1:

If New Jersey prefers to save both Moore and Merill, it’s certainly possible. It would leave the likes of Smith-Pelly and Cammalleri up for grabs.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Given his age and injury history, Ray Shero may prefer to see if Las Vegas is interested in taking the Cammalleri contract off their hands. If that’s the case, it allows the Devils to save one of those extra forwards (Bennett or Josefson).

Nov 3, 2016; Brooklyn, NY, USA; New York Islanders center John Tavares (91) celebrates his goal with teammates during the second period against Philadelphia Flyers at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports

New York Islanders

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F John Tavares (NMC) 26 $5.5M F Anthony Beauvillier
F Andrew Ladd (NMC) 30 $5.5M F Mathew Barzal
F Mikhail Grabovski 32 $5.0M F Josh Ho-Sang
F Nikolay Kulemin 30 $4.188M F Michael Dal Colle
F Anders Lee 26 $3.75M F Mitch Vande Sompel
F Casey Cizikas 25 $3.35M F Carter Verhaeghe
F Josh Bailey 27 $3.3M F Kyle Schempp
F Cal Clutterbuck 28 UFA F Ross Johnston
F Brock Nelson 25 $2.5M
F Ryan Strome 23 $2.5M D Parker Wotherspoon
F Jason Chimera 37 $2.25M D Devon Toews
F Shane Prince 23 $850K D Kyle Burroughs
F Alan Quine 23 $613K
F Eric Boulton 40 UFA G Eamon McAdam
F Ben Holmstrom 29 UFA G Stephon Williams
F Bracken Kearns 35 UFA
D Johnny Boychuk (NMC) 32 $6.0M
D Nick Leddy 25 $5.5M
D Travis Hamonic 26 $3.857M
D Thomas Hickey 27 $2.2M
D Calvin de Haan 25 RFA
D Dennis Seidenberg 35 UFA
D Ryan Pulock 22 $863K
D Scott Mayfield 24 $625K
D Adam Pelech 22 RFA
D Matt Finn 22 RFA
D Lois Leduc 22 RFA
D Jesse Graham 22 RFA
G Jaroslav Halak 31 $4.5M
G Thomas Greiss 30 UFA
G Jean-Francois Berube 25 RFA
G Christopher Gibson 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F John Tavares (NMC) F John Tavares (NMC) F John Tavares (NMC)
F Andrew Ladd (NMC) F Andrew Ladd (NMC) F Andrew Ladd (NMC)
F Anders Lee F Anders Lee F Anders Lee
F Ryan Strome F Ryan Strome F Ryan Strome
F Casey Cizikas D Johnny Boychuk (NMC) F Casey Cizikas
F Josh Bailey D Nick Leddy F Shane Prince
F Brock Nelson D Travis Hamonic F Brock Nelson
D Johnny Boychuk (NMC) D Ryan Pulock D Johnny Boychuk (NMC)
D Nick Leddy G Jean-Francois Berube D Nick Leddy
D Travis Hamonic D Travis Hamonic
G Jean-Francois Berube G Jean-Francois Berube

Here’s another team that is difficult to figure out. With reason to save upwards of five defensemen, GM Garth Snow needs to make some difficult decisions. My thought process is this: If the Isles want to protect Ryan Pulock (might be wise), they could use a 4-4-1 scheme leaving both Hickey and de Haan unprotected. Then again, the highly touted prospect is yet to make any type of impact so we’re willing to bet other players rank higher on Las Vegas’ list. Given the amount of quality forwards in need of protection, Garth Snow mid as well use the 7-3-1 format and let George McPhee likely select one of Calvin de Haan or Thomas Hickey.

Protection List:

We were leaning towards protecting Jaroslav Halak after his impressive World Cup performance. Recent trade rumors, however, suggest he may have an expiration date. If that’s the case, J-F Berube is the logical save. It’s not a knock on Greiss’ talent, merely an age factor – why save the stop-gap option for Ilya Sorokin?

In terms of locks to be protected, Boychuk, Leddy, and Hamonic make up the back end. Up front, Tavares, Ladd, Lee, Strome, and Nelson are safe. That leaves a couple of spots for the likes of Casey Cizikas, Josh Bailey, Shane Prince, Mikhail Grabovski, Nikolai Kulemin, the list goes on. We’ve opted to protect Cizikas and Bailey.

Alternative Protection List 1:

The only downfall of a 4-4-1 scheme to protect Ryan Pulock is that it means sacrificing one of those forwards that should be a lock for protection. Take your pick, Anders Lee, Ryan Strome, or Brock Nelson. We went with Nelson, but this isn’t exactly a viable option unless Garth Snow has plans to protect players via trade.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Almost identical to our main protection list. This is for you out there who may value Shane Prince a little higher than longtime Isles forward Josh Bailey. The only other option is to leave Casey Cizikas unprotected, but that would be a mistake as Las Vegas would likely be all over that.

Nov 3, 2016; New York, NY, USA; New York Rangers right wing Michael Grabner (40) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the Edmonton Oilers during the second period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

New York Rangers

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Rick Nash 32 $7.8M F Pavel Buchnevich
F Derek Stepan 26 $6.5M F Jimmy Vesey
F Chris Kreider 25 $4.625M F Ryan Gropp
F Mats Zuccarello 29 $4.5M F Robin Kovacs
F J.T. Miller 23 $2.75M F Adam Tambellini
F Mika Zibanejad 23 RFA F Adam Chapie
F Kevin Hayes 24 $2.6M F Cristoval Nieves
F Michael Grabner 29 $1.65M F Steven Fogarty
F Brandon Pirri 25 RFA F Malte Stromwall
F Jesper Fast 24 RFA
F Oscar Lindberg 24 RFA D Brady Skjei
F Josh Jooris 26 RFA D Sergey Zborovskiy
F Tanner Glass 32 UFA D John Gilmour
F Marek Hrivik 25 RFA D Troy Donnay
F Justin Fontaine 28 UFA D Ryan Graves
F Chris Brown 25 RFA D Michael Paliotta
F Nicklas Jensen 23 RFA
G Brandon Halverson
D Marc Staal (NMC) 29 $5.7M
D Dan Girardi (NMC) 32 $5.5M
D Ryan McDonagh 27 $4.7M
D Kevin Klein 31 $2.9M
D Nick Holden 29 $1.65M
D Dylan McIlrath 24 RFA
D Adam Clendening 23 RFA
D Chris Summers 28 UFA
D Mat Bodie 26 UFA
D Calle Andersson 22 RFA
D Tommy Hughes 24 RFA
G Henrik Lundqvist (NMC) 34 $8.5M
G Antti Raanta 27 $1.0M
G Mackenzie Skapski 22 RFA
G Magnus Hellberg 25 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Derek Stepan F Derek Stepan F Derek Stepan
F Chris Kreider F Chris Kreider F Chris Kreider
F Mats Zuccarello F Mats Zuccarello F Mats Zuccarello
F Mika Zibanejad F Mika Zibanejad F Mika Zibanejad
F J.T. Miller F J.T. Miller D Marc Staal (NMC)
F Kevin Hayes F Brandon Pirri D Dan Girardi (NMC)
F Oscar Lindberg F Oscar Lindberg D Ryan McDonagh
D Marc Staal (NMC) D Marc Staal (NMC) D Dylan McIlrath
D Dan Girardi (NMC) D Dylan McIlrath G Henrik Lundqvist (NMC)
D Ryan McDonagh D Ryan McDonagh
G Henrik Lundqvist (NMC) G Henrik Lundqvist (NMC)
*Girardi asked to waive NMC

This protection list for the Rangers seemed a lot more simple at the start of 2016-17. Now, we’ve got emerging players and a Rick Nash bounce back performance that could make things very interesting. Regardless of what type of numbers Rick Nash puts up, if NY doesn’t win the Cup, Jeff Gorton would be wise to tempt Las Vegas with Nash’s availability. I might even use his bounce back campaign to try to arrange a deal to ensure George McPhee selects him. A similar scenario played out in 2000 when Columbus GM Doug MacLean was given a pair of prospects to select Geoff Sanderson.

Protection List:

Many were asking how NY can possibly rid themselves of Dan Girardi’s NMC in time for the expansion draft. Truth be told, it doesn’t hurt them all that much if they’re forced to protect him. And they can always ask him to waive the no-move clause citing his lucrative contract as a reason why he wouldn’t be selected.

In this scenario, defense and goaltending are locked down. Among the locks to be protected up front, we have Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, and you might even include Miller and Lindberg. We’ve also included Kevin Hayes, although who knows with the way Brandon Pirri has been playing early on. It leaves names like Pirri, Grabner, Fast, and Jooris on the outside looking in.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what the protection list might look like at season’s end if Brandon Pirri continues playing the way he has. We’ve also included Dylan McIlrath on the back end as the potential replacement if Girardi were to waive his NMC.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Call this one very unlikely, but let’s say that Girardi is unwilling to waive his NMC and Jeff Gorton feels the need to protect Dylan McIllrath given the emerging depth up front. Only problem with this: it leaves J.T. Miller and Oscar Lindberg available.

Nov 3, 2016; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Ottawa Senators goalie Mike Condon (1) celebrates with teammates after defeating the Vancouver Canucks 1-0 in a shutout at the Canadian Tire Centre. Mandatory Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

Ottawa Senators

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Bobby Ryan (NMC) 29 $7.25M F Logan Brown
F Mike Hoffman 26 $5.188M F Gabriel Gagne
F Derick Brassard 29 $5.0M F Francis Perron
F Clarke MacArthur 31 $4.65M F Nick Paul
F Mark Stone 24 $3.5M F Vincent Dunn
F Kyle Turris 27 $3.5M F Chad Nehring
F Zack Smith 28 UFA
F Chris Neil 37 UFA D Thomas Chabot
F Chris Kelly 35 UFA D Andreas Englund
F Jean-Gabriel Pageau 23 RFA D Maxime Lajoie
F Matt Puempel 23 RFA D Macoy Erkamps
F Curtis Lazar 21 RFA D Ben Harpur
F Casey Bailey 25 RFA D Cody Donaghey
F Tom Pyatt 29 UFA
F Buddy Robinson 25 RFA G Matt O’Connor
F Ryan Dzingel 24 RFA
F Mike Blunden 29 $738K
F Phil Varone 25 RFA
F Max McCormick 24 RFA
F Ryan Rupert 22 RFA
F Zack Stortini 31 UFA
D Dion Phaneuf (NMC) 31 $7.0M
D Erik Karlsson 26 $6.5M
D Marc Methot 31 $4.9M
D Cody Ceci 22 $2.8M
D Mark Borowiecki 27 $1.1M
D Patrick Sieloff 22 RFA
D Mikael Wikstrand 22 RFA
D Chris Wideman 26 $800K
D Mike Kostka 30 UFA
D Fredrik Claesson 23 RFA
G Craig Anderson 35 $4.2M
G Andrew Hammond 28 $1.35M
G Chris Driedger
G Mike Condon
22
26
RFA
UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Bobby Ryan (NMC) F Bobby Ryan (NMC) F Bobby Ryan (NMC)
F Mike Hoffman F Mike Hoffman F Mike Hoffman
F Derick Brassard F Derick Brassard F Derick Brassard
F Mark Stone F Mark Stone F Mark Stone
F Kyle Turris F Kyle Turris D Dion Phaneuf (NMC)
F Curtis Lazar F Ryan Dzingel D Erik Karlsson
F Jean-Gabriel Pageau F Jean-Gabriel Pageau D Cody Ceci
D Dion Phaneuf (NMC) D Dion Phaneuf (NMC) D Marc Methot
D Erik Karlsson D Erik Karlsson G Andrew Hammond
D Cody Ceci D Cody Ceci
G Andrew Hammond G Andrew Hammond

The Ottawa Senators could use a 4-4-1 protection scheme in order to protect their top four defensive group, but it just won’t be feasible with a plethora of forwards available. It seems Marc Methot could be the odd-man out on the back end, which may or may not interest Las Vegas in his early 30s. Don’t be surprised if the Sens use a conditional pick or prospects to get additional protection for Methot.

Protection List:

In the 7-3-1 format, there are five forwards that could be considered virtual locks to be saved: Bobby Ryan, Mike Hoffman, Derick Brassard, Mark Stone, and Kyle Turris. Things get interesting in the battle for those last two spots. We think Curtis Lazar and J-G Pageau are the next two in line, leaving names such as Zack Smith, Matt Puempel, and Ryan Dzingel on the outside looking in.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Identical to our main list except that we’ve swapped Ryan Dzingel for Curtis Lazar. With the way things are trending, there’s a chance Dzingel will have more value by the time June rolls around.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Here’s what that 4-4-1 scheme would look like. As you can see, it’s not an ideal scenario since it leaves Kyle Turris and J-G Pageau unprotected.

Nov 2, 2016; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Flyers goalie Michal Neuvirth (30) celebrates win with defenseman Mark Streit (32), right wing Wayne Simmonds (17) and defenseman Radko Gudas (3) against Detroit Red Wings at Wells Fargo Center. The Flyers defeated the Red Wings, 4-3 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia Flyers

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Claude Giroux (NMC) 28 $8.275M F Roman Lyubimov
F Jakub Voracek 27 $8.25M F Travis Konecny
F Brayden Schenn 25 $5.125M F Pascal Laberge
F Sean Couturier 23 $4.33M F Nicolas Aube-Kubel
F Wayne Simmonds 28 $3.975M F Cole Bardreau
F Matt Read 30 $3.625M F Danick Martel
F Michael Raffl 27 $2.35M F Tyrell Goulbourne
F Dale Weise 28 $2.35M F Radel Fazleev
F Boyd Gordon 33 UFA
F Scott Laughton 22 RFA D Robert Hagg
F Nick Cousins 23 RFA D Ivan Provorov
F Taylor Leier 22 RFA D Samuel Morin
F Chris VandeVelde 29 UFA D Travis Sanheim
F P.E. Bellemare 31 UFA D Reece Wilcox
F Petr Straka 24 RFA D Philippe Myers
F Jordan Weal 24 RFA
F Colin McDonald 32 $638K G Alex Lyon
F Andy Miele 28 UFA G Carter Hart
F Chris Conner 32 UFA
F Greg Carey 26 UFA
D Mark Streit 38 UFA
D Andrew MacDonald 30 $5.0M
D Michael Del Zotto 26 UFA
D Radko Gudas 26 $3.35M
D Nick Schultz 34 UFA
D Brandon Manning 26 $975K
D Shayne Gostisbehere 23 RFA
D Jesper Pettersson 22 RFA
D T.J. Brennan 27 $625K
D Mark Alt 25 RFA
D Will O’Neill 28 $613K
G Steve Mason 28 UFA
G Michal Neuvirth 28 UFA
G Anthony Stolarz 22 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Claude Giroux (NMC) F Claude Giroux (NMC) F Claude Giroux (NMC)
F Jakub Voracek F Jakub Voracek F Jakub Voracek
F Brayden Schenn F Brayden Schenn F Sean Couturier
F Sean Couturier F Sean Couturier F Wayne Simmonds
F Wayne Simmonds F Wayne Simmonds D Shayne Gostisbehere
F Scott Laughton F Matt Read D Radko Gudas
F Michael Raffl F Taylor Leier D Brandon Manning
D Shayne Gostisbehere D Shayne Gostisbehere D Michael Del Zotto
D Radko Gudas D Radko Gudas G Steve Mason
D Brandon Manning D Michael Del Zotto
G Steve Mason G Steve Mason

It’s important to note that while we’ve included a 4-4-1 protection list in our second alternative list, it’s merely to illustrate a point that it’s not a viable option.

Philly has a lot of tough decisions to make in expansion. Who do they protect between the pipes? Which defenders beyond the Ghost need to be saved? Which forward occupy those last couple of spots in a seven forward scheme? We’ve done our best to tackle these questions.

Protection List:

We’re opting to protect Steve Mason right now. Both Mason and Neuvirth are UFAs next summer, while 22-year-old Anthony Stolarz also remains as an option. At this point, it looks like Mason could earn another contract, but we’ll have to see how the season plays out.

On the blue line, a max of four defensemen could potentially use protection and that number dips to three if the Flyers let Michael Del Zotto walk into free agency. Philly is trending towards a younger back end, so we’ve opted to protect Gostisbehere, Gudas, and Manning.

Five forwards are virtual locks for Philadelphia: Claude Giroux (NMC), Jakub Voracek, Sean Couturier, Wayne Simmonds, and Brayden Schenn. That leaves two forward spots for a number of players. This is where the debate will be as we’ve chosen Scott Laughton and Michael Raffl. Those selections leave Matt Read, Dale Weise, Nick Cousins, Taylor Leier, and P.E. Bellemare on the outside looking in.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what the protection list could look like next June if both Read and Leier (AHL) continue their hot play.

Alternative Protection List 2:

There aren’t many logical reasons why Philly would need a 4-4-1 format, except perhaps if they were to re-sign Del Zotto and felt it necessary to protect the back end. Still, are you honestly going to sacrifice a Brayden Schenn in order to save a Del Zotto or Manning? Absolutely not.

Nov 2, 2016; Anaheim, CA, USA; Pittsburgh Penguins players Sidney Crosby (87), Chris Kunitz (14), Kris Letang and Justin Schultz (4) celebrate after a goal in the third period against the Anaheim Ducks during a NHL hockey match at Honda Center. The Penguins defeated the Ducks 5-1. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Pittsburgh Penguins

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Evgeni Malkin (NMC) 30 $9.5M F Thomas DiPauli
F Sidney Crosby (NMC) 29 $8.7M F Jake Guentzel
F Phil Kessel (NMC) 29 $6.8M F Teddy Blueger
F Patric Hornqvist 29 $4.25M F Daniel Sprong
F Carl Hagelin 28 $4.0M F Dominik Simon
F Chris Kunitz 37 UFA F Conor Sheary
F Eric Fehr 31 $2.0M F Carter Rowney
F Nick Bonino 28 UFA
F Matt Cullen 39 UFA D Ethan Prow
F Oskar Sundqvist 22 RFA D Lukas Bengtsson
F Josh Archibald 24 RFA
F Bryan Rust 24 $640K G Sean Maguire
F Scott Wilson 24 $625K G Tristan Jarry
F Tom Kuhnhackl 24 $625K
F Jean-Sebastian Dea 22 RFA
F Tom Sestito 29 UFA
F Garrett Wilson 25 RFA
F Kevin Porter 30 UFA
D Kris Letang (NMC) 29 $7.25M
D Olli Maatta 22 $4.083M
D Trevor Daley 33 UFA
D Ian Cole 27 $2.1M
D Justin Schultz 26 RFA
D Derrick Pouliot 22 RFA
D Brian Dumoulin 25 RFA
D David Warsofsky 26 UFA
D Chad Ruhwedel 26 UFA
D Stuart Percy 23 RFA
D Cameron Gaunce 26 UFA
D Steve Oleksy 30 UFA
D Reid McNeill 24 RFA
D Tim Erixon 25 RFA
G Marc-Andre Fleury (NMC) 31 $5.75M
G Matt Murray 22 $3.75M

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Evgeni Malkin (NMC) F Evgeni Malkin (NMC) F Evgeni Malkin (NMC)
F Sidney Crosby (NMC) F Sidney Crosby (NMC) F Sidney Crosby (NMC)
F Phil Kessel (NMC) F Phil Kessel (NMC) F Phil Kessel (NMC)
F Patric Hornqvist F Patric Hornqvist F Patric Hornqvist
F Nick Bonino F Nick Bonino D Kris Letang (NMC)
F Carl Hagelin F Carl Hagelin D Olli Maatta
F Bryan Rust F Tom Kuhnhackl D Brian Dumoulin
D Kris Letang (NMC) D Kris Letang (NMC) D Derrick Pouliot
D Olli Maatta D Olli Maatta G Matt Murray
D Brian Dumoulin D Derrick Pouliot
G Matt Murray G Matt Murray

Based on the early play of Nick Bonino and Carl Hagelin, there’s a growing argument one could make for using the 4-4-1 protection scheme. Following their Cup win this past Spring, that thought would have been unimaginable. A lot it hinges on the injured top prospect on the back end Derrick Pouliot. If he makes some noise upon return, how do you decide between saving Brian Dumoulin or Derrick Pouliot?

On a side note, Marc-Andre Fleury will be omitted until he finds a new home. The Pens might keep the pair together up until the deadline, maybe even longer. But at some point, Fleury and his NMC will need to be traded.

Protection List:

This is pure speculation, but something tells me that Pittsburgh will do a good job at hiding Pouliot in 2016-17. He’s already on the long-term IR, and if they force him down to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, it becomes increasingly difficult for Las Vegas to select a player with limited NHL experience.

With Pouliot on the sidelines, Pittsburgh can save Letang, Maatta, and Dumoulin. That leaves Ian Cole, Trevor Daley, and Justin Schultz available.

Picking six of the seven forwards was fairly simple. Malkin, Crosby, and Kessel have no-move clauses. Hornqvist, Bonino, and Hagelin might be considered that next tier of forwards, which leaves just one opening up front. Here’s where the serious debate begins as we’re choosing between Bryan Rust, Scott Wilson, Tom Kuhnhackl, and Garrett Wilson (among others).

Alternative Protection List 1:

Nearly identical to our main list, with a couple of changes. Some might prefer Kuhnhackl over Rust up front. On the back end, if Pouliot comes off the long-term IR and finally starts having an impact, Pittsburgh could find themselves in a “do we save Dumoulin or Pouliot” type scenario.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Should Pouliot make his way back into the lineup and have that offensive impact the Pens have been waiting for, it could back them into a corner. A 4-4-1 protection list certainly isn’t ideal, but possible depending how 2016-17 plays out. It leaves guys like Bonino and Hagelin exposed, but that might be the price to pay to protect the back end.

Nov 3, 2016; San Jose, CA, USA; San Jose Sharks head coach Peter DeBoer looks on during play against Calgary Flames during the second period at SAP Center at San Jose. Mandatory Credit: Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

San Jose Sharks

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Joe Thornton 37 UFA F Marcus Sorensen
F Patrick Marleau 37 UFA F Joonas Donskoi
F Joe Pavelski 32 $6.0M F Timo Meier
F Logan Couture 27 $6.0M F Nikolay Goldobin
F Mikkel Boedker 26 $4.0M F Danny O’Regan
F Joel Ward 35 $3.275M F Jonathon Martin
F Tomas Hertl 22 $3.0M F Kevin Lebanc
F Tommy Wingels 28 UFA F Alex Schoenborn
F Melker Karlsson 26 RFA F Adam Helewka
F Matt Nieto 23 RFA F Rourke Chartier
F Chris Tierney 22 RFA F Nikita Jevpalovs
F Barclay Goodrow 23 RFA
F Micheal Haley 30 UFA D Jeremy Roy
F Ryan Carpenter 25 RFA D Patrick McNally
D Michael Brodzinski
D Brent Burns 31 UFA D Julius Bergman
D Paul Martin 35 $4.85M D Joakim Ryan
D Marc-Edouard Vlasic 29 $4.25M D Cavan Fitzgerald
D Justin Braun 29 $3.8M
D Brenden Dillon 25 $3.27M G Mantas Armalis
D David Schlemko 29 $2.1M
D Mirco Mueller 21 RFA
D Tim Heed 25 RFA
D Dylan DeMelo 23 $650K
D Dan Kelly 27 UFA
G Martin Jones 26 $3.0M
G Aaron Dell 27 $625K
G Troy Grosenick 27 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Joe Pavelski F Joe Pavelski F Joe Pavelski
F Logan Couture F Logan Couture F Logan Couture
F Tomas Hertl F Tomas Hertl F Tomas Hertl
F Mikkel Boedker F Mikkel Boedker F Mikkel Boedker
F Melker Karlsson F Melker Karlsson D Brent Burns
F Matt Nieto F Joel Ward D Marc-Edouard Vlasic
F Chris Tierney F Matt Nieto D Dylan DeMelo
D Brent Burns D Brent Burns D Brenden Dillon
D Marc-Edouard Vlasic D Marc-Edouard Vlasic G Martin Jones
D Dylan DeMelo D Justin Braun
G Martin Jones G Martin Jones

Let the debate begin! Truth be told, the Sharks have a number of similar quality players that just happen to fall in that grey area where only a limited amount can be protected at each position. So, those final few spots up front and last spot on the blue line has multiple players vying to be saved.

The debate goes further than just players though. San Jose needs to figure out whether they plan to protect seven forwards or four-plus defenseman. The 7-3-1 scheme is most likely, but that could change depending how SJ does in 2016-17.

*Important note: We’re basically omitting Joe Thornton and Patrick Marleau. Both are slated to become UFAs and there’d be little reason for Las Vegas to select either. San Jose can save the two forward spots with a safe gamble that Thornton/Marleau go untouched. The only way these lists change is if SJ reaches an extension with either before the end of the year.

Protection List:

In terms of locks to be saved, we’ve got goaltender Martin Jones, defenders Brent Burns and Marc-Edouard Vlasic, and forwards Joe Pavelski, Logan Couture, Tomas Hertl, and Mikkel Boedker. That leaves us three forwards and one defenseman to protect. Some may favor the likes of Justin Braun or Brendan Dillon the back end, but I’d prefer to save one of Dylan DeMelo or Mirco Mueller. It’s nothing against Braun or Dillon, but they’ve had their shot to show what they can do. I’d rather bank on DeMelo or Mueller developing into something a little better.

Three spots up front, several names to choose from: Joel Ward, Tommy Wingels, Melker Karlsson, Matt Nieto, Chris Tierney, Barclay Goodrow, and Ryan Carpenter. As you can tell, we’re favoring Karlsson, Nieto, and Tierney, but that could always change.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what the Sharks protection list might look like if they were to strictly protect top talent regardless of age.

Alternative Protection List 2:

So, this is what a 4-4-1 format might look like. Considering there’s roughly five or six forwards of similar talent level vying for three spots in the tradition protection scheme, San Jose could say “we’d rather save an extra blueliner and just let Las Vegas choose from that group of forwards instead of trying to make the decision ourselves.”

Oct 29, 2016; St. Louis, MO, USA; St. Louis Blues left wing Jaden Schwartz (17) celebrates with teammates after scoring the game winning goal against the Los Angeles Kings during the third period at Scottrade Center. The Blues won 1-0. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

St. Louis Blues

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Vladimir Tarasenko 24 $7.5M F Mackenzie MacEachern
F Paul Stastny 30 $7.0M F Robby Fabbri
F Alexander Steen 32 $5.75M F Jordan Kyrou
F Jaden Schwartz 24 $5.35M F Ivan Barbashev
F Jori Lehtera 28 $4.7M F Adam Musil
F David Perron 28 $3.75M F Conner Bleackley
F Patrik Berglund 28 UFA F Justin Selman
F Nail Yakupov 23 RFA F Samuel Blais
F Ryan Reaves 29 $1.125M F Wade Megan
F Dmitrij Jaskin 23 $1.0M
F Kyle Brodziak 32 $950K D Jordan Schmaltz
F Scottie Upshall 33 UFA D Colton Parayko
F Landon Ferraro 25 RFA D Vince Dunn
F Magnus Paajarvi 25 RFA D Thomas Vennelli
F Ty Rattie 23 RFA D Dmitri Sergeev
F Kenny Agostino 24 RFA
F Andrew Agozzino 25 RFA G Ville Husso
F Jacob Doty 23 RFA G Luke Opilka
F Danny Kristo 26 UFA
F Jordan Caron 25 RFA
F Alex Friesen 25 RFA
D Alex Pietrangelo 26 $6.5M
D Jay Bouwmeester 33 $5.4M
D Kevin Shattenkirk 27 UFA
D Carl Gunnarsson 29 $2.9M
D Robert Bortuzzo 27 UFA
D Joel Edmundson 23 $1.05M
D Petteri Lindbohm 23 RFA
D Chris Butler 30 UFA
D Brad Hunt 28 UFA
D Morgan Ellis 24 RFA
G Jake Allen 26 $4.35M
G Carter Hutton 30 $1.125M
G Phoenix Copley 24 RFA
G Jordan Binnington 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Vladimir Tarasenko F Vladimir Tarasenko F Vladimir Tarasenko
F Jaden Schwartz F Jaden Schwartz F Jaden Schwartz
F Alexander Steen F Alexander Steen F Alexander Steen
F Jori Lehtera F Jori Lehtera F Jori Lehtera
F Nail Yakupov F Nail Yakupov D Alex Pietrangelo
F Paul Stastny F David Perron D Jay Bouwmeester
F Ty Rattie F Ty Rattie D Joel Edmundson
D Alex Pietrangelo D Alex Pietrangelo D Petteri Lindbohm
D Jay Bouwmeester D Jay Bouwmeester G Jake Allen
D Joel Edmundson D Petteri Lindbohm
G Jake Allen G Jake Allen

The Blues are in a tough position. If they want to save seven forwards, they likely stand to lose a quality defender. Should they choose to protect four or more defenseman, quality forwards become available. One way or another, St. Louis stands to lose a decent player unless they can wheel and deal in June to protect a few extra bodies via trade.

Protection List:

The way we see it is this: Four forwards, two defensemen, and goalie Jake Allen all require protection. That leaves three forwards and one d-man to fill out our list.

Looking to the back end, three players are vying for that last spot; Joel Edmundson, Petteri Lindbohm and Carl Gunnarsson. Given his age and cap hit, it might be safe to assume Gunnarsson will be on the outside looking in. It seems Edmundson might have the early lead on Lindbohm, but we’ll have to see how the new season plays out.

Up front, those last three spots are tough to pick. Still available at this point is Paul Stastny, David Perron, Patrik Berglund (UFA), Nail Yakupov, Dmitrij Jaskin, and Ty Rattie. How exactly is St. Louis supposed to pick between that group? Right now, it seems Stastny, Yakupov, and Rattie might be the top three.

Alternative Protection List 1:

This is for those you who might prefer Lindbohm over Edmundson on the back end. We’ve also taken a youthful approach to the forwards, assuming that Las Vegas might not be interested in a 30-year-old Paul Stastny at $7 million dollars/year. Although, if I’m George McPhee, those contracts of Rick Nash or Paul Stastny are even more attractive when they help get to that min. cap number.

Alternative Protection List 2:

While using a 4-4-1 list is unlikely, we wanted to illustrate what it might look like. Unless St. Louis feels the need to protect an extra defenseman, it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense. One could argue that a 7-3-1 scheme makes a defenseman extra vulnerable, while a 4-4-1 scheme basically forces Las Vegas to select from a group of six talented forwards opposed to just three.

Nov 1, 2016; Brooklyn, NY, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) celebrates his goal against the New York Islanders with teammates during the first period at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Steven Stamkos (NMC) 26 $8.5M F Adam Erne
F Ryan Callahan (NMC) 31 $5.8M F Mitchell Stephens
F Valtteri Filppula (NMC) 32 $5.0M F Matthew Peca
F Nikita Kucherov 23 $4.767M F Anthony Cirelli
F Alex Killorn 27 $4.45M F Dennis Yan
F Tyler Johnson 26 RFA F Brian Hart
F Ondrej Palat 25 RFA F Jonne Tammela
F Brian Boyle 31 UFA F Brayden Point
F Vladislav Namestnikov 23 $1.938M F Cameron Darcy
F Erik Condra 30 $1.25M F Joel Vermin
F J.T. Brown 26 $1.25M
F Jonathan Drouin 21 RFA D Dominik Masin
F Cedric Paquette 23 $813K D Ben Thomas
F Henri Ikonen 22 RFA D Daniel Walcott
F Gabriel Dumont 26 RFA
F Tye McGinn 26 RFA G Adam Wilcox
F Pierre-Luc Letourneau-Leblond 31 UFA
F Michael Bournival 24 RFA
F Mike Halmo 25 RFA
F Cory Conacher 26 UFA
F Yanni Gourde 24 RFA
F Jeremy Morin 25 RFA
F Tanner Richard 23 RFA
D Jason Garrison 31 $4.6M
D Anton Stralman 30 $4.5M
D Victor Hedman 25 $7.875M
D Braydon Coburn 31 $3.7M
D Andrej Sustr 25 RFA
D Slater Koekkoek 22 RFA
D Dylan Blujus 22 RFA
D Nikita Nesterov 23 RFA
D Jake Dotchin 22 RFA
D Luke Witkowski 26 UFA
D Matt Taormina 30 UFA
G Ben Bishop 29 UFA
G Andrei Vasilevskiy 22 $3.5M
G Kristers Gudlevskis 24 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G
F Steven Stamkos (NMC) F Steven Stamkos (NMC) F Steven Stamkos (NMC)
F Ryan Callahan (NMC) F Ryan Callahan (NMC) F Ryan Callahan (NMC)
F Valtteri Filppula (NMC) F Valtteri Filppula (NMC) F Valtteri Filppula (NMC)
F Nikita Kucherov F Nikita Kucherov F Nikita Kucherov
F Tyler Johnson F Tyler Johnson F Tyler Johnson
F Ondrej Palat F Ondrej Palat F Ondrej Palat
F Jonathan Drouin F Jonathan Drouin F Jonathan Drouin
D Victor Hedman D Victor Hedman D Victor Hedman
D Andrej Sustr D Anton Stralman D Slater Koekkoek
D Nikita Nesterov D Nikita Nesterov D Nikita Nesterov
G Andrei Vasilevskiy G Andrei Vasilevskiy G Andrei Vasilevskiy

Even though they’re one of the deepest teams that promises to hand Las Vegas a top selection, the Lightning’s protection list is arguably the easiest to determine. Their seven forward spots are locked in, which leaves debate for maybe one or two spots on the back end. Ben Bishop will be ommitted until he finds a new home. It’s unclear if he’ll stick around the entire year or not, but at some point he will be moved. The 22-year-old Andrei Vasilevskiy is the logical save between the pipes.

Protection List:

As mentioned, the forward spots are all accounted for. Between NMC’s for Stamkos, Callahan, and Filppula, it leaves just enough room to protect Kucherov, Johnson, Palat, and Drouin. Little can be done to save the likes of Alex Killorn, Vladislav Namestnikov, or J.T. Brown.

Hedman is a lock on the back end obviously. The only real debate is the last two d-slots. We’re assuming Steve Yzerman might favor the likes of Sustr and Nesterov over veterans Stralman, Garrison, and Coburn.

Alternative Protection List 1:

It would reasonable for one to argue protecting Tampa’s top two defenders regardless of the fact that Stralman is 30-years-old. If left available, he could be an attractive target for the NHL’s 31st franchise.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Here’s how things could look if recent trends continue. The Lightning have been waiting a couple of years now for Slater Koekkoek to step up and have an impact. He’s doing just that in recent games and could force Yzerman’s hand in protecting him if his hot play continues.

Nov 3, 2016; Buffalo, NY, USA; Toronto Maple Leafs center Mitchell Marner (16) celebrates a goal during the second period against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center. Mandatory Credit: Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Joffrey Lupul 33 $5.25M F Trevor Moore
F Nazem Kadri 26 $4.5M F Auston Matthews
F Brooks Laich 33 UFA F Zach Hyman
F James van Riemsdyk 27 $4.25M F William Nylander
F Tyler Bozak 30 $4.2M F Mitch Marner
F Milan Michalek 31 UFA F Kasperi Kapanen
F Leo Komarov 29 $2.95M F Frederik Gauthier
F Colin Greening 30 UFA F Andreas Johnsson
F Matt Martin 27 $2.5M F Nikita Soshnikov
F Peter Holland 25 RFA F Tobias Lindberg
F Kerby Rychel 22 $863K F Dmytro Timashov
F Connor Brown 22 RFA
F Ben Smith 28 UFA D Nikita Zaitsev
F Brendan Leipsic 22 RFA D Travis Dermott
F Seth Griffith 23 RFA D Rinat Valiev
F Josh Leivo 23 $613K D Justin Holl
F Byron Froese 25 RFA D Andrew Nielsen
D Morgan Rielly 22 $5.0M G Kasimir Kaskisuo
D Jake Gardiner 26 $4.05M
D Roman Polak 30 UFA
D Martin Marincin 24 $1.25M
D Connor Carrick 22 $750K
D Viktor Loov 23 RFA
D Frank Corrado 23 RFA
D Andrew Campbell 28 UFA
D Matt Hunwick 31 UFA
G Frederik Andersen 27 $5.0M
G Jhonas Enroth 28 UFA
G Antoine Bibeau 22 RFA
G Garret Sparks 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Nazem Kadri F Nazem Kadri F Nazem Kadri
F James van Riemsdyk F James van Riemsdyk F James van Riemsdyk
F Leo Komarov F Leo Komarov F Leo Komarov
F Connor Brown F Connor Brown F Connor Brown
F Matt Martin F Josh Leivo D Morgan Rielly
F Kerby Rychel F Byron Froese D Jake Gardiner
F Brendan Leipsic F Brendan Leipsic D Martin Marincin
D Morgan Rielly D Morgan Rielly D Connor Carrick
D Jake Gardiner D Jake Gardiner G Frederik Andersen
D Martin Marincin D Connor Carrick
G Frederik Andersen G Frederik Andersen

The Maple Leafs are one of those few teams that could use either protection scheme and have it make little difference to the quality of player left available. Given the fact there’s a handful of younger forwards who could have a future in Toronto, it makes sense to use the traditional 7-3-1.

Protection List:

In terms of locks for protections, goaltender Frederik Andersen, defenders Morgan Rielly and Jake Gardiner, and forwards Nazem Kadri, James van Riemsdyk, Leo Komarov are safe bets. You might even throw F Connor Brown’s name in there seeing as there’s little chance he’s left exposed. For those final three forward spots, we’re opting with AHL points leader Brendan Leipsic, tough guy Matt Martin, and prospect Kerby Rychel.

For that final spot on the blue line, I’ve selected Martin Marincin. Depending how the year plays out, Connor Carrick might be able to narrow the gap, perhaps even surpass Marincin.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Here’s what the list might look like if Toronto wants to protect a bit more of that youth they’ve worked hard to put together.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Now, there’s always a chance Lou and company could look at that list of forwards beyond their top four (Martin, Rychel, Leipsic, Froese, etc.) and say “we’d rather protect both Marincin and Carrick and let Vegas choose from a group of largely unknowns (aside from Martin).”

Let’s be honest anyways, given the lack of talent that will be available, goaltenders Antoine Bibeau and Garret Sparks could be prime targets.

Oct 18, 2016; Vancouver, British Columbia, CAN; The Vancouver Canucks celebrate the win against the St. Louis Blues during overtime at Rogers Arena. The Vancouver Canucks won 2-1 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Anne-Marie Sorvin-USA TODAY Sports

Vancouver Canucks

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Daniel Sedin (NMC) 36 $7.0M F Jake Virtanen
F Henrik Sedin (NMC) 36 $7.0M F Yan-Pavel Laplante
F Loui Eriksson (NMC) 31 $6.0M F Joseph Labate
F Alex Burrows 35 UFA F Michael Carcone
F Brandon Sutter 27 $4.375M F Cole Cassels
F Derek Dorsett 29 $2.65M
F Jannik Hansen 30 $2.5M D Troy Stecher
F Sven Baertschi 24 $1.85M D Nikita Tryamkin
F Anton Rodin 25 RFA D Olli Juolevi
F Markus Granlund 23 $900K D Ben Hutton
F Bo Horvat 21 RFA D Jordan Subban
F Brendan Gaunce 22 RFA D Guillaume Brisebois
F Jack Skille 29 UFA D Ashton Sautner
F Michael Zalewski 24 RFA D MacKenze Stewart
F Jayson Megna 26 UFA D Anton Cederholm
F Michael Chaput 24 RFA
F Alexandre Grenier 25 RFA G Thatcher Demko
F Borna Rendulic 24 RFA G Michael Garteig
D Alex Edler 30 $5.0M
D Chris Tanev 26 $4.45M
D Luca Sbisa 26 $3.6M
D Erik Gudbranson 24 RFA
D Philip Larsen 26 UFA
D Alex Biega 28 $750K
D Andrey Pedan 23 RFA
D Chad Billins 27 UFA
D Evan McEneny 22 RFA
D Tom Nilsson 23 RFA
G Ryan Miller 36 UFA
G Jacob Markstrom 26 $3.667M
G Richard Bachman 29 $650K

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Daniel Sedin (NMC) F Daniel Sedin (NMC) F Daniel Sedin (NMC)
F Henrik Sedin (NMC) F Henrik Sedin (NMC) F Henrik Sedin (NMC)
F Loui Eriksson (NMC) F Loui Eriksson (NMC) F Loui Eriksson (NMC)
F Bo Horvat F Bo Horvat F Bo Horvat
F Brandon Sutter F Brandon Sutter D Alex Edler
F Anton Rodin F Sven Baertschi D Chris Tanev
F Jannik Hansen F Jannik Hansen D Erik Gudbranson
D Alex Edler D Alex Edler D Philip Larsen
D Chris Tanev D Chris Tanev G Jacob Markstrom
D Erik Gudbranson D Erik Gudbranson
G Jacob Markstrom G Jacob Markstrom

We’ve included a 4-4-1 protection list in our second alternate, but it’s highly unlikely the Canucks need to save more than three defenders. Truth be told, basically 10 of 11 slots in the 7-3-1 scheme are accounted for, leaving one lone spot for a forward.

Protection List:

Despite the strong start, it seems veteran Ryan Miller is on his way out with an expiring contract. Vancouver needs to protect Markstrom and future in goal circles around top prospect Thatcher Demko. 2016-17 is simply about making sure Markstrom can handle a large workload. Demko will need support at the start of his career and injuries are always possible.

On the blue line, Edler, Tanev, and Gudbranson are the logical saves at this point. Some speculation has suggested that Vancouver may opt to trade Edler to continue the trend towards a younger team, but we’ll have to wait and see.

Up front, the Sedin twins and Eriksson own no-move clauses and require protection. The next three players that need protection are Bo Horvat, Brandon Sutter, and Jannik Hansen, leaving a single spot. Left available is Alex Burrows, Derek Dorsett, Sven Baertschi, Anton Rodin, and Markus Granlund (among others). Whoever impresses the most from Rodin, Beartschi, and Granlund in 2016-17 is the likely save. Our money is on Rodin at this point.

Alternative Protection List 1:

The only real player that could challenge Rodin for that final spot seems to be Sven Baertschi. He failed to pan out in Calgary, but he continues to show flashes of talent. If he can finally get it together with some consistency, he may force the Canucks hand.

Alternative Protection List 2:

We’re not exactly sure why Vancouver would want to save four defenseman. In this scenario, it’s a longshot hypothetical that Philip Larsen plays so well the Canucks feel the need to protect him. When it means leaving Sutter and Hansen available though, it would have to be one heck of a performance.

Nov 1, 2016; Winnipeg, Manitoba, CAN; Washington Capitals goalie Braden Holtby (70) celebrates with his teammates after the game against Winnipeg Jets at MTS Centre. Washington wins 3-2. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Fedyck-USA TODAY Sports

Washington Capitals

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Alex Ovechkin 31 $9.538M F Zach Sanford
F Nicklas Backstrom 28 $6.7M F Jakub Vrana
F Marcus Johansson 26 $4.583M F Travis Boyd
F T.J. Oshie 29 UFA F Riley Barber
F Lars Eller 27 $3.5M F Tim McGauley
F Justin Williams 35 UFA
F Evgeny Kuznetsov 24 RFA D Connor Hobbs
F Daniel Winnik 31 UFA D Jonas Siegenthaler
F Tom Wilson 22 $2.0M D Madison Bowey
F Jay Beagle 31 $1.75M D Trevor Lewington
F Andre Burakovsky 21 RFA
F Brett Connolly 24 RFA G Vitek Vanecek
F Chandler Stephenson 22 RFA G Adam Carlson
F Nathan Walker 22 RFA
F Liam O’Brien 22 RFA
F Zach Sill 28 $613K
F Garrett Mitchell 25 RFA
F Paul Carey 28 UFA
F Brad Malone 27 UFA
F Stanislav Galiev 24 RFA
F Chris Bourque 30 UFA
F Christian Thomas 24 RFA
D Matt Niskanen 29 $5.75M
D Brooks Orpik 36 $5.5M
D John Carlson 26 $3.967M
D Karl Alzner 28 UFA
D Dmitry Orlov 25 RFA
D Nate Schmidt 25 RFA
D Taylor Chorney 29 $800K
D Christian Djoos 22 RFA
D Aaron Ness 26 $613K
D Darren Dietz 23 RFA
G Braden Holtby 27 $6.1M
G Philipp Grubauer 24 RFA
G Joe Cannata 26 UFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Alex Ovechkin F Alex Ovechkin F Alex Ovechkin
F Nicklas Backstrom F Nicklas Backstrom F Nicklas Backstrom
F Evgeny Kuznetsov F Evgeny Kuznetsov F Evgeny Kuznetsov
F Andre Burakovsky F Andre Burakovsky F Andre Burakovsky
F Tom Wilson F Tom Wilson D Matt Niskanen
F Marcus Johansson F Marcus Johansson D John Carlson
F Lars Eller F Brett Connolly D Dmitry Orlov
D Matt Niskanen D Matt Niskanen D Karl Alzner
D John Carlson D John Carlson G Braden Holtby
D Dmitry Orlov D Dmitry Orlov
G Braden Holtby G Braden Holtby

Washington is another one of those teams that basically controls their own destiny in who they lose. If they choose to protect seven forwards, they more than likely stand to lose a quality d-man. Should they choose to save an extra blueliner, it will certainly cost them a top-six forward. Decisions, decisions.

Protection List:

Our thought process is this: one defender such as Karl Alzner is not as valuable as Marcus Johansson, Tom Wilson, and Lars Eller combined. In this 7-3-1 scheme, we’ve got three forwards, all three defenseman, and Braden Holtby in net as locks to be saved. On the back end, Niskanen, Carlson, and Orlov are logical choices. Up front, Ovechkin, Backstrom, and Kuznetsov are the glue that holds this team together. The next closest player to lock-status is Andre Burakovsky with Marcus Johansson trailing closely behind. For those final two spots, I’ve gone with Wilson and Eller, leaving T.J. Oshie (UFA), Justin Williams (UFA), Daniel Winnik (UFA), Jay Beagle, and Brett Connolly available.

Alternative Protection List 1:

Almost identical to the our main list with just one exception. Washington could decide it’s worth the risk of losing Eller’s $3.5 million dollar cap hit to free up valuable money. If that’s the case, a younger guy like Brett Connolly could be saved.

Alternative Protection List 2:

Now, if the Caps decide they can’t risk a major loss on the blue line since it is their biggest overall weakness, a 4-4-1 scheme is certainly possible. The only problem: to save an extra body such as Alzner, it’s almost a guaranteed loss of Johansson or Wilson.

Nov 3, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; Winnipeg Jets center Adam Lowry (17) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the Washington Capitals in the third period at Verizon Center. The Capitals won 4-3 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Winnipeg Jets

Available Age 17/18 Automatically Exempt
F Mark Scheifele 23 $6.125M F Jack Roslovic
F Blake Wheeler 30 $5.6M F Patrik Laine
F Bryan Little 28 $4.7M F Andrew Copp
F Drew Stafford 30 UFA F Kyle Connor
F Mathieu Perreault 28 $4.125M F Nikolaj Ehlers
F Shawn Matthias 28 $2.125M F Brandon Tanev
F Alex Burmistrov 25 RFA F Brendan Lemieux
F Chris Thorburn 33 UFA F Nic Petan
F Adam Lowry 23 $1.125M F Chase De Leo
F Joel Armia 23 $925K F James Lodge
F Marko Dano 21 RFA F Axel Blomqvist
F Scott Kosmachuk 22 RFA
F Anthony Peluso 27 UFA D Josh Morrissey
F Quinton Howden 24 RFA D Nelson Nogier
F J.C. Lipon 23 RFA D Jan Kostalek
F Ryan Olsen 22 RFA
G Jamie Phillips
D Dustin Byfuglien (NMC) 31 $7.6M G Eric Comrie
D Tobias Enstrom (NMC) 31 $5.75M
D Tyler Myers 26 $5.5M
D Jacob Trouba 22
D Paul Postma 27 UFA
D Ben Chiarot 25 RFA
D Julian Melchiori 24 $625K
D Brian Strait 28 UFA
D Brenden Kichton 24 RFA
G Ondrej Pavelec 29 UFA
G Michael Hutchinson 26 $1.15M
G Connor Hellebuyck 23 RFA

Protection List Plus Two Alternative List Options

Protection List Alternative Protection List 1 Alternative Protection List 2
7F – 3D – 1G 7F – 3D – 1G 4F – 4D – 1G
F Mark Scheifele F Mark Scheifele F Mark Scheifele
F Blake Wheeler F Blake Wheeler F Blake Wheeler
F Bryan Little F Bryan Little F Bryan Little
F Mathieu Perreault F Mathieu Perreault F Mathieu Perreault
F Joel Armia F Joel Armia D Dustin Byfuglien (NMC)
F Marko Dano F Adam Lowry D Tobias Enstrom (NMC)
F Alex Burmistrov F Alex Burmistrov D Tyler Myers
D Dustin Byfuglien (NMC) D Dustin Byfuglien (NMC) D Jacob Trouba
D Tobias Enstrom (NMC) D Tobias Enstrom (NMC) G Connor Hellebuyck
D Tyler Myers D Tyler Myers
G Connor Hellebuyck G Connor Hellebuyck

Things are still a bit murky for Winnipeg with the Jacob Trouba situation. Thankfully, by the time December’s edition is released, we should have a better idea. It’s a bit of a strange situation because if Kevin Cheveldayoff gets his asking price in return, that leaves a fourth defenseman to protect. Only one problem, the Jets can’t exactly afford to use the 4-4-1 protection scheme unless they’re comfortable losing a top young player.

Protection List:

Purely speculating here, but I’m assuming Cheveldayoff fails to get that similar quality defender in return for Trouba. That could ultimately leave Trouba still in Winnipeg, although it might be wise for the Jets GM to explore a deal where the incoming defender is automatically exempt, and projects to be a top-four d-man. For example, maybe Winnipeg takes a shot with Madison Bowey (recently in some hot water) in Washington, Joe Hicketts in Detroit, or Jakub Zboril in Boston. By doing a deal like this, Winnipeg can still protect the likes of Joel Armia, Marko Dano, and Alex Burmistrov. Other forwards vying for those last three spots are Drew Stafford (UFA), Shawn Matthias, Chris Thorburn, and Adam Lowry (among others)

Alternative Protection List 1:

Truth be told, while roughly seven names are fighting for those final three forward spots, two are basically accounted for with Armia and Burmistrov. Of the final five names, the real debate is whether to protect Marko Dano or Adam Lowry.

Alternative Protection List 2:

This might be deemed the second alternate, but it’s a very real possibility if nothing transpires on the Jacob Trouba front. Sure, the Jets could re-explore a trade down the road once the season concludes, or ask even ask Toby Enstrom to waive his NMC, but there’s no certainty that things play out the way as planned. Should Winnipeg be forced into this uncomfortable corner, it leaves the likes of Joel Armia and Alex Burmistrov as top options for Las Vegas.

Jun 22, 2016; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Bill Foley walks the red carpet during the 2016 NHL Awards at Hard Rock Hotel and Casino. Mandatory Credit: Joshua Dahl-USA TODAY Sports

Las Vegas Roster

Las Vegas can approach the expansion draft from several different angles. There’s no one set way to build a franchise. Let’s explore some of those potential philosophies that could be used.

More from Puck Prose

    1) Build the most competitive team posssible from day one out the gates. It would be a simple BAP (best available player) philosophy. George McPhee would likely wind up with with some trade bait having too many players for the 23-man roster, but it could be a way of acquiring future assets or making upgrades to get individuals that weren’t available in the expansion draft. This is sorta the way teams in past expansion have approached things since prospects were heavily guarded in past years.

    2) Build from the ground up. Las Vegas could decide it’s not worth being a 11th or 12th place team in year one. Instead, they could take a rebuild approach and pluck the best young talent from each team and accept that it could be a basement dwelling season in year one. It would set them up for a top pick in 2018 and give them a chance to develop their own team.

    3) This is the approach we’re using to select Las Vegas’ roster and one that George McPhee and company are likely to replicate. It’s a mix of the first two philosophies. Truth be told, with 30 selections, there’s enough available to put a decent product on the ice in 2017-18, while at the same time giving the NHL’s 31st franchise a handful of prospects to start building with.

    Furthermore, we’ve selected 16 forwards, 10 defense, and four goaltenders. 14 of the 16 forwards are NHL quality players, which is obviously a little higher than needed. The thought process here is that a few extra forwards gives some freedom to find extra chemistry. Those remaining individuals that don’t fit in could either be packaged for an upgrade somewhere or used to attain future assets (prospects, draft picks).

    Also, we had a simple approach to our goaltending. The goal was to find a starter, backup, and two prospects to challenge in the near future.

    Forwards
    Name Pos Age 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22
    Jakob Silfverberg RW 26 $3.75M $3.75M UFA
    Dmitrij Jaskin RW 23 $1.0M RFA
    Rick Nash LW 32 $7.8M UFA
    Tyler Ennis C 27 $4.6M $4.6M UFA
    Colin Wilson C 27 $3.938M $3.938M UFA
    Jordan Martinook LW 24 RFA
    Matt Beleskey LW 28 $3.8M $3.8M $3.8M UFA
    Joakim Nordstrom LW 24 $1.275M  RFA
    Luke Glendening C 27 $1.8M  $1.8M  $1.8M  $1.8M  UFA
    Matt Read RW 30 $3.625M UFA
    Adam Lowry LW 23 $1.125M UFA
    Daniel Carr LW 24 $725K  RFA
    Gemel Smith C 22 RFA
    Andy Andreoff LW 25 RFA
    Mark McNeill RW 23 RFA
    Markus Granlund C 23 $900K RFA
    Defense
    Name LH/RH Age 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22
    Jonas Brodin LHD 23 $4.167M $4.167M $4.167M $4.167M UFA
    Jack Johnson LHD 29 $4.357M UFA
    Anton Stralman RHD 30 $4.5M $4.5M UFA
    Jason Demers RHD 28 $4.5M $4.5M $4.5M $4.5M UFA
    Nate Schmidt LHD 25 RFA
    Ryan Pulock RHD 22 $863K RFA
    Mark Borowiecki LHD 27 $1.1M UFA
    Tyler Wotherspoon LHD 23 RFA
    Mirco Mueller LHD 21 RFA
    Derrick Pouliot LHD 22 RFA
    Goalies
    Name Age 17/18 18/19 19/20 20/21 21/22
    Semyon Varlamov 28 $5.9M $5.9M UFA
    Keith Kinkaid 27 UFA
    Laurent Brossoit 23 $750K  RFA
    Antoine Bibeau 22 RFA

    Next: Week 4 NHL Power Rankings

    Based on our selections, the Las Vegas depth chart would look something like this:

    Rick Nash – Tyler Ennis – Jakob Silfverberg
    Matt Beleskey – Colin Wilson – Dmitrij Jaskin
    Jordan Martinook/Joakim Nordstrom – Luke Glendening – Matt Read
    Daniel Carr/Andy Andreoff – Markus Granlund/Gemel Smith – Adam Lowry (LW)/Mark McNeill

    Jack Johnson – Anton Stralman
    Jonas Brodin – Jason Demers
    Mark Borowiecki – Nate Schmidt (LHD)
    Ryan Pulock/Tyler Wotherspoon/Mirco Mueller/Derrick Pouliot

    Semyon Varlamov – Keith Kinkaid
    Laurent Brossoit – Antoine Bibeau

    This article originally appeared on

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