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Chicago Bears Prop Bets 2016

Updated Mar. 5, 2020 1:23 a.m. ET

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A look at some of the proposition bets for the 2016 Chicago Bears season.

Hear ye, hear ye, my on-line gambling brethren, the Chicago Bears prop bets for the season have been released (Bovada.lv). I’m going to go through the available bets and logical picks, while also throwing in some of my own props that the websites are missing out on.

Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Jeremy Langford:

1) Rushing Yards for the season: Over/ Under 750

OVER- Last year Langford was a rookie backing up Matt Forte, and he still rushed for 537 yards. I know he will be splitting carries with Carey and Howard this year, but make no mistake, he is the number 1 running back.

2) Rushing and Receiving TD’s for the season: Over/ Under 6.5

UNDER- So this is where it gets tricky. Last season Langford had 6 rushing TD’s and 1 receiving TD. With the presence of a healthy Alshon Jeffrey and Kevin White, there will be fewer receiving TD’s to go around. Similarly, the expanded role of Carey and the arrival of Howard means that goal line carries for Langford will be much less as well. Despite Langford’s overall expanded role he will be hard pressed to get 7 TD’s this season.

Aug 11, 2016; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears wide receiver Kevin White (13) runs after catch against Denver Broncos free safety Darian Stewart (26) during the first quarter at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

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Kevin White:

1) Receiving Yards for the season: Over/ Under 650

OVER- This is Kevin White’s first season playing in the NFL and he is not the primary receiving target. He has not really shown a lot in the preseason games either, but I don’t care. They could set the line at 800 yards receiving and I would still take the over. I very much doubt that Alshon Jeffrey will play all 16 games this season, and White then becomes the primary target. The mark of 650 yards seems almost like a gimme for White. I’m not just taking the over here, I am taking the over with extreme quickness!!!

2) Receiving TD’s for the season: Over/ Under 4

OVER- So riddle me this Bears fans, if Zach Miller and Alshon Jeffrey miss time due to injury, how many red zone targets will Kevin White see per game? Enough to get him over 4 TD’s, that’s for sure!

Nov 26, 2015; Green Bay, WI, USA; Chicago Bears wide receiver Alshon Jeffery (17) during the NFL game against the Green Bay Packers on Thanksgiving at Lambeau Field. Chicago won 17-13. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Alshon Jeffery:

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1) Receiving Yards for the season: Over/ Under 1,150

UNDER- If Jeffrey can be healthy all season long then I would say he makes 1,200 yards no problem. Unfortunately, he has already had his hamstring flare up in the preseason, and I don’t see him playing all 16 games this year. Jeffrey should still be around 1,000 yards receiving but doubtful to hit the mark here.

2) Receiving TD’s for the season: Over/ Under 7.5

OVER- Okay, okay I know what you’re thinking, I just said that I doubt Alshon will play a complete season, and this pick is a contradiction. But here’s my reasoning, he is the number one scoring target on this offense by far and the main red zone target. If he only plays 10 games this season he still gets more than 7.5 TD’s.

Sep 14, 2014; Santa Clara, CA, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler (6) throws a pass in front of San Francisco 49ers defense end Justin Smith (94) in the first half at Levis Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Lance Iversen-USA TODAY Sports

Jay Cutler:

1) Passing yards for the season: Over/ Under 3,600

OVER- In Cutler’s 10-year career he has only met the 3,600 mark 4 times, once in Denver and three times with the Bears. However, 2 of the times he hit that mark happens to be the last two seasons. The impact of the loss of Adam Gase as offensive coordinator is an unknown, but the offensive system is the same as last season and the key receiving options should be healthier this year.

2) Passing TD’s for the season: Over/ Under 20.5

OVER- Last year Cutler had 21 TD’s with his primary, secondary, and tertiary receiving targets out for most or all of the season. If Jeffrey and White each play at least 10 games this year you would think that Cutler would improve on last years total.

3) Interceptions for the season: Over/ Under 13.5

OVER- In seasons where Cutler has played 15 games or more he has only thrown less than 14 interceptions once, last year. The offense last year was very controlled, very low risk. I very much doubt that new offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains will have the patience and control that Adam Gase had. Taking more risks means throwing more interceptions.

Aug 18, 2016; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots tight end A.J. Derby (86) takes on Chicago Bears outside linebacker Leonard Floyd (94) in the second half at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots defeated the Bears 23-22. Mandatory Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

Leonard Floyd (My Prop):

1) Total Sacks for the season: Over/ Under 4.5

OVER- Last year Lamarr Houston lead the team with 8 sacks, Willie Young had 6.5, and Pernell McPhee had 6. If Leonard Floyd were to have over 4.5 sacks this season in a back-up role that would make for a huge contribution to the defense. Floyd still has much to learn about the pro game still, but his speed and quickness are undeniable. With Pernell McPhee out the first 6 games Floyd will get more opportunities than previously expected and he will take advantage of them.

Aug 11, 2016; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears running back Jordan Howard (24) rushes the ball against the Denver Broncos during the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

Jordan Howard (My Prop):

1) Rushing Yards for the season: Over/ Under 750

UNDER- it stands to reason that if Langford is getting the bulk of the carries and the yards that Howard will be seeing much less of both. Add in the touches that Carey will get and Howard’s yardage thins out even more. I have no doubt Howard will have some quality games and might even top 100 yards here or there, but his main role will be as a change of pace and goal line back.

2) Rushing and Receiving TD’s for the season: Over/ Under 6.5

OVER- This is the riskiest pick of all by a wide margin. Usually,  most teams only have one goal line back, but the Bears seem to like both Carey and Howard in that role. Let’s also not forget that the Bears kept a real and true fullback on the roster in Paul Lasike, the ex-rugby player. He runs hard and loves contact the way a fullback should. Taking all of these variables into account, logic and reason tells me that I should definitely take the under. My gut, however, is telling me that Jordan Howard is going to step up during the first couple of games in a way that will force offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains to continue feeding him touches.

Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

Chicago Bears Team

1) Season Wins: Over/ Under: 7.5

OVER- And now the big dog, the total season wins. Let’s run through the Bears schedule and see what we have. Within the division, I would say it’s quite reasonable for the Bears to sweep the Lions and split with the Vikings & the Packers. This would be 4 – 2 in the NFC North. Just for the heck of it let’s say they get swept by either the Vikes or the Pack just to play it safe. That’s still 3 wins in the division.

The Bears also play the NFC East and AFC South this year. The Eagles are a lock for a Bears victory, and I find it extremely doubtful that the Bears will lose to the Giants, Cowboys, and Washington. So a conservative prediction has the Bears going 2-2 against the NFC East. Keeping a running score this brings the Bears to 5-5 with 6 games left.

I know lot’s of people are predicting the Jaguars to take a big step forward but this is one that I will need to see to believe. We chalk the Jags up as a win for the Bears. I also feel pretty comfortable to chalk up the Titans game as a win, and between the Colts and the Texans that should be a split. Again, trying to be conservative let’s say that the Bears only go 2-2 against the AFC South. That brings us to 7-7.

The Bears schedule rounds out with the 49ers and the Buccaneers. Nothing brings comfort to a bet cover like playing possibly the worst team in the league, yes the 49ers could possibly be worse than the Cleveland Browns. The Buccaneers still have a number of problems to solve before they are a complete team which makes them a very winnable game for the Bears as well, but that would just be a bonus. In this conservative scenario, the win over the 49ers puts the Bears in the over, and that’s what we all want to hear. On a personal note, I’m picking the Bears to win 9 games this year.

Bear Down Bears fans, Bear Down.

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