5 Questions with John Lynch
1. There are three playoff rematches from games played on
the final regular-season weekend. Do you think once a team starts
losing, do the coaches go vanilla with the game plan and do players
tend to ease up knowing the playoff game is so much more
important?
Yes, absolutely they do. I think even more so than within the
game, but going into the game.
Particularly for a team that is locked in and can’t
move anywhere within the playoff seeding. Arizona was a perfect
example of that after the Vikings won last Sunday. They decided to
play Kurt Warner a series or two and basically dialed down the
game. Now, everybody is saying that Green Bay is so much better
than Arizona. But during the course of the game, not only do they
tend to go vanilla but they will throw out what are known as
absolute tendency busters to try to get that team off the mark for
the following week.
Particularly, the good teams have established a lot of
obvious tendencies. One thing in the NFL, the better teams have a
lot more tendencies. They do the same thing in the same situations
because they do them so well. A coach may show or do something that
is so different from the norm just to mess with the teams that have
to play them down the road.
The second part of that is that it’s very dangerous
when it goes badly. When I look at Cincinnati, I think certain
things are dangerous when you get dominated like that; there is the
old saying that stuff creeps in. When you play sloppy, whether
it’s because you aren’t playing your starters a lot,
bad stuff creeps in and often that is hard to fix in a week.
You look at Philadelphia’s pass protection problems vs.
Dallas, and whether they were going vanilla or not on offense, when
you start being exposed with certain things it is tough to come
back from, it really is. Another example is Indianapolis at the end
of the year, giving up all those rushing yards. When you get
exposed a little bit, well, that is the danger of going vanilla and
not playing starters. You open up some holes that at least gives
another team confidence and lets them feel, ‘Hey we can beat
these guys!’ Sometimes, that confidence is half the battle in
playoff games.
2. Of the teams that lost last Sunday, who has the best
chance of winning this weekend?
I would say the Eagles. And if you watched their game in
Dallas, you wouldn’t say that at all. For me, it’s hard
to buy into these Cowboys. If I just looked at the two games these
teams played this year, and where Dallas is at right now, I would
say Dallas is definitely the better football team. I say that
because they have beaten Philadelphia up front in both games and
I’m a big believer in that you win or lose games up front.
I think the wild card in the whole deal is Brian Westbrook;
he always has come up big for the Eagles come playoff time. A lot
of people say he hasn’t been the same since these
concussions, but a competitor like that is going to turn it on for
this game. I think when you get Westbrook going then all of a
sudden DeSean Jackson becomes a lot more explosive. And then Brent
Celek, the tight end, and all the weapons start settling in.
The Eagles also have the benefit of having another week with
the offensive line together. When you study the matchup at the
quarterback position, I like Philadelphia there. Plus, I think it
is hard to beat a team three times in a year.
3. No one thought the Cardinals would reach the Super Bowl
last season. And no one really is picking them to repeat. How do
they bounce back and win on Sunday?
I had the Cardinals this year and they definitely are an
inconsistent team. You never know what you’re really going to
get. Sometimes, their defense is dominant to where you can’t
really run the ball on them. Offensively, sometimes they seem
unstoppable and then other times they seem extremely beatable.
It’s the same pattern as last year. It’s dangerous to
mess around like that and say, ‘We’re going to get hot
at the right time.’
I know that isn’t how they want it to be, but
that’s also how they could bounce back. I had them toward the
end of the season and I think they have really established some
balance offensively. When you listen to all the experts, and I
agree, the NFL is a throwing league and you have to be explosive,
but you also have to be able to protect your quarterback. I think a
great way to do that is to be balanced and be able to run out the
clock when you’re ahead — you know, converting
third-and-ones.
Even though the Packers stopped them last Sunday, the
emergence of Beanie Wells and Tim Hightower as running backs is
going to be very important in this game. But, ultimately, it is
going to be Kurt Warner throwing to Larry Fitzgerald and that great
receiving corps. Green Bay is playing extremely well right now, so
it’s going to be a tough challenge for the Cardinals. I tell
you, I have a ton of respect for Mike McCarthy because a lot of
people had left the Packers for dead.
The Packers are a resilient team. They seemingly had their
own dissension within the locker room with defensive players
complaining about Dom Capers’ system, even though they were
always ranked high. There were a lot of guys complaining that his
defense wasn’t allowing players to play to their strengths.
The Packers are playing great and they are going to be a tough out,
but I believe Arizona can bounce back to win.
4. The Patriots lost Wes Welker for the season. Does that
mean New England has no shot of getting to the Super Bowl?
I won’t ever say a Bill Belichick team has no shot. I
have too much respect for what this team has accomplished and for
him as a coach.
Now, was Wes an integral part of this offense and this team?
Absolutely. In the three weeks I was around this team last year, I
could tell that Wes was very much an inspirational leader. In many
ways, Wes is the heart and soul of that football team. He’s
just a consistent guy, a player you can always count on.
Belichick is constantly saying we need more guys like Welker;
he doesn’t say anything, he just goes and does his job. I
think he kind represents what that organization is all about when
they have won championships. And most of all, he’s incredibly
productive on the field and I think he opens it up for Randy Moss.
The other part, though, is that the Patriots are better than most
teams in being able to respond to adversity. Sometimes, they thrive
on it. When someone big is down, when the experts are counting them
out, that’s when they are at their best.
No shot? I won’t say that, but it does make it awfully
tough on them. But that’s because this team isn’t up to
where their championship teams have been in the past. I will say
this, too, about Randy and Wes. Everybody on the outside would
think they are an odd couple, but those two were extremely tight.
They were always around each other, talking football.
5. The Saints aren’t going into the playoffs on a
high note. They have lost three straight and no team has won a
Super Bowl with that kind of a regular-season ending. Do they have
a shot?
I had New Orleans early and I looked foolish for saying it
even with what Brees and that offense was doing, but I thought they
were certainly beatable. Gregg Williams was doing an incredible job
with that defense, but I thought a lot of it was smoke and mirrors.
I feel that if you can make it a mano-a-mano game with their
defense, you could have some success. Teams started doing that;
Carolina was running it down their throat. But you have to score
touchdowns and the Panthers didn’t do that the first time
they played. If you can, it nullifies that great blitz scheme that
Williams throws at you. I could see either Dallas or Green Bay
going down to New Orleans and giving them all they can handle.
The home-field advantage has become less and less of a
critical factor in recent years, but when you get dome teams like
New Orleans and Minnesota I think it really comes into the play.
With the noise and the emotions; those are two of the loudest
stadiums and two of most passionate fan bases in the league. These
are offenses that don’t want to be outside in 15-degree
weather. I think both of them also benefit from being very good
running teams.