Week 10 college football picks against the spread, ranked in order of confidence | J-MAC’S CFB SUPER 6
Hello, folks! We're back with my college football picks of the weekend - and we’re doing some Super 6 games, as well. Don't forget, you can download the FOX Sports Super 6 app and make your picks for this and every college football Saturday. Get all six right, and you could win $250,000 - it's that easy!
My rule going into Week 10: watch out for the underdog ... but also watch out for the sleeping dog. No. 1: It's been upset city the past two weeks in college football ... I'm just waiting for another top ten team to go down. We have a couple matchups that could mean trouble ... who's turn is it to topple this week? No. 2: Don't let yourself fall into the trap of thinking a team coming off a big win will mean another big win. They are still college kids ... who are only 19-20-21. Everything can change in a week.
So let's get to it - time for those picks!
USC -4.5 vs. Oregon
There are some exciting PAC-12 matchups this week - starting with USC hosting Oregon. Now Oregon is a 4.5 point favorite on the road ... but I have to take USC here. The USC passing game will thrive against the Oregon secondary that struggled against Washington.
Remember: Oregon trailed that game by double-digits in the fourth quarter! I think USC can cover this big number. Clay Helton has had a tough schedule this year - but they are 3-1 against ranked teams. I'm going with USC getting the points.
Georgia -6 at Florida
Here's a Super 6 for you! Georgia is a 6-point favorite in Jacksonville against the Florida Gators. Now this sounds like a big showdown. The line opened at 3.5, but it's gone up ... people are taking Georgia here, and I have to go the opposite way.
I like Florida; they are really battle tested folks. This is their third game against a top ten team - meanwhile, Georgia really hasn't faced anybody, and they struggled in a close win over Notre Dame. Quarterback Jake Fromm ... he's struggled: The last three weeks he has as many interceptions as touchdowns.
Florida is getting healthy on the defensive line and at wide receiver - give me Florida getting six points against Georgia at home.
Baylor -18 vs. West Virginia
Baylor is an an 18-point home favorite against West Virginia Thursday night. I love Baylor here. West Virginia cannot stop the run: 6th worst in the country ... and let's not forget the obvious: This is just a bad Mountaineers team. Since Dana Holgorsen left, they've faced two ranked teams this year - they are 0-2 and haven't covered either game. Baylor is undefeated and rolling. I'm taking Baylor getting 18 points at home.
Kansas State -6 at Kansas
They call this matchup the Sun Flower Showdown. Remember: Kansas State comes in partying big time after that huge upset against Oklahoma last week ... I think Kansas catches them napping, and I'm going to take Kansas getting the points.
Les Miles, the Jayhawks coach, is 2-0 against the spread this year against ranked teams ... I just don't believe in Kansas State without Bill Snyder. I know K-State has won 10 straight in this series, but that was all with Snyder ... he's gone. Let's go: Les Miles getting six points against Kansas State.
UCLA -7 vs. Colorado
UCLA is a 7-point home favorite against Colorado ... and I know that Chip Kelly struggled at the start of the season, but UCLA is looking good. They've won two straight, and they've beaten two ranked opponents.
Don't forget: The same thing happened last year ... they started 0-5 but came on strong at the end. I'm backing UCLA here. I know it's a big number, but this is a bad, bad Colorado defense - bottom five pass defense in the country. I think that UCLA passing game and running game keeps Colorado off the field ... Give me UCLA to cover seven at home.
Washington +3.5 vs. Utah
Finally, we finish it off with another Super 6! Washington is a 3.5-point home underdog against Utah ... the public is all over Utah because they've been playing hot lately, and their defense looks solid - but honestly, I just think it's been against bad competition.
The last time they faced a real quarterback, they got lit up and lost at USC. Chris Peterson is a magician - what a terrific coach. He beat Utah twice last year, and I know Utah will want revenge ... but there is no way I'm going against Washington here. I know they've lost twice this year at home - against Oregon and against Cal ... but this is a get well spot for the Huskies - I'll take them getting 3.5 points at home.