Flanny’s Picks: Matchup with Colts will show us if Chiefs are for real

By Jeffrey Flanagan
October 7, 2010

Last week’s record straight up: 7-7
Season record straight up: 37-25

Last week’s record vs. spread: 6-8
Season record vs. spread: 26-32-4

Chiefs (+8) at Colts

I don’t think this is going to be a blowout, mainly because I think the Chiefs will do some damage on special teams and they will get Charles and Jones going in the running game. The problem, of course, is the Colts have Peyton Manning and he will expose the Chiefs’ linebackers and safeties all day. The other problem is the Colts are coming off a loss: They are motivated.

Colts 24, Chiefs 17

Falcons (-3) at Browns

That was a pretty nice win by the Browns last week and the Falcons were lucky to survive at home against the 49ers. The Falcons put together a complete game here and roll.

Falcons 24, Browns 10

Broncos (+7) at Ravens

The Broncos are a little better than people are giving them credit for. They lost a tough one at home to Indy two weeks ago and won a big one on the road last week. The Ravens pulled one out late last week on the road – a huge emotional win at Pittsburgh. This will be a fight, and it will be close.

Ravens 16, Broncos 13

Jags (pick) at Bills

Huge season-saving win by the Jags last week at home. Do they have two straight in them? Tough call. The Bills usually play tough at home and this is a decent matchup for them.

Bills 21, Jags 20

Bears (-2.5) at Panthers

The Bears’ offensive line nearly got Jay Cutler killed last week. Cutler is out this week so veteran Todd Collins will get the nod for the Bears. Panthers nearly beat the Super Bowl champs on the road last week and should be feeling more confident. The one problem is that Claussen will struggle against a Bears defense that can get after the quarterback, too. This one won’t be pretty.

Panthers 12, Bears 10

Bucs (+6.5) at Bengals

The Bengals have been a huge disappointment to me. I keep hearing what a great defense they have and how they could be a Super Bowl contender. It’s time they showed it, instead of falling to teams like the Browns.

Bengals 24, Bucs 17

Titans (+6.5) at Cowboys

Kind of a big number here for two teams not that far apart in terms of talent.
The Titans keep it close.

Cowboys 28, Titans 24

Rams (+3) at Lions

The Lions are getting closer and closer. Really. This would seem like a good matchup to get on the board.

Lions 31, Rams 24

Packers (-2.5) at Redskins

The Packers are losing starters left and right. Middle linebacker Nick Barnett could be out for the season, and so could inside linebacker Brandon Chillar.� Starting safety Morgan Burnett definitely is out for the year, and Nick Collins, the other safety, may not play. The Packers also have no running game. This looks like a shootout that maybe Aaron Rodgers pulls out.

Packers 38, Redskins 33

Giants (+3) at Texans

The Giants survived at home last week against the Bears, simply because of their defense. The Texans’ offense is better than the Bears’ offense. Got to go with the home team here.

Texans 17, Giants 9

Saints (+6.5) at Cardinals

The Saints have been wobbling lately and this normally would look like a huge trap game, if not for the Cardinals’ woes at quarterback. Still, the Cardinals do enough to hang around until late.

Saints 27, Cardinals 21

Chargers (-6) at Raiders

The Raiders had a big chance to make a statement last week at home, and instead flopped. The NFL can be whacky, and teams that look horrid one week sometimes bounce right back (see Jacksonville). I just don’t really see it here with the Raiders.

Chargers 31, Raiders 20

Eagles (+3.5) at 49ers

There’s not much doubt that the Eagles lose a lot of their swagger without Michael Vick. Plus, the 49ers absolutely have to win this game. They finally get it done.

49ers 20, Eagles 16

Vikings (+4) at Jets

OK, so all eyes will be on Randy Moss and Brett Favre. That’s nice, but all eyes should be on the revived Jets’ offense, which is rolling. The Vikings will keep it close but they’re not good enough to get a big win like this on the road.

Jets 23, Vikings 16