With only the Houston Texans versus the Oakland Raiders Monday Night Football game remaining, what does NFL playoff picture look like after Week 11?
Week 11 of the 2016 NFL season has 13 of its 14 games in the books. The only game left on the Week 11 slate will be Monday Night Football in Mexico City between the Houston Texans (6-3) and the Oakland Raiders (7-2). Kickoff from Estadio Azteca will be at 8:30 p.m. ET. ESPN will have telecast.
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There has been some shakeup in the NFL Playoff standings. Here are the 12 teams that would qualify for the playoffs should the season end after Week 11.
New England Patriots (8-2)
Oakland Raiders (7-2)*
Houston Texans (6-3)*
Baltimore Ravens (5-5)
Kansas City Chiefs (7-3)
Denver Broncos (7-3)
New England would be the No. 1 seed in the AFC at 8-2 by leading the AFC East. However, if the Raiders beat the Texans on Monday Night Football, Oakland would control home field advantage in the AFC. This is because the Raiders have a better opponent’s win percentage (.504) when compared to New England’s (.425). That would be the deciding tiebreaker.
The Patriots have a two-game lead over the Miami Dolphins (6-4), a three-game lead over the Buffalo Bills (5-5), and a five-game lead over the New York Jets (3-7) in the AFC East race.
The No. 2 seed in the AFC would go to the Raiders at 7-2 if the season ended today. Oakland won’t stay at No. 2 in the AFC unless the Raiders tie the Texans in Estadio Azteca. With a win, the Raiders would have home field advantage in the AFC over the 8-2 Patriots by virtue of a strength of schedule tiebreaker. A loss would have the Raiders fall to the No. 5 seed, as the 7-3 Chiefs would lead the AFC West by virtue of the head-to-head tiebreaker over Oakland.
Oakland leads the AFC West entering play on Monday night. The Raiders have a half game lead over the Chiefs and the Broncos, as well as having a 3.5-game lead over the San Diego Chargers (4-6).
Houston would be the No. 3 seed if the season ended today by leading the AFC South at 6-3. The Texans can improve to the No. 2 seed by beating Raiders in Estadio Azteca. Houston would have the head-to-head tiebreaker of the new AFC West leader in Kansas City.
The Texans have a 1.5-game lead over the Indianapolis Colts (5-5), a two-game lead over the Tennessee Titans (5-6), and a 4.5-game lead over the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8) in the AFC South race.
Baltimore leads the AFC North at 5-5 and would be the No. 4 seed in the AFC Playoffs if the season ended today. The Ravens have the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5).
Baltimore also has a 1.5-game lead over the Cincinnati Bengals (3-6-1) and a 5.5-game lead over the Cleveland Browns (0-11) in the AFC North race. One more loss or a Baltimore/Pittsburgh win eliminates the Browns from winning the AFC North.
The two teams that are in position to be the AFC Wild Card teams would be the Chiefs and the Broncos. Kansas City has the best record of a non-division in the AFC at 7-3. The Chiefs have a better record against the AFC than the Broncos, who would be the No. 6 with the second-best record of a non-division leader in the AFC at 7-3.
Kansas City would be the No. 3 seed if the Texans beat the Raiders in Mexico City on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs have the head-to-head tiebreaker over Oakland, but not against Houston. A loss would have the Raiders in at the No. 5 seed. Oakland would have the head-to-head tiebreaker against Denver should the Raiders stumble to 7-3 after Monday Night Football.
Nov 20, 2016; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins wide receiver Jamison Crowder (80) celebrates after catching a touchdown pass against the Green Bay Packers in the third quarter at FedEx Field. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
Dallas Cowboys (9-1)
Seattle Seahawks (7-2-1)
Detroit Lions (6-4)
Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
New York Giants (7-3)
Washington Redskins (6-3-1)
Dallas has the best record in football and would have home field advantage in the NFC by leading the NFC East at 9-1. The Cowboys have a two-game lead over the Giants, a 2.5-game lead over the Redskins, and a four-game lead over the Philadelphia Eagles (5-5) in the NFC East race.
Seattle would have the No. 2 seed in the NFC by leading the NFC West at 7-2-1. The Seahawks have a three-game lead over the Arizona Cardinals (4-5-1), a 3.5-game lead over the Los Angeles Rams (4-6), and a 6.5-game lead over the San Francisco 49ers (1-9).
San Francisco has been eliminated from winning the NFC West as the 49ers can finish no better than 7-9 this season. Seattle can be no worse than 7-8-1.
Detroit would get the No. 3 seed by leading the NFC North at 6-4. The Lions have the tiebreaker over the Falcons by having a slightly better record against the NFC. Detroit has the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Minnesota Vikings (6-4). The Lions have a two-game lead over the Green Bay Packers (4-6) and a four-game lead over the Chicago Bears (2-8).
Atlanta would get the No. 4 seed by leading the NFC South at 6-4. The Falcons have a one-game lead over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-5) and a two-game lead over both the Carolina Panthers (4-6) and the New Orleans Saints (4-6).
Getting the two NFC Wild Card spots would be the Giants and the Redskins. The Giants would get the No. 5 seed with the best record of a non-division leader in the NFC at 7-3. Washington would get the No. 6 seed for having the second-best record of a non-division leader in the NFC at 6-3-1.