Sep 18, 2016; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos outside linebacker Von Miller (58) celebrates with defensive end Derek Wolfe (95) after a play in the fourth quarter against the Indianapolis Colts at Sports Authority Field at Mile High. The Broncos won 34-20. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
Article continues below ...
It’s time for Matt Verderame’s Week 6 NFL picks, and he is probably going to simultaneously delight and enrage folks.
Hey, I finally had a good week (pretty good .. it was decent). After getting back over the .500 mark, I’m looking to make a strong push into barely employable with these picks and predictions. Let’s get right into it.
Denver Broncos (-3.5) at San Diego Chargers
This is a tougher call than one would think. If Trevor Siemian can’t play, Denver (4-1) is in real trouble. Then again, San Diego (1-4) will find some grotesque way to blow the game.
Pick: Denver 16, San Diego 13
Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots (-8.5)
New England (4-1) is the best team in football, with all due respect to the Broncos and Vikings. It’s going to be very tough for Cincinnati (2-3) to win this game, even in desperation mode.
Pick: New England 27, Cincinnati 20
Pittsburgh Steelers (-7.5) at Miami Dolphins
Remember the ending scene of Casino? Pittsburgh (4-1) and Miami (1-4) will be very similar to that, except worse.
Pick: Pittsburgh 44, Miami 17
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans (-7)
This game will force unsuspecting viewers to start vomiting uncontrollably. Turn away, don’t ever go back. Tennessee (2-3) is going to somehow be a .500 team, and Cleveland (0-5) may never win again.
Pick: Tennessee 20, Cleveland 14
Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions (-3)
Detroit (2-3) and Los Angeles (3-2) are both weird teams. The Lions have a solid offense and no defense, while the Rams are the polar opposite. Take the better quarterback at home.
Chicago (1-4) isn’t good, but the Bears are at home and Jacksonville (1-3) is nothing special in its own right. This could go either way, but the Jaguars have no ability to play defense. That’s the difference.
Pick: Chicago 30, Jacksonville 24
San Francisco 49ers at Buffalo Bills (-7.5)
Colin Kaepernick is starting for San Francisco (1-4), but it doesn’t matter. The 49ers don’t have talent around him. Buffalo (3-2) is a faux contender, but the Bills will win this one.
Pick: Buffalo 22, San Francisco 16
Carolina Panthers (-3) at New Orleans Saints
This is an elimination game. Whoever wins this contest will remain a fringe playoff contender while the other dies away. New Orleans (1-3) is coming off the bye. Carolina (1-4) is more talented. In the end, take the better defense.
Pick: New Orleans 37, Carolina 27
Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants (-3)
This is both an underrated and overreacted game. New York (2-3) and Baltimore (3-2) are not contenders, but this could be highly entertaining. The Giants won’t lose four straight.
Pick: New York 28, Baltimore 24
Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) at Washington Redskins
A low-key important game in the NFC East. Philadelphia (3-1) is a better team and will be focused coming off a bad loss to the Lions. Washington (3-2) has won three straight, which means it’s due.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) hands off to running back Jamaal Charles (25) during the first half against the Oakland Raiders at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (EVEN)
Forget all the talk about how great Andy Reid is after a bye week. Kansas City (2-2) is the better, more talented team. Yes, Oakland (4-1) has been prolific offensively, but the defense is terrible. The Raiders are better, but each of their four wins have been heart attacks.
Pick: Kansas City 27, Oakland 23
Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-6.5)
Seattle (3-1) is getting a ton of respect with this line, and rightfully so. Atlanta (4-1) could hang in, though, should the defense have another nice showing. However, this is a bad matchup for the Falcons and their high-octane passing game.
Pick: Seattle 24, Atlanta 20
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers (-4)
This might be the best game of the weekend, along with Kansas City and Oakland. Dallas (4-1) is for real with a killer ground game, while Green Bay (3-1) is winning despite bad play from Aaron Rodgers. Look for both trends to continue.
Pick: Green Bay 26, Dallas 23
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-3)
This is the Sunday night game. Thank God for playoff baseball. Indianapolis (2-3) has allowed 20 sacks already. Twenty. Houston (3-2) has Brock Osweiler, who is a human embodiment for a $72 million sunk cost. Fantastic.
Pick: Houston 27, Indianapolis 20
New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals (-7.5)
If Arizona (2-3) doesn’t beat New York (1-4) and the Fighting Fitzpatricks, it’s time to disband the franchise. The Jets are rancid.