DraftKings Best Picks: Fantasy Football Lineup – Week 10
DraftKings picks at each position with a breakdown by salary-tier and the best DFS Fantasy Football lineups for Week 10 .
Even though you have almost wholly the same roster of players each week when making your DraftKings picks, it’s a different process every week. That process depends upon matchups, position groups being undervalued, injuries, and a variety of other things. Heading into Week 10 and trying to assess the situation for DraftKings fantasy football and DFS play, the theme is certainly a few good matchups and wide receivers being tremendously undervalued.
As you go through and look at the salaries of some of the wide receivers this week, it’s crazy to think of their viable upside and how little it could cost to have them in your DFS lineup. Players with legitimate 25-30 point potential in fantasy scoring could be had for under $5,000 of you DraftKings budget.
So to best help you try and take advantage of all of this, we’re going to look at all of it. Going position-by-position on DraftKings, we’ll look at each position group and make picks based on salary-tier. There will be multiple for each tier so to give you a variety of options. These tiers for quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers are “Top-Tier,” “Mid-Tier,” and “Value” picks. For tight ends and defenses, there is just the first tier and then the other two are truncated into one.
And when it’s all said and done, we’ll look at these DFS picks and build the best DraftKings lineups for Week 10, with options there as well. Starting with the top-tier quarterbacks, onto the picks.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers (vs Titans): $7,600
Given the 2016 struggles of the Green Bay Packers, it’s understandable if you’re a bit apprehensive to bet on Aaron Rodgers. Frankly, it’s more of a risk than it probably should be. However, the Packers quarterback has a fantastic matchup in Week 10. Moreover, we know how good he can be when he’s at his peak.
- 11/10 – DraftKings Best Picks: Fantasy Football Lineup – Week 10
- 11/10 – NFL Quarterback Power Rankings 2016: Is Matt Ryan Finally Elite?
- 11/10 – Browns at Ravens: Preview, Predictions and More
- 11/10 – Browns at Ravens Live Stream: Watch NFL Online
- 11/10 – NFL Week 10: Survivor Pool Stone Cold Locks
The Titans defense is much improved and they can generate a pass-rush. However, they struggle throughout the secondary outside of Jason McCourty. With Perrish Cox covering either Randall Cobb or Davante Adams, Rodgers should be able to pick the Tennessee defense apart. As mentioned, though, it’s up to you if you want to trust him to do so.
Matt Ryan, Falcons (vs Eagles): $7,300
Not only has Matt Ryan been on an MVP-level pace this season, but the Atlanta Falcons quarterback has his team looking poises for a strong finish to 2016 and potentially a postseason run. Ryan has put up more than 24 points in DraftKings scoring in three of the last four weeks and has eclipsed 30 points three times already this season.
Though the Eagles have a solid overall defense, they have weak points in their secondary. I expect Ryan to pick on Leodis McKelvin quite often by targeting Mohmaed Sanu. Moreover, Julio Jones can’t really be stopped by anyone. When you factor all of that in, Ryan could be in store for a monster day.
Carson Palmer, Cardinals (vs 49ers): $6,500
Spoiler alert, but the San Francisco 49ers are absolutely atrocious. They can be picked apart essentially in any way that an opposing team wants to move the ball. While the Arizona Cardinals will rely on their running game, there still should be plenty of production left to go Carson Palmer’s way. Though inconsistent, Palmer did throw for 363 yards in his last outing going into the bye last week. With targets like Larry Fitzgerald, J.J. Nelson, and David Johnson out of the backfield, I think Palmer has a nice day.
Joe Flacco, Ravens (vs Browns—Thursday): $6,200
Much like playing the Niners, playing the Cleveland Browns is a gift that Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens receive on Thursday Night Football. However, it’s worth noting surely that Flacco has been a rollercoaster in terms of quality and production in 2016. However, it’s just too tasty to look at a poor Cleveland defense that may also be without Joe Haden and not want to take advantage.
Dak Prescott, Cowboys (vs Steelers): $6,100
Because of the name “Pittsburgh Steelers,” you might be looking at Dak Prescott in this matchup and thinking you should stay away. Don’t. This is a fine matchup for the rookie quarterback who’s really been progressing at a rapid pace in his first NFL season. The Steelers concede 276 passing yards per game on the year, which ranks well in the bottom-third of the league. With Dez Bryant back and a full complement of weapons, the Dak Attack should strike again.
Marcus Mariota, Titans (vs Packers): $5,700
Marcus Mariota has been playing quite well in the middle of his sophomore season. He’s thrown at least two touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Over that stretch, he’s also put up over 28 points in DraftKings scoring three times. Though the Packers have a decent-enough defense, they can be susceptible to getting beat through the air. With how the Titans quarterback is playing, I think he can exploit that.
Alex Smith, Chiefs (vs Panthers): $5,400
For those looking not to spend on quarterback, Alex Smith is a fantastic option. He’s ready to go after missing a week with a concussion and has a matchup that’s far more fearsome in name than in reality. The Carolina Panthers defense has been a mixed bag all season, but mostly has been lacking in the secondary. They give up the 29th most passing yards per game this season. While Smith isn’t going to air it out, he can take advantage of that and produce in fantasy far above his salary.
Jay Cutler, Bears (vs Buccaneers): $5,300
If you banked on Jay Cutler in his return from injury two weeks ago ahead of the Chicago Bears’ bye, you were wrong from the start. That said, Cutler looked solid and avoided mistakes against a still-quality defense. Now he’s going to be up against an atrocious Buccaneers pass defense that can get torched on a weekly basis. Though it’s a risk, which is why is salary is this low, it might be worth it in such a great matchup with high upside.
Top-Tier Running Backs
David Johnson, Cardinals (vs 49ers): $8,400
David Johnson is far and away the most expensive running back for Week 10 on DraftKings. And you know what, he 100 percent should be. Everything about what’s about to happen in the matchup between the Cardinals and 49ers suggests that this could be one of the best fantasy days by any player this season.
Not only does Johnson average 25.3 fantasy points per game in DFS as a rushing and pass-catching threat, but the Niners are last in the league in rushing defense. For Pete’s sake, the Saints ran all over them with Mark Ingram and Tim Hightower last week. Johnson is far superior to either of those players and should have just a ridiculous day to make that price worth it.
Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys (vs Steelers): $7,900
After Johnson in terms of salaries is the heavy favorite for Rookie of the Year, Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott. While I mentioned liking Dak Prescott because of a good matchup, that’s not exactly the case for Elliott against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is better at defending the run than they are the pass. However, one thing that’s been proven time and again this season is that the Dallas rushing game is matchup-proof. Behind that line and with a back of Zeke’s caliber, they’re going to move no matter what. Subsequently, he’s going to be worth the high salary every single week.
Devontae Booker, Broncos (vs Saints): $7,000
With the disclaimer that fellow rookie Kapri Bibbs in Denver makes this pick scary, I love the matchup too much to not have Devontae Booker her. The rookie hasn’t looked great in the past couple of weeks after taking the starting role for the Broncos in the wake of C.J. Anderson’s injury. However, much worse backs have torched this defense full of saloon doors. This could be the game Booker needs to get off the blocks and really rolling in his first season.
Mid-Tier Running Backs
Jordan Howard, Bears (vs Buccaneers): $6,000
Normally I like to leave decisions up to the people, but Jordan Howard should be in your DraftKings lineup. This isn’t an overreaction to the last time he was on the field and put up 153 yards on the ground. No, this is about the fact that the rookie in Chicago is talented and has the chance to light up a good matchup. Much like their pass defense, Tampa also can’t really put up much of a fight against the run as they’ve been quite generous in terms of yardage. With Howard’s abilities and the threat of Cutler throwing back, this is almost too quality of a play.
Terrance West, Ravens (vs Browns—Thursday): $5,700
Another player from Thursday Night Football and, what do you know, it’s another Baltimore player in a matchup against the Browns. Who could’ve ever predicted that? Jokes aside, Terrance West has been inconsistent as a runner this season in every sense. However, the Browns give up an average of 146.1 yards per game on the ground. Coming off of a short week after getting the crap beat out of them by Dallas, I don’t think the Browns have an answer for any kind of running back right now.
Mark Ingram, Saints (vs Broncos): $5,400
Yes, you’re seeing that correctly. I am picking Mark Ingram as he goes up against the vaunted Denver Broncos defense. That’s because said defense has actually been beaten by the run all season, giving up the 29th most yards per game on the ground at 128.6. Ingram is also coming off of a game where he took 15 carries for 158 yards and scored both a rushing and receiving touchdown. This came one week after getting benched for a fumble and he looks as if he’s out to prove something. He should be able to do just that.
Value Running Backs
Tim Hightower, Saints (vs Broncos): $4,600
Both Saints running backs get a shoutout (at different levels) and rightfully so. New Orleans showed a newfound commitment to really moving the ball on the ground last week. Though Drew Brees can beat any defense, the running game is their best course of action against this Broncos team, attacking the biggest weakness. Hightower out-carried Ingram last week and had a productive day in fantasy. While Ingram may get more touches in Week 10, Hightower should still get plenty of work and should produce.
Darren Sproles, Eagles (vs Falcons): $4,300
Discussing Matt Ryan and the Falcons as they take on the Eagles, I said that the quarterback should light Philly up. If that’s the case, Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense is going to wind up attacking primarily through the air. With Darren Sproles already seeing an increase in snaps, that should mean more catches and/or touches for him on Sunday. He may be the salty veteran at this point, but he can still play his role exceptionally well when called upon.
Kapri Bibbs, Broncos (vs Saints): $4,000
Again harkening back to a previous tier, I said that I was worried about Kapri Bibbs when it comes to Devontae Booker. Well, I’m worried to enough to feel obligated to put the rookie Bibbs in here. He busted open a screen pass for a 60-plus-yard touchdown last week in the final moments of their primetime loss and the Broncos brass said he’s earned more touches to get a look. Against a porous New Orleans run defense, he could do something big with just a few touches on Sunday.
Top-Tier Wide Receivers
Julio Jones, Falcons (vs Eagles): $9,500
We have the most expensive player at the position, but again it’s deserved. Not only has Julio Jones just been a monster, but we’ve already talked about the vulnerabilities of the Eagles pass defense. Not that matchups totally matter when it comes to Julio, but he has the chance to really go off in a matchup as favorable as this.
Mike Evans, Buccaneers (vs Bears): $9,000
If Jameis Winston has another receiving option that’s not Mike Evans, it would shock me. The second year quarterback looks the big receiver’s way more often than not and Evans has reaped the benefits because of it. He can come down with balls in traffic anywhere on the field and can also just gash defenses time and again. The banged-up Bears defense is still susceptible to getting burned and Evans is more than capable.
A.J. Green, Bengals (vs Giants): $8,500
At this salary, I think A.J. Green is being undervalued pretty substantially. He’s still the Cincinnati Bengals No. 1 option in the passing game without question. Moreover, the New York Giants have been burned time and again through the air, giving up the 25th most yards per game through the air on the season. Green is due to light it up on Monday night, provided Andy Dalton doesn’t have a primetime implosion.
Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals (vs 49ers): $7,600
You get the theme here of the 49ers being bad, right? They can’t defend any aspect of an opposing offense and Larry Fitzgerald has been a monster in terms of receptions this season. He’s had 19 catches in his last two games in addition to double-digit targets in each game. Moreover, he’s not seen fewer than seven targets in a game all year. He’ll be able to work the Niners defense and have another good day at the office.
Alshon Jeffery, Bears (vs Buccaneers): $6,600
Even though his salary puts him as a mid-tier option, this is the best value of any receiver in Week 10. Jay Cutler targets Alshon Jeffery far more frequently and with more effectiveness than Brian Hoyer ever did with any kind of consistency. Throw in the fact that Jeffery now appears fully healthy coming off of the Bears bye week and that he’s up against the shaky Bucs pass defense and Jeffery could be one of the top receivers in DraftKings scoring when it’s all said and done.
Davante Adams, Packers (vs Titans): $6,300
Remember the talk we had about Perrish Cox having to cover someone on the outside on Sunday? I think he’ll be on Adams more often than the currently hobbled and ineffective Randall Cobb. Subsequently, Adams should be open and Rodgers will have no trouble connecting with him. Adams has been racking up targets and catches recently, being targeted 38 times in the past three weeks, though he had a down week as Green Bay struggled in Week 9. Even still, expect a bounce-back against Cox and the Titans.
Mike Wallace, Ravens (vs Browns—Thursday): $6,200
The Browns could be without Joe Haden on Thursday night, which would make an already struggling and relatively horrible defense even worse. Wallace isn’t a target monster, but he’s shown that he and Joe Flacco can connect for the big play this season. Against Cleveland, that’s likely to happen once again and those with Wallace in their lineup will reap the benefits.
Michael Thomas, Saints (vs Broncos): $6,100
Denver’s strength on defense is undoubtedly their pass-coverage—when they’re healthy. However, they come into this matchup with a vaunted Saints passing attack possibly being without Aqib Talib again. As Michael Thomas isn’t the No. 1 on the Saints depth chart, that could leave him matched up with someone far beneath his talent level. And that could also mean Thomas has another monster game.
Value Wide Receivers
Tyrell Williams, Chargers (vs Dolphins): $5,700
With Travis Benjamin potentially missing Week 10 after barely getting on the field last week, Tyrell Williams is the famed next man up. What’s intriguing and enticing about that is that he’s been producing incredibly when he’s been asked to do so. He caught six of his seven targets against the Titans last week for 65 yards and a touchdown—good for 18.5 points on DraftKings. He could touch that again against a shaky, inconsistent Dolphins secondary.
Cole Beasley, Cowboys (vs Steelers): $5,400
Ride the Cole Beasley train until that fiery red engine isn’t turning anymore. The Cowboys slot receiver has been one of Dak Prescott’s favorite targets all season and he has the 43 catches on 52 targets through eight games to prove it. As I said, Prescott should be able to throw the ball on the Steelers and Beasley will certainly be involved in that yet again.
Corey Coleman, Browns (vs Ravens): $5,100
This is strictly an opportunity-based play for the Browns rookie receiver. In only his second game back since returning from injury, Corey Coleman will either be playing without or alongside an injured Terrelle Pryor. That should mean more targets for Coleman. And despite Cleveland’s shortcomings, they’ve shown they can at least throw a little. Capitalize on the guy most likely to get the rock.
Kenny Britt, Rams (vs Jets): $4,900
Case Keenum is absolutely terrible and draws nothing but pity from me for Rams fans. However, he and Kenny Britt have formed a nice connection in spite of all of this. Subsequently, they could do some nice things against this abysmal New York Jets passing defense. I think Britt breaks one—maybe even two—big one off and ends up with a nice day.
Mohamed Sanu, Falcons (vs Eagles): $4,600
This is another play that I can’t recommend highly enough. I’m not going to beat a dead-horse regarding the Eagles secondary being beatable. Leodis McKelvin got torched time and again last week, as did everyone else in that secondary. With Jones and Sanu going out, Matt Ryan will feed them both and each should put up wild numbers. Sanu’s, though, will just be for half the price on DraftKings.
J.J. Nelson, Cardinals (vs 49ers): $4,200
We again come back to the Niners being picked on and an intriguing player in J.J. Nelson. Nelson is averaging 81.5 receiving yards over his past two games and scored twice in his last outing for the Cardinals. He’s seemingly occupying a much larger role in the passing game now and you should take advantage of the DFS sites not having totally picked up on that yet.
Top-Tier Tight End
Jordan Reed, Redskins (vs Vikings): $6,200
Though I’m fully aware of what the Vikings defense is capable of at their peak, they haven’t been able to get there in recent weeks because they’ve been on the field far too much. Now, Jordan Reed is returning to action for the Washington Redskins and will certainly be heavily involved. The tight end is the favorite target of Kirk Cousins and he’s clearly going to look his way all over the field. Needless to say, this should be a no-brainer play just based on role and how things have soured for Minny in recent weeks.
Jimmy Graham, Seahawks (vs Patriots): $5,300
To be clear, I’m not a fan of the Seahawks matchup with the New England Patriots, as no one should be. However, the Seattle passing game leaned heavily on Jimmy Graham last week and that may be necessary in Week 10. Now that the Patriots are playing without Jamie Collins, though, I don’t know if the Pats have anyone that can cover Graham when he’s playing at the level he did on Monday night. This could be the return of the real Jimmy G in New England.
Tyler Eifert, Bengals (vs Giants): $5,200
In his first full game back in action, Tyler Eifert immediately assumed his enormous role in the Cincinnati Bengals passing game. Andy Dalton targeted him 12 times in Week 8 and the big man hauled in nine grabs for 102 yards and a touchdown. On Monday night this week, Eifert matches up with a Giants team that has been bad overall against the pass and struggles specifically with opposing tight ends. This sounds like a big game cooking for Eifert.
Mid-Tier/Value Tight Ends
Jason Witten, Cowboys (vs Steelers): $4,000
Don’t expect the same level of production that Jason Witten put up last week, but the Dallas tight end and resident Old Faithful of the offense is building a rapport with Prescott week-by-week. That seems to be blooming these days and I think the Cowboys pass more than some might think in this game. In doing so, you better believe Witten will be getting his looks again and wind up having another solid outing in terms of fantasy production.
Zach Miller, Bears (vs Buccaneers): $3,600
In addition to Alshon Jeffery, Jay Cutler’s favorite target in the Bears passing offense has been tight end Zach Miller in the middle of the field. Whenever he needs a safety valve or even sometimes when he’s looking to catch the defense off guard down the field, Cutler looks the way of Miller. And once again diving into the inefficiencies of the Tampa pass defense, this seems like a strong play for DFS players.
Lance Kendricks, Rams (vs Jets): $3,000
This might seem like a deep-sleeper, but it’s actually just DraftKings and many fans not realizing how often the Rams are looking his way. Lance Kendricks has been targeted at least eight times in each of the past three weeks, including 12 times last week. In those games, he’s now caught 19 balls for 179 yards and a touchdown. With Captain Checkdown, Case Keenum, at quarterback, Kendricks is becoming more involved and could be one player giving the Jets fits on Sunday.
Houston Texans (vs Jaguars): $3,800
Blake Bortles is in the giving holiday spirit early this year—as has been the case for most of his young career. Even without J.J. Watt, the Texans defense has still be coming strong at opponents and causing them problems. I think that will again be the case in this one and you might be rewarded with a pick-six for your troubles.
Baltimore Ravens (vs Browns): $3,700
Though the offense of the Cleveland Browns is their strong-suit (which isn’t saying much), the defense of the Baltimore Ravens is theirs. Thus, I think that the Ravens should ultimately be able to come through and deliver a big-time performance making them worth such a high price.
Arizona Cardinals (vs 49ers): $3,700
First off, I like this Cardinals defense and the way that they can pressure the quarterback. Even with Tyrann Mathieu still out due to injury, they can cause problems in every other facet of the game as well. But I also don’t like anything that the Niners have offensive really at all. This one shouldn’t even be all that close and I think the Arizona defense off of the bye dominates and winds up with some nice production in terms of sacks and forced turnovers.
Washington Redskins (vs Vikings): $3,000
The Minnesota Vikings currently find themselves in an absolute free-fall. And it has absolute nothing to do with their elite defensive unit and everything to do with their offense. That line in Minnesota is atrocious and, despite underperforming as a unit, Washington has players that can blow through a bad line and make it a long day for Sam Bradford. This is a very good play that I think could come up huge.
Los Angeles Rams (vs Jets): $2,900
As much as I like to pick on the weak secondary of the New York Jets, I also enjoy picking on Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets offense. If there’s one thing that the Rams do well, it’s on the defensive side of the ball. Especially if the New York offense isn’t 100 percent healthy still, Aaron Donald and LA’s defense should be able to make plays and make life hard for the Jets on Sunday.
Dallas Cowboys (vs Steelers): $2,700
I’ll go ahead and warn you that this is a high-risk, highly volatile gamble you’d be taking to save money on a defense. At their peak, the Pittsburgh Steelers offense is one of the best in the NFL. However, they were far from that last week in Ben Roethlisberger’s return. In short, it doesn’t look like Big Ben is 100 percent and rather like he’s gutting it out. With a Cowboys defense that’s been opportunistic and actually quite solid, they could theoretically take advantage of that and have at least a respectable showing in this big matchup.
Week 10 DraftKings Lineups
So I’m not locking you in with picks you don’t particularly like, I’m going to serve up a trio of lineups that all have different looks. The first will include Thursday Night Football while the other two will be all-Sunday lineups on DraftKings.
The Thursday Night Stack Special
QB: Joe Flacco
RB: Terrance West
RB: Jordan Howard
WR: Mike Wallace
WR: Mohamed Sanu
WR: Davante Adams
TE: Tyler Eifert
FLEX: Michael Thomas
If you want to attack the Browns and play a Thursday night contest, this is the lineup for you. You’re going at the Browns from all angles and at almost every position group. You also can then afford to fill out your roster with a bunch mid-tier players and a few value picks that should ultimately pay dividends.
The Stars and Steals
QB: Matt Ryan
RB: David Johnson
RB: Darren Sproles
WR: Larry Fitzgerald
WR: Mohamed Sanu
WR: J.J. Nelson
TE: Tyler Eifert
FLEX: Cole Beasley
As the name for this lineup would suggest, you’re looking at a blend of top-tier and value picks when it comes to this lineup. You get the Cardinals duo of David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald to attack the 49ers defense while also getting Matt Ryan up against that Eagles secondary. Plus, Sanu’s underrated value allows you to stack him with Ryan. With some quality value plays, this lineup rounds out nicely.
The Balanced Diet
QB: Carson Palmer
RB: David Johnson
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
WR: Alshon Jeffery
WR: Mohamed Sanu
WR: J.J. Nelson
TE: Lance Kendricks
FLEX: Mark Ingram
Yes, this balanced lineup includes a lot of money spent at running back, but that’s what this week really necessitates. There’s so much value at receiver that you should be exploiting it to get the stars at running back. The Kendricks pick may worry some, but his recent track record should ease your mind quite a bit—all the way to the bank, even.