49ers Should Take QB Patrick Mahomes in Round 2 of NFL Draft
The San Francisco 49ers need a quarterback this offseason, and the NFL Draft is likely a place for the team to fill this need. Reaching for a QB in Round 1 isn’t the best idea, so holding out for Texas Tech’s Patrick Mahomes in the second round seems like much better an option.
Take a look around NFL Draft mocks, and you’ll likely see the San Francisco 49ers going after a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick.
Here’s the problem — Trubisky to the Niners at No. 2 is a reach. CBS Sports even ranks Trubisky as the No. 12 overall prospect.
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No quarterback is even within the top 10. That’s called a reach — a bad one.
With a plethora of needs elsewhere, new general manager John Lynch would be wise to use that first-round pick to shore up something else, anything but quarterback.
And Lynch can worry about quarterback in Round 2. The name to watch is Texas Tech’s Patrick Mahomes.
The Niners also own pick No. 34 overall in the draft, and it’s unlikely other Round 1 QBs — like Notre Dame’s DeShone Kizer or Clemson’s Deshaun Watson — fall that far. But Mahomes likely will, and the 49ers shouldn’t hesitate to bite.
Breaking Down the Numbers
We have to take into account Texas Tech’s wide-open passing offense as a bit of an inflation on Mahomes’ collegiate stats.
He certainly benefited from such, although we can certainly look at his numbers as being impressive:
|2014||Texas Tech||Big 12||FR||QB||7||105||185||56.8||1547||8.4||9.1||16||4||151.2|
|*2015||Texas Tech||Big 12||SO||QB||13||364||573||63.5||4653||8.1||8.2||36||15||147.2|
|2016||Texas Tech||Big 12||JR||QB||12||388||591||65.7||5052||8.5||9.2||41||10||157.0|
Note the completion percentage — 63.5 over three collegiate seasons. That number isn’t far off Trubisky’s 68.0 mark or Watson’s 67.0 percentage. And one might feel as if Mahomes is more pro ready, considering Trubisky is just a one-year starter in college.
The 6-foot-3, 230-pound Mahomes also has the ideal body for an NFL quarterback.
Breaking Down Scouting Reports
According to NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein, Mahomes “is a big, confident quarterback who brings a variety of physical tools to the party.”
Zierlein does point out a few problems with the Texas Tech quarterback’s game though, including some poor decision-making skills and some mechanical issues that need tweaking. So we can deduce from this it’s unlikely Mahomes will be a day-one starter once drafted. He’ll need a year or two to develop.
But there’s one aspect to point out. Earlier this month, Niner Noise’s Rich Madrid broke down new head coach Kyle Shanahan’s passing offense. One of the key focal points was Shanahan’s use of the run-pass option.
Without going into too much detail, Shanahan rarely hesitated to use this run-pass approach with the Atlanta Falcons, as broken down in Madrid’s assessment.
Zierlein also draws the conclusion Mahomes would be a good fit in this type of scheme:
Expedites release on RPOs (run-pass option) or when pressure is mounting in pocket. Puts effort into play-action fakes. Relaxed and effective when throwing on the move. Can be a legitimate dual-threat in a boot-action offense. Improved his eye manipulation over the years and will eyeball linebackers to hold them while patterns unfold around them.
Sounds like a nice fit, right?
And for those questioning Mahomes’ deep-ball skills, just look at this practice throw, courtesy of Stack Media’s Jordan Zirm:
Patrick. Mahomes. Dime. City. pic.twitter.com/P5Cy1xUYUW
— Jordan Zirm (@clevezirm) February 7, 2017
Two-Round Mock Draft for the 49ers
Since we’ve already given the Niners a nod to grab Mahomes in Round 2 with pick No. 34 overall, let’s speculate a bit on the prospect taken at No. 2 overall as well.
Assuming Lynch passes on a QB in Round 1, simply because the value isn’t there, the Niners may try to trade down — which might negate the whole Mahomes-to-San-Francisco idea anyway — or stay put and select the best player available.
It’s likely Texas A&M’s Myles Garrett is off the boards to the Cleveland Browns at No. 1 overall. And it’s hard to see San Francisco going after projected-No. 2 prospect, Alabama’s Jonathan Allen, because they already have Arik Armstead and DeForest Buckner playing the same position.
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Niner Noise tabbed Alabama inside linebacker Reuben Foster to San Francisco in a recent Chat Sports live mock, so that wouldn’t be a bad idea. Clemson wide receiver Mike Williams wouldn’t be a bad fit either.
Since the defense was the No. 1 weakness for the 49ers a year ago, let’s go with Foster as the 49ers’ first-round pick.
And Mahomes falls into San Francisco’s lap in Round 2.
With those two picks, the Niners have made some notable upgrades to both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball.