Yu Darvish Would Look Nice at the Top of the Yankees Rotation
The narrative of the 2017 season, aside from all things Baby Bombers, will be the worry over Masahiro Tanaka enacting his opt-out clause come next fall — whenever it is that the Yankees season comes to an end.
As I’ve written about in the past, this is all contingent upon Tanaka not only having another stellar campaign as he did in 2016 but more importantly, staying healthy. If Tanaka honors the remainder of his deal, he’s looking at 3-years/$67M. While that’s nothing to shake a stick at, it’s nowhere close to what fellow countryman Yu Darvish of the Rangers could be looking at this offseason.
According to Evan Grant of the Dallas News, he believes the framework for a five or six-year deal worth $30M per, for Darvish and Texas is there — though neither side has initiated extension talks.
“Perhaps they re-engage with renewed dedication this spring, but that’s a big contract to try and negotiate during spring training. … I got some indication that perhaps the Rangers were holding off and saving all resources to make a run at Shohei Otani, the next great thing to come from Japan, but now it seems less likely that Otani will come to the U.S. for 2018.”
Does that last line sound familiar, Yankees fans? How we’re all waiting with bated breath for the once in a lifetime 2018 free agent class to arrive. Well, guess what, we’re not alone! Otani, Manny Machado, Bryce Harper, Matt Harvey, and so on.
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The 2017 offseason is lining up to be another dud in terms of big name available players — unless of course Tanaka and Darvish become available.
Most Yankees fans are clamoring for the club to secure the services of Machado and Harper, but what about reinforcing the rotation? After all, that’s this team’s real deficiency. And this is with Tanaka still in tow.
Let’s say for instance Tanaka has a so-so year and decides to stay put at his current salary. Teaming him up with Darvish at the top of the rotation would make for an epic one-two punch. On the other end of the spectrum, if Tanaka opts out (as I expect he will), Michael Pineda and CC Sabathia also leave via free agency — the Yankees can take those expendable millions and give Darvish his 5-year/$150M deal (though, I’d prefer 4-years/$120M).
I get that it’s a lot of money for a pitcher turning 31 in 2018, but the man has already gone through his recovery from Tommy John — something we’re all inevitably waiting for Tanaka to succumb to (let’s be honest).
After missing all of 2015, Darvish returned with a 7-5 record, a 3.41 ERA, 1.116 WHIP, and 132 strikeouts in 100 innings pitched. Add in the fact he only walked 31 batters and his fastball was regularly clocked at 98 mph, and it’s clear to see that Darvish will only continue to get stronger post-surgery.
For those of you who still feel Darvish will inevitably be another money pit — a la Zack Greinke in Arizona, Grant makes a wonderful counter argument.
“I believe that if you sign a pitcher to a five-year deal or longer, you better be prepared that you are going to pay for at least one year in which the pitcher will either not participate or will underperform badly. Especially when the pitcher is going to be in his 30s throughout the length of the contract. All that said, I am convinced to my core, that Darvish has all the marks of the outlier in this. He’s already gone through Tommy John and his arm should be healthy for the foreseeable future. He’s grown more comfortable in this clubhouse, this community and with himself as a pitcher. He is a freak when it comes to taking care of himself and his body. And he’s almost obsessive compulsive when it comes to learning about the game and making himself a better pitcher. The Rangers have had some bad results with big deals for guys in their 30s. In general, they are wise to steer clear. Darvish, I believe, is the exception.”
Skeptics will say they don’t want either pitcher suiting up for the Yankees in 2018. To that, I shake my head in disappointment. As much as I worry about Tanaka, he’s been the most reliable shooter on the staff since his arrival to the Bronx in 2014. So I’d rather not see him leave but that’s up to he, his reps, and the Yankees front office.
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Should Tanaka command somewhere near $200M, I’d say sayonara! Instead, I’d place my focus on the three-time All-Star who’s stint in Texas could be coming to an end. With all these Baby Bombers and potential free agent sluggers to be, the Yankees are still going need a veteran presence to solidify the rotation.
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