Henrik Stenson With Best Chance To Claim Race to Dubai Title

As the Race to Dubai has only two weeks remaining before a winner is crowned, Henrik Stenson holds his fate in his own hands.

Henrik Stenson is leading the Race to Dubai with only two events to go.

“It would be nice to go into the last one knowing that if you win in Dubai, you win the overall.” Henrik Stenson said after finishing second at the WGC HSBC.

That finish vaulted him into first place in the Race to Dubai standings and puts him in the driver’s seat for the Race To Dubai.   There are only two tournaments that remain, the Nedbank Golf Challenge and the DP World Tour Championship. Stenson is playing in both.

After the WGC event, he said his plan was to return to Orlando to work on his game before going to South Africa.

“Hopefully I can just carry on for the final two weeks,” he added.

Whether Stenson can win it all and take home his second Race to Dubai title, depends on the numbers and points plus the rest of the field’s in the next two weeks.

With Rory McIlroy pulling out of the Turkish Airlines Open and not playing Nedbank, he has nearly taken himself out of contention for winning the Race to Dubai.  McIlroy is currently a million points behind Stenson and could not catch him with a victory in Dubai so long as Stenson has a top four finish in South Africa. Even last place at Nedbank is worth 11,200 points, and Stenson, typically, is not a last place finisher.

With Danny Willett’s 75th place finish at the WGC event, he put himself in difficulty to pull off the Race to Dubai victory. However, at this week’s Nedbank, he is the only one who could pass Stenson with a victory, even if Stenson finished last there. The two of them would then be pitted against each other in Dubai for the final tournament.

No one else in the top ten can pass Stenson with a win this week. That includes Tyrrell Hatton, Alex Noren, Rafa Cabrera Bello, Louis Oosthuizen, Chris Wood, Thorbjorn Oleson and Branden Grace, who cannot pass Stenson this week with a victory in South Africa.

“It’s going to be tight all the way to the end, and that’s the way we like it,” Stenson added, obviously feeling that his game was up to it.

Last year, there were four tournaments in the finals for the Race to Dubai. This year, there are three, the Turkish Airlines Open, the Nedbank Challenge and the DP World Tour Champion.

Here are the current points and projected points for the top ten if they finish in places 1-5 this week:

With WIN at Nedbank  Current  Available  Projected Points Behind
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 1,166,660 5,009,944
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 1,166,660 4,757,780 252,000
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 1,333,000 1,019,135
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 1,166,660 3,529,036 1,480,908
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 1,166,660 3,485,264 1,524,680
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 1,166,660 3,135,767 1,874,177
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 1,166,660 2,927,553 2,082,391
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 1,166,660 2,922,991 2,086,953
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 1,166,660 2,918,249 2,091,695
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 1,166,660 2,916,555 2,093,389
With 2nd at Nedbank
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 777,770 4,621,054
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 777,770 4,368,890
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 777,770 3,601,919
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 777,770 3,140,146
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 777,770 3,096,374
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 777,770 2,746,877
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 777,770 2,538,663
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 777,770 2,534,101
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 777,770 2,529,359
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 777,770 2,527,665
With 3rd at Nedbank
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 483,200 4,326,484
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 483,200 4,074,320
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 483,200 3,307,349
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 483,200 2,845,576
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 483,200 2,801,804
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 483,200 2,452,307
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 483,200 2,244,093
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 483,200 2,239,531
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 483,200 2,234,789
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 483,200 2,233,095
With 4th at Nedbank
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 350000 4,193,284
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 350000 3,941,120
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 350000 3,174,149
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 350000 2,712,376
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 350000 2,668,604
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 350000 2,319,107
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 350000 2,110,893
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 350000 2,106,331
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 350000 2,101,589
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 350000 2,099,895
With 5th at Nedbank
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 296,800 4,140,084
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 296,800 3,887,920
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 296,800 3,120,949
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 296,800 2,659,176
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 296,800 2,615,404
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 296,800 2,265,907
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 296,800 2,057,693
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 296,800 2,053,131
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 296,800 2,048,389
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 296,800 2,046,695
With last at Nedbank
STENSON Henrik 3,843,284 51,100 3,894,384
WILLETT Danny 3,591,120 51,100 3,642,220
MCILROY Rory 2,824,149 51,100 2,875,249
HATTON,Tyrrell 2,362,376 51,100 2,413,476
NOREN Alex 2,318,604 51,100 2,369,704
CABRERA BELLO Rafa 1,969,107 51,100 2,020,207
OOSTHUIZEN Louis 1,760,893 51,100 1,811,993
WOOD Chris 1,756,331 51,100 1,807,431
OLESEN Thorbjørn 1,751,589 51,100 1,802,689
GRACE Branden 1,749,895 51,100 1,800,995

Who will pick up the win at the Nedbank and how will that leave things in the race overall? Check back with us during the week when our European Tour coverage will provide the answers.

This article originally appeared on