Brady suspended four games, Garoppolo college stats and draft critique

Here’s the July 15, 2016 update on Tom Brady’s suspension and its fantasy impact.

April 25, 2016 Update: Tom Brady’s four-game suspension has been reinstated by a U.S. Court of Appeals.

—–ORIGINAL May 11, 2015 ARTICLE———

Tom Brady has been suspended four games by the league for violating the NFL policy on the integrity of the game. From a fantasy football perspective, the loss of Tom Brady this September (pending appeal) will remind owners of his production last September. In case you forgot, Brady averaged less than 200 passing yards per game with four touchdown passes and two interceptions the first four weeks of 2014. He then proceeded to torch secondaries the next four weeks to the tune of 14 touchdowns with no interceptions in October. He finished the season ranked QB7 averaging more than 20 points per game over 17 weeks.

The assumed loss of Brady opens the door for fantasy owners and Patriots fans to learn what the next era of New England football could look like. Unless the Patriots make an unforeseen roster move, second-year trigger Jimmy Garoppolo will take the snaps for the Patriots. Here’s a brief overview of his college stats while leading the University of Tony Romo, a.k.a. Eastern Illinois of the FCS (Stats):

Year Team G Cmp Att Comp % Yds Yd/A TDs Int Sacked
2010 E. Illinois 8 124 211 58.8 1639 7.8 14 13 18
2011 E. Illinois 11 217 349 62.2 2644 7.6 20 14 28
2012 E. Illinois 12 331 540 61.3 3823 7.1 31 15 29
2013 E. Illinois 14 375 568 66.0 5050 8.9 53 9 19
Career   45 1047 1668 62.8 13156 7.9 118 51 94

Now, it could just be me, but owning a completion percentage south of 63 percent within a 45-FCS-game sample size could be reason for us to worry. It could just be me or …

"Is a tad undersized with small hands and short arms. Uses a three-quarters delivery that could lead to batted balls. Works heavily out of the shotgun in a spread offense, and footwork could require adjustment to working from under center. Does not always feel pressure in the pocket. Does not rip the deep out or drive the ball with high RPMs. Undershoots and often hangs the deep ball. Makes receivers work for the ball downfield, and deep accuracy could stand to improve. Makes a lot of simple, one-look reads and was not heavily challenged by consistent pressure or complex looks in the Ohio Valley Conference."- Nolan Nawrocki, Garoppolo draft scouting report

To be fair, all 32 teams scouted Garoppolo before the draft and any pre-draft analysis was before he had a chance to learn from Tom Brady and Bill Belichick for a season. For the sake of this exercise, we’ll refrain from low-hanging Deflategate snark that doesn’t truly impact your fantasy football thoughts on either player or coach.

Here’s what Jimmy G. has in front of him the first month of the 2015 season:

Week Opponent 2014 FPA to QBs
1 vs. Steelers 21.6
2 at Bills 14.4
3 vs. Jaguars 19.1
4 BYE  
5 at Cowboys 19.0

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