John Halpin is on vacation in Turks and Caicos, where he is no doubt getting his hair braided. He’ll be back tomorrow.
Welcome to our daily look at daily fantasy baseball. We’ll use DraftKings salaries to give you some tips and advice on the day’s action. We’llfocus on Tuesday’s 10-game night slate.Games start at 7:05 EST.
Remember to check lineups and weather as game times approach. We’ll publish this piece in the mornings, and a lot can happen during the day.
Speaking of weather. Weather.com’s 30-percent chance of rain in Chicago at first pitch last night turned into 100 percent and that game didn’t get going until after 10 p.m. ET with wind chills in the low 30s. So, that was fun.
As for tonight, it appears Reds at Pirates has about a 50 percent chance of rain showers around first pitch at 7:05 ET.
The Yankees pitcher flirted with a perfect game, but finished with 11 strikeouts and, most importantly, the win for DFS owners.
The brilliant performance crushed my Rays outfield stack of Corey Dickerson and Steven Souza who both posted goose eggs.
Wil Myers hit for the cycle, but the 5-3 finale fell well short of the 11.5 O/U. Aside from Myers, DFS owners didn't earn a solid return from Blackmon, Arenado or CarGo. You needed to buy a share of D.J. LeMahieu (2-3 with a HR and double) who was off to a slow start in 2017.
On to the bad, Jacob deGrom got into some trouble early in his start against the Phillies and was stunted with 10.7 FP. Matt Moore locked down Paul Goldschmidt because, well, he had an off day I guess. Like Pineda, the A's pitching prospect Jharel Cotton was infinitely better than the five earned runs he allowed in his first start. So, red-hot Salvador Perez was held to just 3 FP.
OK, I've beat myself up enough. James Paxton was a DFS savior for many last night after he locked down the Astros and posted 31.15 FP. One of the best bargains in DraftKings right now is Ryan Zimmerman who - when healthy - can still string together solid games. He actually stole a base last night. Zimm swiped six bases all of last year.
Pitchers I Like (not Love)
J.A. Happ at $8,000 against the Brewers and Matt Harvey at $8,300 against the Phillies.
Have I mentioned how much I dislike interleague play at the start of the season? What a mess, but Happ is solid at home and is coming off a strong performance against a better-hitting Orioles lineup in his first start of the season. He carried an ERA a half of a run lower at home in 2016.
At some point the Phillies offense has to slow down. They have the third-highest wOBA behind the Nationals and Diamondbacks. One of these things is not like the other. Their team BABIP is .321. Granted, it's a one-week sample size, but .321 would have ranked second in baseball last season. In other words, they've been really lucky. Vegas likes Harvey and the Mets (-137).
Pitchers I Don't Like
The three most expensive pitchers today are Cole Hamels ($10,000), Robbie Ray ($9,200) and Jeff Samardzija ($8,900).
It's one thing to shell out DFS dough for Chris Sale, but to drop digits on these three arms appears to be risky business.
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Stacks on Stacks
I have no issues going back to the Padres at Rockies well. The O/U is 12 on most Vegas boards courtesy of the Jered Weaver vs. Antonio Senzatela duel. Padres leadoff hitter Manuel Margot continues his hot start to the season as he reached base three times on Monday night. His $4,600 price tag is a tad high, but not outrageous for leadoff.
Also: Marlins versus Bartolo.
Best Bargains for better, for worse
OF - Nomar Mazara $3,300 vs. Tyler Skaggs, but Mazara does struggle versus lefties (.228). Be careful.
OF/SS - Chris Owings $2,900 vs. Jeff Samardzija for a bat atop the Diamondbacks lineup. He's 3-9 lifetime vs. Sam.
OF - A.J. Pollock $3,400 vs. Jeff Samardzija. You get a leadoff hitter in a loaded lineup for less than $3,500. It makes sense to me.
OF - Mitch Haniger $3,400 vs Joe Musgrove. Chasing a feeling. He's 2-2 against Musgrove with a homer and is averaging 11.5 FPPG this season.
1B - Brandon Belt $3,500 vs Robbie Ray. Belt is patient at the plate and will make Ray work. He has two extra base hits in nine at bats against Ray.
SP – J.A. Happ SP – Matt Harvey C – J.T. Realmuto 1B – Brandon Belt 2B – Dee Gordon 3B – Ryan Zimmerman SS – Troy Tulowitzki OF – Charlie Blackmon OF – Bryce Harper OF – Wil Myers