College Football Playoff predictions following week 11

Last weekend was definitely the most hectic of the 2016 season thus far. Five teams ranked within the top ten of the College Football Playoff rankings lost, Clemson (2), Michigan (3), Washington (4), Texas A&M (8), and Auburn (9).

Clemson looked to be in a world of trouble following their heartbreaking loss to Pitt. Then, Michigan and Washington dropped their games as well, which eased minds of plenty of Tigers fans. I believe that Clemson will remain in the top four of tonight’s rankings. I cannot see the committee putting Louisville in over the Tigers, that would devalue the most important aspect of football.

The head-to-head.

At the end of the day the decision is in the committee’s hands. The College Football Playoff is not an exact science, as we all know. Here’s my predictions on tonight’s rankings following week 11.

Nov 12, 2016; College Park, MD, USA; Ohio State Buckeyes runs onto the field prior to the game against the Maryland Terrapins at Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium. Ohio State Buckeyes defeated Maryland Terrapins 66-3.Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio State jumps to number 2.

The Buckeye’s have been playing lights out in the month of November, as can be expected from an Urban Meyer coached team.

The losses of Clemson, Michigan, and Washington could not have come at a better time for Ohio State. In their past two contests the Buckeye’s have outscored their opponents 124 to 6. J.T. Barrett has found his rhythm as of late and their young defense continues to improve which is scary considering how good they were early on in the season.

I was never too concerned about Ohio State getting in the playoff after their loss to Penn State. The Buckeyes had more than enough time to work their way back in. The losses at the top, combined with Penn State’s reemergence make Ohio State’s top four case almost undeniable. 

Nov 12, 2016; Clemson, SC, USA; Clemson Tigers quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) walks off the field after the game against the Pittsburgh Panthers at Clemson Memorial Stadium. Panthers won 43-42. Mandatory Credit: Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Clemson only slides one spot to 3rd

I realize that the Tigers lost and there has to be some movement because of that. However, with Michigan losing and Wilton Speight getting injured I think the Wolverines stock took a big hit.

While Jim Harbaugh has yet to declare Speight out, I believe questions about his health will cause the committee to keep Clemson above Michigan.

Louisville did jump the Tigers in the AP poll, but, I doubt they jump Clemson in the College Football Playoff rankings. The head-to-head victory over the Cardinals should keep them firmly planted above the Cardinals barring another loss.

The committee values conference champions and as it stands Clemson is the favorite to win the ACC Championship. The loss to Pittsburgh hurts Clemson’s in the rankings, however, I think it helps the Tigers within that locker room. There is no longer any more pressure to lose and they can focus on improving each week. 

Nov 5, 2016; Morgantown, WV, USA; West Virginia Mountaineers cornerback Rasul Douglas (13) celebrates with safety Kyzir White (8) after intercepting a pass during the fourth quarter against the Kansas Jayhawks at Milan Puskar Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

West Virginia moves to number 10

The Mountaineers have been lapped by two loss teams as of late. In last weeks Playoff rankings, West Virginia sat, with one loss, at 16. Teams 7-15 all had two losses.

I think the committee is impartial to Oklahoma. For whatever reason, the Sooners always seem to be the committee’s darling at the end of the year. With Oklahoma and West Virginia set to play this weekend, I believe that the Sooners and the Mountaineers will be ranked within the top ten to give the Big 12 a chance at sneaking someone in the College Football Playoff.

West Virginia’s one loss came at the hands of 13th ranked Oklahoma State. That is not a bad loss in the eyes of the committee. I think that the Mountaineers will jump Oklahoma State in this weeks College Football Playoff rankings.

Nov 12, 2016; Tuscaloosa, AL, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide running back Damien Harris (34) and Alabama linebacker Reuben Foster (10) leave the field after his team defeated the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Tide defeated the Bulldogs 51-3. Mandatory Credit: Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports

Top 10 prediction:

  1. Alabama
  2. Ohio State
  3. Clemson
  4. Michigan
  5. Louisville
  6. Washington
  7. Wisconsin
  8. Oklahoma
  9. Penn State
  10. West Virginia

Here’s what the fans are saying

And our buddies over at ChopChat

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