Predicting the NCAA tournament bracket

For the past four years, Chris Kulenych and Craig Gately of Bracketology 101 have been the most accurate bracketologists in the country. Their “projection-prediction” model is not based on the season ending today. Instead, it takes into account what teams have done so far and factors in future results as well. For more analysis of their weekly bracket and to read their daily content, please visit Bracketology 101.



Seed Team Comment
at New Orleans
1   Kentucky Not many figured the ‘Cats would survive two rough road games.
16  Jacksonville Two road wins last week got the Dolphins into the field.
8  Baylor Their schedule sets up favorably down the stretch.
9  UTEP The Miners are slowly starting to build an at-large résumé.
at San Jose
5  Wake Forest Had an ugly 0-2 week after winning six out of seven.
12  Connecticut The Huskies are suddenly the hottest team on the Big East bubble.
4  Wisconsin Losing at Minnesota all but ended this team’s Big Ten title hopes.
13  Kent State The Golden Flashes still get the nod over Akron in the MAC.
at San Jose
3  New Mexico The red-hot Lobos have now won 12 straight.
14  UC Santa Barbara The Gauchos picked up a nice BracketBuster win vs. Fresno State.
6  Texas Their perfect 17-0 mark and their 1-seed seem like so long ago.
11  Utah State We like the Aggies’ chances for an at-large if they need it.
at Providence
7  Richmond The Spiders have a week off to prep for a tough stretch.
10  Georgia Tech The Jackets’ road woes continued as they dropped to 6-7 in the ACC.
2  Villanova ‘Nova lost back-to-back games for the first time in two years.
15  Morgan State The Bears should finish 15-1 in the MEAC.




Seed Team Comment
at Milwaukee
1  Purdue Huge win in Columbus lands the Boilermakers on the one line.
16  Robert Morris Home loss to Quinnipiac narrows their Northeast lead to a game.
8  Florida State The ‘Noles have a good chance to make a run in the ACC.
9  Louisville Absolutely brutal schedule left for the Cardinals.
at Spokane
5  Gonzaga The ‘Zags have more WCC losses than the last two years combined.
12  UAB The Blazers’ final two games will decide their fate.
4  Temple The A-10 bubble may be weak, but the Owls are legit.
13  Mississippi State A 10-6 finish in the SEC West will get the Bulldogs a bid.
at Providence
3  Pittsburgh No team had a better week than the Panthers.
14  Charleston The big win at George Mason cancelled out some recent losses.
6  BYU Big homestand this week with SDSU and New Mexico coming in.
11  Old Dominion BracketBuster weekend was bad for ODU and the entire CAA.
at Oklahoma City
7  Maryland Consistent Terps looking very solid for a tourney return.
10  Illinois The Illini have four Top 50 wins but an RPI in the 70s.
2  Kansas State Clemente was unstoppable (27 points) against Oklahoma.
15  Sam Houston The Bearkats lost to UTSA but are still the Southland’s best.




Seed Team Comment
at Buffalo
1  Syracuse Their showdown with ‘Nova looms this Saturday.
16  Lehigh/
 Jackson State
The Tigers moved to 13-1 in the SWAC with two OT wins.
8  Virginia Tech The win over Wake last week validates their spot in the field.
9  Oklahoma State James Anderson led OSU to a 2-0 week (51 points, 20 rebonds).
at Spokane
5  Tennessee Huge week for the Vols with a trip to Gainesville and UK visiting.
12  Siena The Saints need to win the MAAC tourney to get a bid.
4  Michigan State They would have been a 2-seed with a win over Ohio State.
13  Murray State The Racers’ last loss was on Dec. 22.
at Jacksonville
3  Georgetown The Hoyas showed heart vs. ‘Cuse, but the deficit was too much.
14  Weber State The Wildcats have a two-game lead with two to play in the Big Sky.
6  Texas A&M The Aggies are starting to look like the third-best Big 12 team.
11  California Their at-large résumé took a huge hit with a loss to Oregon State.
at Jacksonville
7  Northern Iowa Their BracketBuster win over ODU locked up an at-large bid.
10  Florida The Gators need to beat a top-three SEC team down the stretch.
2  Duke A 1-seed is attainable if they win out and win the ACC tournament.
15  Stony Brook The Seawolves host Vermont in a 1 vs. 2 battle this week.




Seed Team Comment
at Oklahoma City
1  Kansas The victory over A&M makes it six wins over RPI Top 25 teams.
16  Troy The Trojans completed a big season sweep of MTSU last week.
8  Clemson Their last four games are vs. tourney teams (three on the road).
9  Marquette The Golden Eagles survived OT at Cincy to remain in the field.
at New Orleans
5  Butler Could the Bulldogs earn a top-four seed come Selection Sunday?
12  Rhode Island A strong RPI and the Oklahoma State win have the Rams in for now.
4  Vanderbilt First part of the "Laettner play" worked, just not the second part.
13  Minnesota The Gophers crushed Wisconsin at home; is Purdue next?
at Buffalo
3  West Virginia The Mountaineers’ schedule isn’t easy the rest of the way.
14  Oakland The streaking Grizzlies have now won 16 of 17 overall.
6  Xavier The showdown with Richmond awaits, but they can’t overlook Saint Louis.
11  Cornell A 2-0 week vs. Princeton and Penn should lock up the Ivy auto bid.
at Milwaukee
7  Missouri The Tigers have now won three straight over Texas.
10  UNLV The Rebels’ win over Colorado State snapped a three-game skid.
2  Ohio State Turner was huge in the second half against Michigan State.
15  Coastal Carolina Two wins this week locks up the 1-seed in the Big South tourney.
The last schools in: Rhode Island, Connecticut, Mississippi State, Minnesota.
Waiting to get in: Saint Mary’s, Charlotte, Dayton, San Diego State.