Predicting the NCAA tournament bracket

For the past four years, Chris Kulenych and Craig Gately of Bracketology 101 have been the most accurate bracketologists in the country. Their “projection-prediction” model is not based on the season ending today. Instead, it takes into account what teams have done so far and factors in future results as well. For more analysis of their weekly bracket and to read their daily content, please visit Bracketology 101.



Seed Team Comment
at Providence
1   Villanova The Big East POY award might be Scottie Reynolds’ to lose.
16  Robert Morris The Colonials hung with Pitt for a half.
8  Illinois Winning at Wisconsin does wonders for their résumé.
9  Florida State The ‘Noles need to win at Virginia this week.
at Spokane
5  Temple Bounced back nicely from their Richmond loss by crushing URI.
12  Mississippi State Season sweep of Mississippi will help them down the road.
4  Gonzaga Saint Mary’s was no match for the ‘Zags in Spokane.
13  Oakland The Grizzlies should finish 17-1 in the Summit.
at New Orleans
3  Wake Forest The Demon Deacons are the best team no one talks about.
14  Charleston Home loss to The Citadel certainly wasn’t expected.
6  BYU The Cougars hit the road for games at Colorado State and Wyoming.
11  Charlotte The 49ers’ effort against Dayton left a lot to be desired.
at Milwaukee
7  Missouri The Tigers need to defend their home court against Texas.
10  Florida The Gators need a 2-0 week in the worst way.
2  Purdue The win at Michigan State has the Boilers eyeing a No. 1 seed.
15  Morgan State The Bears are still perfect (10-0) in the MEAC.




Seed Team Comment
at Buffalo
1  Syracuse Hard to believe they’ve lost five straight to Louisville.
16  Belmont An auto bid would be Belmont’s fourth in five years.
8  Georgia Tech Despite a lot of big wins, a 5-6 ACC record is troubling.
9  UTEP The Miners have established themselves as C-USA’s best.
at San Jose
5  Butler A three-win week keeps the Bulldogs a top-five seed.
12  Oklahoma State Big road win over Oklahoma keeps the Cowboys in the field.
4  New Mexico The Lobos opened some eyes with a double-digit win at UNLV.
13  Mississippi Another loss this week, and the Rebels’ bubble is burst.
at Buffalo
3  Wisconsin Despite the loss to Illinois, the Badgers are a solid 3-seed.
14  Kent State The Golden Flashes are now tied with Akron atop the MAC East.
6  Tennessee The Vols still have no good SEC road wins.
11  Rhode Island Nice RPI, but not too many good wins on the Rams’ résumé.
at Oklahoma City
7  Northern Iowa The loss at Bradley doesn’t hurt their at-large chances too much.
10  Marquette Huge week ahead for the streaking Eagles (vs. Pitt, at Cincy).
2  Kansas State The Wildcats haven’t been this high all season.
15  Sam Houston The Bearkats could very well go unbeaten in the Southland.




Seed Team Comment
at Jacksonville
1  Kentucky Wall was great, but Bledsoe was the difference vs. the Vols.
16  Lehigh/
 Jackson State
Fun fact: Lehigh lost the play-in game to Florida A&M back in 2004.
8  Clemson The win over FSU may have gotten the Tigers back on track.
9  California A sweep of the Oregon schools would be huge for its at-large hopes.
at San Jose
5  Texas The Longhorns are the most schizophrenic team in the country.
12  Siena The Saints were due to lose a MAAC game at some point.
4  West Virginia A two-loss week knocks WVU down from the two line.
13  Murray State Tied with Butler at 15 for the nation’s longest active win streak.
at Spokane
3  Michigan State Lucas looked great (24 points) against Penn State.
14  Weber State The Wildcats avenged their loss to Northern Colorado.
6  Texas A&M The Aggies are the hottest Big 12 team not named Kansas.
11  Old Dominion Does anyone want to win the Colonial?
at Jacksonville
7  Richmond The streaking Spiders enter this week on top of the A-10.
10  Louisville The win at ‘Cuse cancels out the head-scratcher vs. St. John’s.
2  Duke The Blue Devils showed Maryland who the ACC’s best team is.
15  Stony Brook The Seawolves have now won seven in a row.




Seed Team Comment
at Oklahoma City
1  Kansas The clear front-runner for this year’s top overall seed.
16  Middle Tennessee State The Sun Belt is as wide open as it’s been in years.
8  UNLV A two-loss week is tough, but they have an easy slate left.
9  Maryland The Terps have a huge three-game week to handle.
at New Orleans
5  Pittsburgh Triple OT win over WVU was the game of the year so far.
12  Cornell Loss to Penn may be the most shocking result of the season.
4  Vanderbilt There’s no question who the SEC’s second-best team is now.
13  UAB The Blazers’ OOC résumé is the only thing keeping them in.
at Providence
3  Georgetown Rutgers? Really?
14  UC Santa Barbara Big West auto bid will come down to the Gauchos and Pacific.
6  Baylor Big win for the Bears at home over Missouri.
11  Utah State The Aggies could snag an at-large if the bubble stays weak.
at Milwaukee
7  Xavier Road win over Florida might have locked up their bid.
10  Virginia Tech The Hokies are on a roll; can they upset Wake at home?
2  Ohio State We love their chances at Michigan State on Saturday.
15  Coastal Carolina They still lead the Big South, but watch out for Winthrop.
The last schools in: Rhode Island, Mississippi State, Mississippi, UAB.
Waiting to get in: Dayton, Cincinnati, Northwestern, Wichita State.