Selection Sunday is less than a month away, so it’s time to play close attention to which teams are safely in the field and which ones still have some work to do. Here is the latest set of projections from our newest bracketologist, Jordan Schwartz.
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The Panthers’ 6-2 record against the RPI’s top 25 makes them the overall No. 1 seed.
Four-game winning streak puts Texas State in first place in the Southland.
The Bruins have won five consecutive games.
Minnesota finally snapped its four-game losing streak by knocking off Iowa on Sunday, but the Gophers are just 3-6 vs. the top 50.
Vandy is on a roll, scoring a pair of 81-77 home wins over Alabama and Kentucky.
Things won’t be easy for Cincy, which still has Louisville, UConn and Georgetown (twice) left on its slate.
Texas A&M ended a three-game slide by winning a pair of three-point road games over two teams in the bottom half of the conference.
The Bears get the nod over Wichita State thanks to their head-to-head win.
Next up is an important game at Syracuse on Monday night.
UAB travels to Memphis for a big showdown on Wednesday.
The Gators are a shocking 8-1 against the top 50.
The MAC leader has won six straight.
The Red Storm now has a ridiculous five RPI top-25 wins.
Despite its rough past four weeks, MSU’s strength of schedule (9), top-50 wins (3) and top-100 wins (7) give it a better resume than most bubble teams.
Duke has fewer top-50 wins than BYU and a worse top-100 record than San Diego State.
Bucknell has won eight straight at home.
The Buckeyes blew a 15-point lead with 13 minutes to play at Wisconsin.
The Racers have won eight in a row.
The Gaels host Utah State in an important Bracketbuster game on Saturday.
The Bulldogs’ next three games are against Vandy, Tennessee and Florida.
The Tigers should win their next three games.
FSU’s hopes took a major hit when leading scorer and rebounder Chris Singleton broke his right foot against Virginia.
The Cards hit 13 3-pointers against Syracuse’s zone.
The Tigers have won nine in a row.
at Washington D.C.
The Wildcats have lost their last three on the road.
Butler is trending upwards thanks to a four-game run.
The Huskies haven’t lost to a team outside the RPI’s top 25.
Don’t forget they won at Tennessee earlier this season.
Arizona may lead the Pac-10, but its marks against the RPI’s top 25 (0-2) and top 50 (1-3) don’t compare well to the teams seeded above the Wildcats.
KSU took one more step toward the bracket’s exit when it lost at Colorado.
Jimmer Fredette leads the country with 27.3 points per game.
LIU has a two-game lead in the NEC.
SAN ANTONIO REGION
The Longhorns are outscoring their opponents by an average of 16.1 points per game.
FAU’s only NCAA Tournament appearance came back in 2002.
The Patriots’ 11-game winning streak is the second longest in the country.
Washington held serve by winning a couple of home games last week against Cal and Stanford.
They lost both of their games last week, the first thanks to a miraculous last-minute comeback by Mike Rice’s improving Rutgers team, and the second to Pitt.
Valpo has won three straight to take over the Horizon League lead.
Purdue is 11-5 against the top 100.
Belmont last won the Atlantic Sun in 2008.
at Washington D.C.
They had a big week, scoring a big non-conference win at Georgia and then securing sole possession of first place in the A-10 with a victory at Duquesne.
Colorado State continued to hold its ground by beating New Mexico.
UNC may have proven more in its loss at Duke than it did in any win this season.
Vermont is eyeing back-to-back trips to the Big Dance.
The Vols have great computer numbers (RPI 25, SOS 3), are 6-4 against the top 50 and have victories over ‘Nova, Pitt and Vandy.
The Monarchs won at VCU last week.
The Irish are ahead of Duke on the S-curve thanks to a 6-1 advantage in RPI top-25 wins.
Long Beach State
Long Beach State is looking for its first tournament appearance since 2007.
NEW ORLEANS REGION
The Jayhawks are the No. 1 team in the RPI.
Fairfield hasn’t danced in 14 years.
UNLV missed a chance to lock up a bid when it fell by six points at home to San Diego State on Saturday.
When you compare the Eagles to other bubble teams, they are the only one with three RPI top-25 victories.
SU fell to G’town after Rick Jackson was neutralized by four early fouls and then it lost at L’ville despite nearly overcoming a 20-point second-half deficit.
The Aggies have just one top-100 win and that came over No. 100 Long Beach State.
Wisconsin moves up after knocking off the top-ranked Buckeyes to extend the Badgers’ home winning streak to 17.
Their 22-game win streak is tops in the country, but they have zero top-100 victories.
The Owls have won six in a row.
BC’s computer numbers (RPI 43, SOS 21) are strong enough for an at-large bid and its seven top-100 wins are more than most other bubble teams.
The Hoyas have gone from 1-4 to 9-4 in the Big East.
College of Charleston
Charleston hasn’t made the tournament since 1999.
The Illini haven’t won consecutive games since Jan. 6.
Thanks to a weak bubble and a three-game winning streak over top-85 teams, Memphis moves up to a 10 seed.
San Diego State
Less than two weeks until SDSU/BYU Part II.
Montana is looking for its second straight trip to the NCAAs.
The last schools in: Cincinnati, Florida State. VCU, Richmond
The last schools out: Cleveland State, Gonzaga, Oklahoma State, Wichita State