Falcons vs. Panthers 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 16

The Atlanta Falcons (3-6) will be trying to snap a four-game losing run against the Carolina Panthers (5-5). Despite that, the Falcons are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The game has an over/under of 42.5 points.

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Falcons vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines

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Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Falcons (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Falcons 23 - Panthers 18

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Carolina

• Game date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Falcons vs. Panthers Recent Matchups

• Carolina holds a 3-2 record against Atlanta in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Carolina has scored 113 points versus Atlanta, while giving up only 107 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta is 5-4-0 against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been favored by 3.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
• Atlanta has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 33.3% of its contests this year (three times in nine games with a set point total).
• The Falcons have put together a 1-2 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 33.3% of those games).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 68.6%.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Bijan Robinson has put up 679 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) with two touchdowns (75.4 yards per game through nine games). His 5 yards per attempt rank 10th in the league.
• He's also hauled in 43 passes (on 54 targets) for 467 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 51.9 receving yards and 4.8 catches per game.
• Michael Penix Jr. has 1,807 passing yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He has completed 58.8% of his attempts, averaging 225.9 yards per game and 7 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 61 yards (third on the Falcons) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 7.6 rushing yards per game.
• In the passing game, Drake London, has totaled 691 receiving yards (seventh in the NFL) and six touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) after grabbing 53 balls on 85 targets. Per game, he's averaging 86.4 yards and 6.6 receptions in eight games.
• Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 270 yards, averaging 30 yards per game and scoring six touchdowns.

Defense

• Over on defense, Kaden Elliss has 60 tackles, seven TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2025.
• Xavier Watts has 55 tackles and two interceptions this season. He's third on the Falcons in tackles.
• Jessie Bates III has recorded 56 tackles and two interceptions this year.
• This season, Jalon Walker has 23 tackles, four TFL, and four sacks.

Carolina Betting Info

• Carolina has gone 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
• The Panthers are 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
• This year, five Carolina games have gone over the point total.
• The Panthers have entered the game as underdogs nine times this season and won five of those games.
• The Panthers have a 35.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Panthers Stats

Carolina's Key Players

Offense

• Rico Dowdle has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has put up 788 total rushing yards (78.8 per game and 5.3 per attempt).
• Dowdle has also been a part of the passing attack with 142 yards (14.2 per game) on 18 receptions (1.8 per game), while being targeted 23 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
• Bryce Young has 1,514 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 61.7% and he averages 168.2 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.
• Young also has one rushing touchdown and 84 rushing yards (fourth on the Panthers).
• So far this season, Tetairoa McMillan has caught 46 passes for 618 receiving yards with two touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 77 total times and is averaging 4.6 receptions per game in 10 games played.
• Chuba Hubbard puts up 39.1 rushing yards per game through eight games (313 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
• Hubbard has also caught 16 passes for 119 yards (sixth on the Panthers), with two receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 23 times and averages 14.9 yards per game.

Defense

• Tre'von Moehrig has put up one sack to go with nine TFL, 62 tackles, and one interception through 10 games in 2025.
• Christian Rozeboom has 81 tackles and four TFL. He leads the Panthers in tackles.
• Trevin Wallace has recorded two sacks (fourth on the Panthers) as well as four TFL and 52 tackles in the 2025 campaign.
• Derrick Brown has 40 tackles, three TFL, three sacks, and five passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Atlanta Falcons

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