Chiefs vs. Texans 2024 Divisional Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 18

Chiefs vs. Texans 2024 Divisional Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 18

Updated Jan. 18, 2025 12:46 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5), in their AFC Playoffs matchup against the Houston Texans. The matchup has an over/under of 41.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information updated as of January 18, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Chiefs -9.5 -109 -122 41.5 -108 -112

Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Texans (+9.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (41.5)
  • Prediction: Chiefs 26 - Texans 17

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston

  • Game Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • TV: ABC/ESPN
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups

  • Kansas City holds a 4-1 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has put up 174 points, while Houston has accumulated 139.

Kansas City Betting Info

  • Against the spread, Kansas City is 7-10-0 this year.
  • The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Kansas City games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under seven times in 17 opportunities (41.2%).
  • The Chiefs were listed as the moneyline favorite 14 times this season, and won all of those games.
  • The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chiefs an 82.4% chance to win.

Chiefs Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 222.4 (3,780) 14
Rush yards 105.3 (1,790) 22
Points scored 22.6 (385) 15
Pass yards against 218.8 (3,720) 18
Rush yards against 101.8 (1,731) 8
Points allowed 19.2 (326) 4

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

  • Patrick Mahomes has 3,928 passing yards (seventh in the NFL), 26 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 67.5% of his passes, averaging 245.5 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing statistics, Mahomes also has 307 rushing yards (third on the Chiefs), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Kareem Hunt averages 3.6 yards per carry (43rd in the NFL) and 56 yards per game, and has 728 total rushing yards. He has recorded seven rushing TDs this season.
  • Hunt's 32 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 23 catches (1.8 per game) for 176 yards (13.5 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • In the passing attack, Xavier Worthy, has racked up 638 receiving yards and six touchdowns after catching 59 balls on 98 targets. Per game, he's averaging 39.9 yards and 3.7 receptions over 16 games.
  • Travis Kelce has racked up 823 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 97 catches on 133 targets. He is averaging 6.1 receptions and 51.4 yards per game.

Defense

  • Over on the defensive side, Nick Bolton has one interception to go with 106 tackles, 11 TFL, three sacks, and six passes defended in 2024.
  • Drue Tranquill has 94 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this season.
  • Justin Reid has put up 85 tackles, five TFL, and two interceptions this year.
  • This season, Chamarri Conner has 70 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions.

Houston Betting Info

  • Houston's record against the spread in the regular season was 7-9-1. It has an ATS record of 1-0-0 in the playoffs.
  • Houston had six of its 17 games hit the over during the regular season. It has topped the over in one of one playoff games.
  • The Texans won one of the six games in which they were underdogs during the regular season, and are 1-0 in the postseason.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 21.7% chance of a victory for the Texans.

Texans Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 207.4 (3,526) 21
Rush yards 112.3 (1,909) 15
Points scored 21.9 (372) 19
Pass yards against 201 (3,417) 6
Rush yards against 114 (1,938) 11
Points allowed 21.9 (372) 14

Houston's Key Players

Offense

  • C.J. Stroud is averaging 7 passing yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 219.2 yards per game this year, completing 63.2% of his passes on the way to 3,727 total yards, 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions through 17 games.
  • He's added 233 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 13.7 yards per game and 4.5 per attempt.
  • Joe Mixon has scored 11 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,016 rushing yards (4.1 per attempt and 72.6 per game).
  • Mixon has added 36 receptions (2.6 per game) for 309 yards (22.1 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 52 times in the passing game.
  • This season, Nico Collins has caught 68 passes for 1,006 receiving yards with seven touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 99 total times and is averaging 5.7 receptions per game through 12 games played.
  • Dalton Schultz has 532 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 53 receptions after receiving 85 targets.

Defense

  • In 2024, Danielle Hunter has put up 12 sacks to go with 17 TFL and 46 tackles through 16 games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
  • Will Anderson Jr.'s stat sheet includes 37 tackles, 16 TFL, 11 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • In the 2024 campaign, Henry To'o To'o has 103 tackles, seven TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in 15 games.
  • Azeez Al-Shaair has put up two sacks to go with seven TFL and 70 tackles through 11 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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