Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 4

The New Orleans Pelicans (3-19) will be trying to break a four-game losing streak when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (13-8) on December 4, 2025 at Smoothie King Center. Thursday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Pelicans features the Timberwolves as double-digit 12-point favorites. The matchup's over/under is 233.5.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Pelicans game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana
• TV: FDSN, Gulf Coast Sports, and Pelicans+
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Prediction

ATS Pick: Pelicans (+ 12)
O/U Pick: Over (233.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 122 - Pelicans 114

Timberwolves vs. Pelicans Betting Insights

• Of 21 games so far this season, the Timberwolves have had 11 with more than 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total.
• The Pelicans have played in 12 games this year (54.5% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 233.5 points.
• These teams average a combined 233.2 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than the over/under of 233.5 set for this matchup.
• The Timberwolves and the Pelicans have seen their opponents average a combined 5.2 more points per game than the over/under of 233.5 set for this outing.
• Minnesota has come away with 13 wins in the 17 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• New Orleans has come away with two wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• After the last one head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has a 1-0 record against New Orleans.
• The Pelicans have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when hitting the court against the Timberwolves.
• In their past three contests the Pelicans have beaten the spread, and they were the favorite in zero of them.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 233.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 0.1 greater than this matchup's total of 233.5.
• The Timberwolves have eight wins against the spread in 21 games this season.
• This season, Minnesota has just two ATS wins in five games as a favorite of 12 points or more.
• The Timberwolves have hit the over in 50% of their opportunities this year (11 times over 22 games with a set point total).
• The 120.6 points per game the Timberwolves put up are just 2.7 fewer points than the Pelicans allow (123.3).
• Minnesota is 5-1 against the spread and 6-0 overall when scoring more than 123.3 points.
• The Timberwolves make 48.7% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.2 percentage points lower than the Pelicans have allowed to their opponents (49.9%).
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have played better at home, covering four times in 10 home games, and four times in 11 road games.
• Looking at over/unders, Minnesota hits the over less consistently when playing at home, as it has gone over the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, it has hit the over six times in 11 opportunities (54.5%).
• The Timberwolves have performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, putting up a home record of 7-1, compared to going 6-3 in away games.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 6.0 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Anthony Edwards posts 29.8 points, 4.5 boards and 3.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert averages 11.1 points, 10.2 boards and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.4 steals and 1.6 blocks (eighth in league).
• Jaden McDaniels averages 15.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 52.8% from the floor and 47.8% from beyond the arc (fourth in league) with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game.
• Donte DiVincenzo puts up 14.0 points, 4.0 boards and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 42.1% from the floor and 39.2% from downtown with 3.2 made 3-pointers per contest.

Timberwolves Player Props

Pelicans Recent Trends

• The Pelicans have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 1-9 overall in their last 10 games.
• New Orleans' average total over the last 10 games is 2.0 points fewer than the 233.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Pelicans are 13-9-0 this year.
• New Orleans has an against the spread record of 3-1 in its four games when underdogs by 12 points or more this year.
• The Pelicans have hit the over 59.1% of the time this year (13 of 22 games with a set point total).
• The Pelicans put up an average of 112.6 points per game, only 2.8 fewer points than the 115.4 the Timberwolves give up.
• New Orleans has put together a 9-2 ATS record and a 2-9 overall record in games it scores more than 115.4 points.
• The Pelicans' 45.3% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Timberwolves have allowed to their opponents.
• This season, the Pelicans are 7-5-0 at home against the spread (.583 winning percentage). Away, they are 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
• Looking at the over/under, New Orleans' games have finished over eight of 12 times at home (66.7%), and five of 10 on the road (50%).

Pelicans Recent Stats

Pelicans Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Trey Murphy III gets the Pelicans 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists. He also averages 1.7 steals (fifth in NBA) and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Derik Queen is averaging 12.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He's making 48.3% of his shots from the field.
• The Pelicans are receiving 15.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Jeremiah Fears this season.
• Saddiq Bey gets the Pelicans 13.7 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest while posting 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Jose Alvarado is putting up 8.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. He is draining 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 37.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per game.

Pelicans Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.