Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 28

Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 28

Updated Nov. 28, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Oklahoma City Thunder (18-1) welcome in the Phoenix Suns (12-7) after winning nine home games in a row. Friday's matchup between the Thunder and the Suns features the Thunder as sizable 14.5-point favorites. The over/under for the matchup is set at 223.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Thunder-Suns game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Thunder vs. Suns Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: FDSOK, AZFamily, and Suns+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Thunder vs Suns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Thunder -14.5 -114 -106 223.5 -110 -110 -952 +640

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Thunder vs. Suns Prediction

ATS Pick: Suns (+ 14.5)
O/U Pick: Over (223.5)
Score Prediction: Thunder 120 - Suns 109

Thunder vs. Suns Betting Insights

  • Thunder games have finished over 223.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 10 times (out of 19) this year.
  • The Suns have played in 12 games this season (63.2% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 223.5 points.
  • These teams average 238.9 points per game combined, 15.4 more than the total of 223.5.
  • Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 218.2 points per game, 5.3 fewer than the point total for this game.
  • Oklahoma City has come away with 18 wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
  • Phoenix has been chosen as underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win four times (40%) in those games.
  • Oklahoma City has a 3-0 record in the last three head-to-head games against Phoenix.
  • The Thunder also have a 3-0 record against the spread when facing the Suns.

Thunder Recent Trends

  • The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread and 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Oklahoma City's average total over the last 10 games is 6.1 points more than the 223.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • The Thunder have played 19 games, with 10 wins against the spread.
  • Oklahoma City has an against the spread record of 3-3 in its six games when favored by 14.5 points or more so far this season.
  • Thunder games this year have gone over the total in nine out of 19 opportunities (47.4%).
  • The Thunder put up 122.1 points per game, 9.5 more points than the 112.6 the Suns allow.
  • Oklahoma City has a 10-6 record against the spread and a 15-1 record overall when scoring more than 112.6 points.
  • The Thunder are shooting 48.7% from the field this season, 2.3 percentage points higher than the 46.4% the Suns allow to opponents.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered five times in nine opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 10 opportunities in road games.
  • Oklahoma City has gone over the total in four of nine home games (44.4%). It has fared better in road games, eclipsing the total in five of 10 matchups (50%).
  • The Thunder have played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 9-0, compared to going 9-1 on the road.

Thunder Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 122.1 3
Points Allowed 105.6 1
Rebounds 45.2 12
Assists 26.1 15
Steals 10.7 2
Blocks 5.5 7

Thunder Leaders

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.6 points, 4.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Ajay Mitchell puts up 15.9 points, 3.8 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game.
  • Chet Holmgren posts 17.9 points, 7.9 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 54.7% from the field and 34.9% from beyond the arc with 1.5 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Cason Wallace averages 8.7 points, 2.4 assists and 2.8 rebounds.
  • Jaylin Williams averages 5.6 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 35.2% from the field and 31.2% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest.

Thunder Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30.5 -120 32.6
Chet Holmgren 17.5 -102 17.9
Jalen Williams 14.5 -112
Ajay Mitchell 11.5 -120 15.9
Isaiah Hartenstein 9.5 -122 12.2

Suns Recent Trends

  • The Suns have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread in that span.
  • Phoenix's average total over the last 10 games is 6.6 points greater than the 223.5 total listed for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Suns are 12-5-2 this season.
  • Suns games this year have hit the over 42.1% of the time (eight out of 19 games with a set point total).
  • The Suns put up 11.2 more points per game (116.8) than the Thunder give up (105.6).
  • Phoenix is 12-3-2 against the spread and 12-5 overall when it scores more than 105.6 points.
  • The Suns' 46.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 4.7 percentage points higher than the Thunder have allowed to their opponents (42.2%).
  • The Suns have performed better against the spread at home (8-2-1) than on the road (4-3-1) this season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Phoenix's games have gone over less frequently at home (three of 11, 27.3%) than away (five of eight, 62.5%).
  • When moneyline favorites, the Suns have won a lower percentage of games at home (6-1) than away (2-0).

Suns Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.8 18
Points Allowed 112.6 6
Rebounds 43.6 19
Assists 25.9 18
Steals 10.8 1
Blocks 4.5 17

Suns Leaders

  • On a per-game basis, Devin Booker gives the Suns 26 points, 4.3 rebounds and 6.9 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • On a per-game basis, Collin Gillespie gives the Suns 12.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.2 assists. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • Mark Williams gives the Suns 12.9 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game while putting up 1.4 steals and 0.9 blocked shots.
  • Royce O'Neale is averaging 11.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. He is draining 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 43.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.2 triples per contest (ninth in NBA).
  • The Suns are getting 21.3 points, 3.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Dillon Brooks this season.

Suns Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Devin Booker 24.5 -112 26
Dillon Brooks 17.5 -114 21.3
Grayson Allen 13.5 -106 18.5
Collin Gillespie 12.5 -125 12.1
Mark Williams 11.5 -102 12.9

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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