Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 15

A pair of sputtering teams meet when the Miami Heat (14-11) host the Toronto Raptors (15-11) on December 15, 2025. The Heat will aim to break a four-game losing run versus the Raptors, losers of four in a row. The Heat play the Raptors in a game that Miami is currently a favorite by 6 points. The matchup's over/under is 234.5.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Raptors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Raptors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Monday, December 15, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and TSN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Raptors Prediction

ATS Pick: Raptors (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Over (234.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Raptors 115

Heat vs. Raptors Betting Insights

• The Heat and their opponent have combined to score over 234.5 points, the current matchup's point total, in 14 of 25 games this season.
• The Raptors have played in 10 games this season (38.5% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 234.5 points.
• The two teams average a combined three more points per game, 237.5, than this matchup's over/under of 234.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 232.1 points per game, 2.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
• Miami has come away with seven wins in the 11 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Toronto has come away with four wins in the 10 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Miami has a 3-1 record in the last four head-to-head games against Toronto.
• The Heat also hold a 2-1-1 edge against the spread when squaring off against the Raptors.
• Versus the point spread, the Raptors have failed to cover in eight straight games, and were favored in five of them.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 5.7 points more than the 234.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• In the Heat's 25 games this season, they have 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, Miami has an ATS record of 3-3 in its six games as a favorite of 6 points or more.
• Heat games this year have hit the over on 13 of 26 set point totals.
• The 121.7 points per game the Heat score are 7.8 more points than the Raptors allow (113.9).
• Miami is 12-4 against the spread and 11-5 overall when scoring more than 113.9 points.
• The Heat are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Raptors allow to opponents.
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread at home (8-5-0) than they have in road games (6-5-1).
• Miami has eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of games at home (46.2%) than road games (58.3%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have won seven of 10 games when playing at home, good for a .700 winning percentage. They have won zero of one game on the road (.000) as a moneyline favorite.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.6 points, 5.8 boards and 5 assists per game, shooting 51.2% from the floor.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.3 points, 10.1 boards and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 53.7% from the field and 42.1% from beyond the arc with 1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Bam Adebayo puts up 19.2 points, 8.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocks.
• Norman Powell averages 24.6 points, 3.8 boards and 2.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 16.9 points, 2.9 assists and 4.9 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Raptors Recent Trends

• The Raptors have covered the spread once, and are 4-6 overall, over their past 10 contests.
• Toronto and its opponents have combined to score an average of 229.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.8 less than the 234.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Raptors have played 26 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
• This year, Toronto has one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
• The Raptors have eclipsed the over/under 42.3% of the time this season (11 of 26 games with a set point total).
• The Raptors put up only 2.4 fewer points per game (115.8) than the Heat give up to opponents (118.2).
• Toronto is 7-6 against the spread and 9-4 overall when it scores more than 118.2 points.
• The Raptors have shot at a 48.4% clip from the field this season, 3.8 percentage points above the 44.6% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• The Raptors have performed better against the spread on the road (7-5-0) than at home (4-10-0) this season.
• Toronto's games have gone above the over/under more often at home (six times out of 14) than on the road (five of 12) this year.
• This season the Raptors are 8-3 at home as moneyline favorites (.727 winning percentage). On the road they are 3-2 (.600).

Raptors Recent Stats

Raptors Leaders

• Scottie Barnes delivers 19.7 points, 7.8 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game for the Raptors.
• The Raptors are getting 21.5 points, 5.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per game from Brandon Ingram this year.
• The Raptors are getting 16.5 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game from Immanuel Quickley this year.
• The Raptors are receiving 9.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Sandro Mamukelashvili this season.
• Jakob Poeltl is putting up 10.2 points, 8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He is draining 69.2% of his shots from the floor.

Raptors Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.