Heat vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov. 29

The Miami Heat (13-6) welcome in the Detroit Pistons (15-4) after winning four home games in a row. The Heat are currently 5-point favorites over the Pistons. A 237.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Pistons game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Pistons Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSDETX
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Pistons Prediction

ATS Pick: Pistons (+ 5)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Pistons 116

Heat vs. Pistons Betting Insights

• The Heat have played 11 games with more than 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• The Pistons games have gone over 237.5 total points scored in five of 19 total matchups this year.
• The two teams average a combined 4.2 more points per game (241.7) than this game's total of 237.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 230 points per game, 7.5 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.
• Miami has been chosen as the favorite in seven games this year and has walked away with the win six times (85.7%) in those games.
• Detroit has won in four of the five contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
• In the last four head-to-head matchups, Detroit has a 3-1 record against Miami.
• The Pistons also have a 3-1 record against the spread when taking on the Heat.
• The Pistons have been the favorite in each of their past three contests, and came up short against the spread in all three.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Miami has averaged a total of 241.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.0 greater than this matchup's total of 237.5.
• The Heat have played 19 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• Miami has an against the spread record of 3-3 in its six games when favored by 5 points or more so far this season.
• Heat games this year have hit the over 57.9% of the time (11 out of 19 games with a set point total).
• The 122.9 points per game the Heat score are 10.1 more points than the Pistons give up (112.8).
• When Miami totals more than 112.8 points, it is 11-3 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
• The Heat are shooting 47.9% from the field this season, 3.6 percentage points higher than the 44.3% the Pistons allow to opponents.
• The Heat have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered seven times in 10 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in nine opportunities in away games.
• Miami has gone over the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in four of 10 home matchups (40%). In away games, it has hit the over in seven of nine games (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. puts up 16.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Kel'el Ware puts up 12.4 points, 10.9 boards and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 52.9% from the field and 41.7% from downtown with 1.1 made treys per contest.
• Norman Powell posts 24.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Davion Mitchell averages 9.8 points, 7.4 assists and 2.9 rebounds.
• Andrew Wiggins posts 16.4 points, 4.8 boards and 2.8 assists per contest, shooting 47.5% from the field and 35.0% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest.

Heat Player Props

Pistons Recent Trends

• The Pistons have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Detroit and its opponents have combined to score an average of 231.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 6.1 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Pistons have played 19 games, with 12 wins against the spread.
• Detroit covered the spread in its only game when underdogs by 5 points or more.
• The Pistons have hit the over 52.6% of the time this year (10 of 19 games with a set point total).
• The Pistons' 118.8 points per game are just 1.6 more points than the 117.2 the Heat allow.
• When it scores more than 117.2 points, Detroit is 8-2 against the spread and 10-0 overall.
• The Pistons are shooting 48.2% from the field, 5.1% higher than the 43.1% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Pistons are 7-3-0 at home against the spread (.700 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-4-0 ATS (.556).
• Looking at the over/under, Detroit's games have gone over more often at home (six of 10, 60%) than on the road (four of nine, 44.4%).
• The Pistons' winning percentage at home as moneyline favorites is .833 (5-1), and on the road it is .750 (6-2).

Pistons Recent Stats

Pistons Leaders

• Cade Cunningham provides 28.8 points, 6.6 rebounds and 9.4 assists per game for the Pistons.
• Jalen Duren is putting up 19.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest. He's sinking 65.4% of his shots from the floor (fourth in NBA).
• Ausar Thompson is putting up 12.0 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He is making 50.0% of his shots from the field.
• The Pistons are receiving 12.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Duncan Robinson this year.
• Isaiah Stewart is putting up 10.2 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He is draining 51.3% of his shots from the field and 41.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per game.

Pistons Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.