Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

Ben Rice and the New York Yankees will square off against Maikel Garcia and the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium in the final of a three-game series, on Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Royals have been listed as +130 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Yankees (-155). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +124 odds). The total for the contest is listed at 8 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, April 16, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to watch on TV: Amazon Prime Video and FDSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -155 +130 8 -101 -118 -1.5 +124 -150

Yankees vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Royals 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 71%, Royals 29%

Yankees vs. Royals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 10 out of the 15 games, or 66.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season New York has won four of its six games when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 60.8% chance to win.
  • The Royals have been victorious in two of the nine contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Kansas City has played as an underdog of +130 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees have a 5-4 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
  • The Yankees have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 4.11
K/9 11.1

Yankees Player Insights

  • Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (six), runs batted in (20) and has put up a team-high batting average of .381.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Judge's home run total ranks him second, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
  • Judge carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .467 with a double and five walks.
  • Rice is batting .273 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.
  • Rice ranks 12th in homers and 114th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Anthony Volpe is batting .217 with three doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
  • Trent Grisham has a double, four home runs and four walks while hitting .343.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+185)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+125)
Trent Grisham 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) - 0.5 (+255)
Oswald Peraza 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+270)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+190)

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
  • The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.3
HR 5
ERA 2.93
K/9 9.3

Royals Player Insights

  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with two home runs and has a team-best batting average of .313.
  • Witt is 91st in homers and 84th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Witt carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .382 with five doubles, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
  • Garcia has put his power on display as he paces his team with two home runs.
  • Garcia is currently 91st in home runs and 69th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has been a significant run producer for the Royals with two home runs and 11 runs batted in.
  • Jonathan India is batting .196 with three doubles and 10 walks.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+170)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+175)
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+180)
Tyler Tolbert 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-115) - 0.5 (+340)
MJ Melendez 0.5 (+115) 0.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+265)

Yankees' Jazz Chisholm smokes a solo home run vs. Royals

Jazz Chisholm smoked a solo home run that brought the New York Yankees even with the Kansas City Royals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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