Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 6

Updated Aug. 6, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres will look to knock off Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET at PETCO Park. The Dodgers are listed as -116 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Padres (-103). Los Angeles is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set in this game.

The Dodgers will start Lance Lynn (7-9) versus the Padres and Rich Hill (7-10).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Dodgers-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Dodgers -116 -103 9.5 -103 -117 -1.5 +139 -165

Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 6, Dodgers 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Dodgers 52%, Padres 48%

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 53, or 58.9%, of the 90 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 51-35 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 53.7%.
  • The Padres have won in 10, or 37%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious six times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Dodgers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Dodgers have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Dodgers and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.
  • The Dodgers' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Dodgers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 12
ERA 4.60
K/9 8.8

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Dodgers Player Insights

  • Freeman has put up a team-high batting average of .339 and leads the Dodgers in runs batted in (77).
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Freeman is 20th in home runs and seventh in RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has shown off his power as he paces his team with 29 home runs.
  • Betts is fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Betts has 12 games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .359 with five doubles, two home runs, six walks and three RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .276 with 17 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 51 walks.
  • Smith will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
  • Max Muncy is batting .193 with eight doubles, 27 home runs and 61 walks.

Dodgers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kiké Hernández 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Amed Rosario 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+140)
Will Smith 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+140)
Freddie Freeman 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+125)

Learn more about this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
  • The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Padres have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 16
ERA 2.79
K/9 10.8

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto paces the Padres in home runs (24) and runs batted in (72).
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto ranks 16th in homers and 12th in RBI.
  • Soto has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .432 with a double, five home runs, five walks and 12 RBI.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .264 with 24 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Tatis is 34th in home runs and 54th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has put up a team-best batting average of .286.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, 21 home runs and 33 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+170)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+215)
Gary Sánchez 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+225)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)

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