Braves vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 23

Chris Sale and the Atlanta Braves will hit the field against the San Diego Padres and starting pitcher Nick Pivetta on Friday at Truist Park. The Braves are -185 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Padres (+154). Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for the matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals.

Braves vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, May 23, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSO, and SDPA

Braves vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 53%, Padres 47%

Braves vs. Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 20 out of the 37 games, or 54.1%, in which they've been favored.
• Atlanta is 9-4 this season when entering a game favored by -185 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Padres have been victorious in 10, or 50%, of the 20 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Diego has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +154.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 39.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves went 4-4 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson's 11 home runs in 2025 are the most on the Braves. He's also driven in 28 runs while hitting .250.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Olson ranks 18th in homers and 42nd in RBI.
• Olson carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .524 with three doubles, four home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.
• Marcell Ozuna's .278 batting average paces his team.
• Ozuna is 35th in homers and 77th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Ozuna has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .389 with three home runs, five walks and six RBIs.
• Ozzie Albies has six doubles, five home runs and 16 walks while hitting .226.
• Albies will look to build on his eight-game hitting in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .256 with two doubles, three walks and two RBIs.
• Austin Riley is batting .276 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 13 walks.

Braves Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs just once and lost that contest.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• The Padres have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has launched a team-best 12 home runs.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Tatis is ninth in home runs and 49th in RBI.
• Manny Machado's .305 batting average paces his team.
• Machado ranks 180th in homers and 109th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Luis Arraez is batting .304 with eight doubles, three triples, three home runs and nine walks.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .241 with nine doubles, three home runs and 22 walks.

Padres Team Props

Braves vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Washington Nationals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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