Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 1, 2025

Updated Nov. 1, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) are 8.5-point favorites when they host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-4) in a CUSA matchup on Saturday, November 1, 2025 at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. The game has a 53.5-point over/under.

The Hilltoppers won versus the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs in their most recent game, 28-27. Last time around, the Aggies fell to the Missouri State Bears, with 24-17 being the final score.

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Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, Kentucky
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Betting Information updated as of November 1, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Western Kentucky	-8.5 (-111)	-318	+254	53.5	-112	-109

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Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico State (+8.5)
Pick OU: Under (53.5)
Prediction: Western Kentucky 28, New Mexico State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. the New Mexico State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Hilltoppers 31, Aggies 22.
The Hilltoppers have a 76.1% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies hold a 28.2% implied probability.
Western Kentucky has put together a 6-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
New Mexico State has put together a 3-4-0 record against the spread this year.

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: Head-to-Head

In their past two matchups, New Mexico State holds a split 1-1 record against Western Kentucky.
The last two times the Aggies have matched up against the Hilltoppers, they have put up a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring went over the point total both times.
Over their last two head-to-head contests, Western Kentucky has put up 70 points, while New Mexico State has compiled 66.

Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Western Kentucky	New Mexico State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.5 (56)	22.1 (121)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.6 (63)	24 (44)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	11 (89)	13 (113)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (73)	15 (13)

Western Kentucky 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Maverick McIvor	QB	1,863 YDS (67.3%) / 12 TD / 5 INT 28 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 4 RUSH YPG
Matthew Henry	WR	28 REC / 487 YDS / 3 TD / 60.9 YPG
KD Hutchinson	WR	36 REC / 407 YDS / 3 TD / 50.9 YPG
La'Vell Wright	RB	199 YDS / 5 TD / 24.9 YPG / 4.5 YPC 8 REC / 78 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.1 REC YPG
Jaylen Lewis	DB	25 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jaylen Wester	LB	43 TKL / 1 TFL
Harper Holloman	DL	20 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Dave Herard	DB	26 TKL / 0 TFL

New Mexico State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Logan Fife	QB	1,719 YDS (57.6%) / 9 TD / 8 INT 21 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 3 RUSH YPG
Donovan Faupel	WR	36 REC / 447 YDS / 3 TD / 63.9 YPG
Kadarius Calloway	RB	292 YDS / 3 TD / 41.7 YPG / 3.9 YPC 13 REC / 82 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.7 REC YPG
Gavin Harris	TE	24 REC / 352 YDS / 1 TD / 50.3 YPG
Ezra Christensen	DL	24 TKL / 6 TFL / 5 SACK
Jamall Thompson	DL	27 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT
Naeten Mitchell	DB	35 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Tory Gethers	LB	37 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK