UCF vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:05 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The UCF Knights (3-1) host the Baylor Bears (1-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023 in a matchup between Big 12 rivals at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Baylor is a 12.5-point underdog. The contest has an over/under of 55.5 points.

The Knights' last game was against the Kansas State Wildcats, and they lost by a score of 44-31. The Bears' last contest was versus the Texas Longhorns, and they lost by a score of 38-6.

UCF vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, Florida
TV: Fox Sports 1
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

UCF vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 8:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
UCF	-12.5 (-109)	-447	+341	55.5	-110	-110

UCF vs. Baylor Prediction

Pick ATS: Baylor (+12.5)
Pick OU: Under (55.5)
Prediction: UCF 30, Baylor 24

Learn more about the UCF Knights vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

UCF vs. Baylor Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Knights 34, Bears 22.
The Knights have an 81.7% chance to collect the win in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 22.7% implied probability.
UCF has covered twice in four matchups with a spread this season.
Baylor has not won against the spread this year in three games with a spread.

UCF vs. Baylor: 2023 Stats Comparison

	UCF	Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	38.3 (24)	20.0 (115)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.0 (46)	26.8 (81)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (88)	6 (69)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	4 (97)	5 (74)

UCF 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
RJ Harvey	RB	283 YDS / 5 TD / 70.8 YPG / 5.4 YPC 7 REC / 156 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 39.0 REC YPG
Kobe Hudson	WR	20 REC / 463 YDS / 2 TD / 115.8 YPG
Timmy McClain	QB	638 YDS (64.9%) / 5 TD / 1 INT 80 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 20.0 RUSH YPG
John Rhys Plumlee	QB	553 YDS (70.4%) / 3 TD / 4 INT 163 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 40.8 RUSH YPG
Tre'mon Morris-Brash	DE	12 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Lee Hunter	DT	24 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Jason Johnson	LB	20 TKL / 1.0 TFL
Corey Thornton	DB	11 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Baylor 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drake Dabney	TE	10 REC / 147 YDS / 3 TD / 36.8 YPG
Sawyer Robertson	QB	647 YDS (49.5%) / 1 TD / 4 INT 33 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 8.3 RUSH YPG
Richard Reese	RB	125 YDS / 2 TD / 31.3 YPG / 4.3 YPC
Blake Shapen	QB	303 YDS (67.7%) / 2 TD / 0 INT -2 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -0.5 RUSH YPG
Matt Jones	LB	24 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Mike Smith Jr.	LB	18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
TJ Franklin	DL	10 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Byron Vaughns	OLB	7 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK