WhatIfSports 2014 NFL Locks and Upset Picks

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com provides NFL predictions for the upcoming week, including straight up and against the spread, using its NFL simulation engine. We break down our performance from previous weeks and offer Upset and Lock picks for the current week.

Super Bowl XLIX

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 0-1 (0.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 0-1 (0.0%) 

Super Bowl XLIX: Patriots 22 vs. Seahawks 24 – 53.3 win% (incorrect, Patriots won 28-24) 

Link to Super Bowl Picks 

NFL Conference

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 2-0 (100.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 1-1 (50.0%) 

AFC Conference Championship: Colts 22 @ Patriots 26 – 60.1 win% (correct, Patriots won 45-7) 

NFC Conference Championship: Packers 22 @ Seahawks 24 – 54.5 win% (correct, Seahawks won 28-22) 

Link to NFL Conference Championship Picks 

NFL Divisional

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 3-1 (75.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 3-1 (75.0%) 

AFC Divisional: Ravens 20 @ Patriots 24 – 64.4 win% (correct, Patriots won 35-31) 

AFC Divisional: Colts 25 @ Broncos 28 – 57.9 win% (incorrect, Colts won 24-13) 

NFC Divisional: Panthers 18 @ Seahawks 26 – 74.3 win% (correct, Seahawks won 31-17) 

NFC Divisional: Cowboys 24 @ Packers 26 – 55.8 win% (correct, Packers won 26-21) 

Link to NFL Divisional Picks 

NFL Wild Card

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 3-1 (75.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 2-2 (50.0%) 

AFC Wild Card: Ravens 24 @ Steelers 23 – 51.9 win% (correct, Ravens won 30-17) 

AFC Wild Card: Bengals 23 @ Colts 24 – 56.2 win% (correct, Colts won 26-10) 

NFC Wild Card: Cardinals 22 @ Panthers 20 – 55.9 win% (incorrect, Panthers won 27-16) 

NFC Wild Card: Lions 23 @ Cowboys 24 – 51.2 win% (correct, Cowboys won 24-20) 

Link to NFL Wild Card Picks 

NFL Week 17

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 12-4 (75.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 7-6 (53.8%) 

Game of the Week: Lions 21 @ Packers 24 – 55.4 win% (correct, Packers won 30-20) 

Lock of the Week: Broncos over Raiders – 85.6 win% SU (correct, Broncos won 47-14) 

Upset of the Week: Eagles (+3.0) cover against Giants (correct, Eagles won 34-26) 

Link to Week 17 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 16

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 9-7 (56.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 7-6 (53.8%) 

Game of the Week: Seahawks 23 @ Cardinals 18 – 65.0 win% (correct, Seahawks won 35-6) 

Lock of the Week: Packers over Buccaneers – 87.8 win% SU (correct, Packers won 20-3) 

Upset of the Week: Colts (+3.0) cover against Cowboys (incorrect, Cowboys won 42-7) 

Link to Week 16 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 15

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 14-2 (87.5%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 7-4 (63.6%) 

Game of the Week: Bengals 23 @ Browns 22 – 50.8 win% (correct, Bengals won 30-0) 

Lock of the Week: Ravens over Jaguars – 77.4 win% SU (correct, Ravens won 20-12) 

Upset of the Week: Cardinals (+3.5) cover against Rams (correct, Cardinals won 12-6) 

Link to Week 15 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 14

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 12-4 (74.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 7-1 (87.5%) 

Game of the Week: Seahawks 23 @ Eagles 24 – 53.3 win% (incorrect, Seahawks won 24-14) 

Lock of the Week: Lions over Buccaneers – 80.8 win% SU (correct, Lions won 34-17) 

Upset of the Week: Ravens (+3) cover against Dolphins (correct, Ravens won 28-13) 

Link to Week 14 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 13

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 11-5 (68.8%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 3-6 (33.3%) 

Game of the Week: Patriots 24 @ Packers 23 – 51.4 win% (incorrect, Packers won 26-21) 

Lock of the Week: Bengals over Buccaneers – 80.5 win% SU (correct, Bengals won 14-13) 

Upset of the Week: Eagles (+3) cover against Cowboys (correct, Eagles won 33-10) 

Link to Week 13 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 12

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 11-4 (73.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 5-5 (50%) 

Game of the Week: Cardinals 23 @ Seahawks 19 – 59.8 win% (incorrect, Seahawks won 19-3) 

Lock of the Week: Chiefs over Raiders – 84.5 win% SU (incorrect, Raiders won 24-20) 

Upset of the Week: Browns (+3) cover against Falcons (correct, Browns won 26-24) 

Link to Week 12 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 11

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 7-7 (50.0%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 3-8 (27.3%) 

Game of the Week: Patriots 24 @ Colts 21 – 56.9 win% (correct, Patriots won 42-20) 

Lock of the Week: Broncos over Rams – 82.1 win% SU (incorrect, Rams won 22-7) 

Upset of the Week: Lions (+2) cover against Cardinals (incorrect, Cardinals won 14-6) 

Link to Week 11 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 10

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 8-5 (61.5%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 3-7 (30.0%) 

Game of the Week: Chiefs 19 @ Bills 23 – 60.2 win% (incorrect, Chiefs won 17-13) 

Lock of the Week: Broncos over Raiders – 88.7 win% SU (correct, Broncos won 41-17) 

Upset of the Week: Bills (+1.5) cover against Chiefs (incorrect, Chiefs won 17-13) 

Link to Week 10 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 9

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 9-4 (69.2%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 5-3 (62.5%) 

Game of the Week: Broncos 26 @ Patriots 21 – 63.3 win% (incorrect, Patriots won 43-21) 

Lock of the Week: Seahawks over Raiders – 81.2 win% SU (correct, Seahawks won 30-24) 

Upset of the Week: Chargers (+1.5) cover against Dolphins (incorrect, Dolphins won 37-0) 

Link to Week 9 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 8

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 11-4 (73.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 3-7 (30.0%) 

Game of the Week: Eagles 21 @ Cardinals 22 – 50.9 win% (correct, Cardinals won 24-20) 

Lock of the Week: Browns over Raiders – 76.5 win% SU (correct, Browns won 23-13) 

Upset of the Week: Packers (+2.0) cover against Saints (incorrect, Saints won 44-23) 

Link to Week 8 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 7

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 10-5 (66.7%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 4-6 (40%) 

Game of the Week: 49ers 22 @ Broncos 25 – 56.6 win% (correct, Broncos won 42-17) 

Lock of the Week: Seahawks over Rams – 75.1 win% SU (incorrect, Rams won 28-26) 

Upset of the Week: Texans (+3.5) cover against Steelers (incorrect, Steelers won 30-23) 

Link to Week 7 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 6

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 12.5-2.5 (83.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 8-2 (80.0%) 

Game of the Week: Panthers 20 @ Bengals 21 – 52.9 win% (tie, Panthers 37 @ Bengals 37) 

Lock of the Week: 49ers over Rams – 82.5 win% SU (correct, 49ers won 31-17) 

Upset of the Week: Bears (+3.5) cover against Falcons (correct, Bears won 27-13) 

Link to Week 6 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 5

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 11-4 (73.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 6-7 (46.2%) 

Game of the Week: Cardinals 24 @ Broncos 25 – 51.1 win% (correct, Broncos won 41-20) 

Lock of the Week: Seahawks over Redskins – 80.1 win% SU (correct, Seahawks won 27-17) 

Upset of the Week: Falcons (+4.5) cover against Giants (incorrect, Giants won 30-20) 

Link to Week 5 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 4

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 7-6 (53.8%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 4-5 (44.4%) 

Game of the Week: Packers 25 @ Bears 24 – 50.8 win% (correct, Packers won 38-17) 

Lock of the Week: Chargers over Jaguars – 86.4 win% SU (correct, Chargers won 33-14) 

Upset of the Week: Eagles (+5.5) cover against 49ers (correct, 49ers won 26-21) 

Link to Week 4 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 3

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 10-6 (62.5%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 5-6 (45.5%) 

Game of the Week: 49ers 22 @ Cardinals 19 – 58.6 win% (incorrect, Cardinals won 23-14) 

Lock of the Week: Patriots over Raiders – 86.9 win% SU (correct, Patriots won 16-9) 

Upset of the Week: Packers (+1.5) cover against Lions (incorrect, Lions won 19-7) 

Link to Week 3 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 2

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 10-6 (62.5%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 11-4 (73.3%) 

Game of the Week: Seahawks 27 @ Chargers 20 – 70.8 win% (incorrect, Chargers won 30-21) 

Lock of the Week: Broncos over Chiefs – 69.3 win% SU (correct, Broncos won 24-17) 

Upset of the Week: Eagles (+2.5) cover against Colts (correct, Eagles won 30-27) 

Link to Week 2 NFL Picks 

NFL Week 1

Winning Percentage Straight Up: 9-7 (56.3%) 

Winning Percentage Against the Spread: 7-6 (53.8%) 

Game of the Week: 49ers 25 @ Cowboys 19 – 68.9 win% (correct, 49ers won 28-17) 

Lock of the Week: Eagles over Jaguars – 76.1 win% SU (correct, Eagles won 34-17) 

Upset of the Week: Panthers (+1.5) cover against Buccaneers (correct, Panthers won 20-14) 

Link to Week 1 NFL Picks 

*(Any pick below 52.5% to win ATS is a NO PICK)