WhatIfSports college football Week 11 predictions: Washington remains undefeated vs. USC

WhatIfSports College Football Predictions Week 11

Washington will improve to 10-0 this Saturday, according to WhatIfSports.com's college football simulation engine. 

Ezra Shaw / Getty Images

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's college football simulation engine generates predictions for every Division I FBS game for the coming week. Our highly sophisticated algorithms simulate every play of every game to produce each team's likelihood to win. Each matchup is simulated 101 times.

Week 10 in Review

Game of the Week may as well be called Lock of the Week. Our simulating computer is now 9-1 after Ohio State won the GotW. Even our struggling Upset of the Week was a winner last week, as Oklahoma State's Mason Rudolph passed all over Kansas State.

Nailed It: Indiana 33 - Rutgers 27

After trailing by 11 points in the third quarter, the Hoosiers rallied behind Devine Redding. He scored one rushing TD and one receiving TD as Indiana defeated Rutgers by six points. We predicted IU to win 55.4 percent of the time, by an average score of 30.6-27.3.

Wide Right: Mississippi State 35 - Texas A&M 28

The Aggies lost their first game of the season as the Bulldogs stunned A&M. Both Nick Fitzgerald and Aeris Williams tallied over 100 rushing yards and at least one TD on the ground. We predicted Texas A&M to win 62.4 percent of the time, by an average score of 29.3-25.5.

Track our 2016 performance or view our accuracy last season, when we correctly picked the winner in 80.0 percent of all games involving FBS teams.

Week 11 Top 25 vs. Top 25 Matchups (+1)

No. 25 Baylor at No. 9 Oklahoma

Every Top 25 team is playing this week, but only one game involves two ranked teams. The Sooners could have given up after losing two of their first three games, but they didn't. Instead, they chose to wipe the slate clean as they entered conference play. Now, the Sooners are winners of six straight games and currently lead the Big 12. Last week, without Samaje Perine and Joe Mixon, Baker Mayfield put the team on his shoulders. He threw for 328 yards and four TDs. Mayfield has thrown at least four touchdowns in four consecutive games. Baylor has the difficult task of shaking off back-to-back losses to Texas and TCU. The Bears' season isn't over yet, though. They sit fourth in the Big 12, but still have games against two teams ahead of them in the standings: Oklahoma and West Virginia. Baylor already owns a win over Oklahoma State, currently ranked second in the conference. It is still possible for the Bears to win the Big 12 title. However, one more loss will dash all hopes. When our computer simulated the matchup, OU won 57.3 percent of the time, by an average score of 29.5-27.7.

USC at No. 4 Washington

We're deviating from the normal "two ranked teams" format on this one. The Washington Huskies remain unbeaten and host USC on Saturday night on FOX. With Texas A&M's loss last Saturday, Washington is now one of four undefeated teams left from the Power 5 conferences. This week, the Trojans are on the docket. USC is led by freshman quarterback Sam Dardold and sophomore running back Ronald Jones II. Last week, Jones ran for 171 yards and four TDs against Oregon. He's tallied at least 170 rushing yards in back-to-back games. With Jones carrying the rock last Saturday, Dardold wasn't needed. However, in the two previous matchups, he produced five TD passes apiece. Washington also has a young QB/RB tandem. Sophomores Jake Browning and Myles Gaskin make this Huskies offense move. Gaskin has tallied a rushing touchdown in five straight games. As for Browning, he threw six TD passes last week. He's accomplished that twice in the past four contests. The simulations believe the Huskies will keep a zero in the loss column. Washington wins 55.0 percent of the time, by an average score of 29.5-26.2.

Week 11 Upset Pick

West Virginia (+2) over Texas

The Mountaineers have only faltered once this season, yet Vegas has them losing to four-loss Texas this week. West Virginia is led by Skyler Howard. The senior quarterback, who's from Texas, has gotten it done on the ground as well as through the air. Howard has registered five rushing touchdowns in the past four games. In WVU's only loss of the season, Howard threw two interceptions. In games where he keeps it to one or none, the Mountaineers win. This season, the Longhorns have only picked off opposing quarterbacks five times. WVU wins 53.5 percent of the time, by an average score of 26.8-25.5.

College Football Week 11 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Pittsburgh Panthers 29.7 22.2 Box Score
@ Clemson Tigers 70.3 28.8  
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 33.7 23.2 Box Score
@ Louisville Cardinals 66.3 29.9  
Boston College Eagles 36.6 22.3 Box Score
@ Florida State Seminoles 63.4 26.0  
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 38.1 24.4 Box Score
@ Virginia Tech Hokies 61.9 28.4  
North Carolina State Wolfpack 52.5 25.4 Box Score
@ Syracuse Orange 47.5 24.0  
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 58.4 30.2 Box Score
@ Virginia Cavaliers 41.6 27.8  
North Carolina Tar Heels 61.4 27.8 Box Score
@ Duke Blue Devils 38.6 24.9  
Illinois Fighting Illini 26.7 22.0 Box Score
@ Wisconsin Badgers 73.3 30.7  
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 38.1 25.1 Box Score
@ Michigan State Spartans 61.9 28.3  
Minnesota Golden Gophers 47.5 25.3 Box Score
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers 52.5 27.1  
Michigan Wolverines 57.4 29.5 Box Score
@ Iowa Hawkeyes 42.6 24.2  
Penn State Nittany Lions 57.4 28.9 Box Score
@ Indiana Hoosiers 42.6 26.7  
Northwestern Wildcats 61.4 28.7 Box Score
@ Purdue Boilermakers 38.6 23.7  
Ohio State Buckeyes 64.9 28.6 Box Score
@ Maryland Terrapins 35.1 24.3  
Eastern Michigan Eagles 41.6 32.7 Box Score
@ Ball State Cardinals 58.4 34.9  
Bowling Green Falcons 41.6 27.8 Box Score
@ Akron Zips 58.4 30.9  
Toledo Rockets 54.5 29.5 Box Score
@ Northern Illinois Huskies 45.5 28.0  
Miami (OH) RedHawks 57.4 29.2 Box Score
@ Buffalo Bulls 42.6 27.5  
Western Michigan Broncos 76.2 33.6 Box Score
@ Kent State Golden Flashes 23.8 24.3  
Oregon State Beavers 35.6 26.5 Box Score
@ UCLA Bruins 64.4 29.5  
USC Trojans 45.0 26.2 Box Score
@ Washington Huskies 55.0 29.5  
California Golden Bears 46.9 33.7 Box Score
@ Washington State Cougars 53.1 35.2  
Stanford Cardinal 50.5 29.2 Box Score
@ Oregon Ducks 49.5 29.1  
Utah Utes 59.1 28.2 Box Score
@ Arizona State Sun Devils 40.9 26.5  
Colorado Buffaloes 59.3 31.7 Box Score
@ Arizona Wildcats 40.7 28.7  
Mississippi State Bulldogs 32.7 23.1 Box Score
@ Alabama Crimson Tide 67.3 30.0  
Kentucky Wildcats 39.6 27.0 Box Score
@ Tennessee Volunteers 60.4 29.1  
Ole Miss Rebels 42.9 27.6 Box Score
@ Texas A&M Aggies 57.1 29.9  
South Carolina Gamecocks 49.5 23.6 Box Score
@ Florida Gators 50.5 24.3  
Vanderbilt Commodores 53.5 23.1 Box Score
@ Missouri Tigers 46.5 21.9  
Auburn Tigers 53.7 27.2 Box Score
@ Georgia Bulldogs 46.3 25.9  
LSU Tigers 58.0 26.5 Box Score
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 42.0 24.7  
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 5.0 6.2 Box Score
@ BYU Cougars 95.0 47.7  
Army West Point Black Knights 22.8 22.4 Box Score
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish 77.2 31.0  
Baylor Bears 42.7 27.7 Box Score
@ Oklahoma Sooners 57.3 29.5  
Texas Tech Red Raiders 48.6 31.8 Box Score
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys 51.4 32.6  
West Virginia Mountaineers 53.5 26.8 Box Score
@ Texas Longhorns 46.5 25.5  
Iowa State Cyclones 61.4 26.8 Box Score
@ Kansas Jayhawks 38.6 22.4  
UTSA Roadrunners 32.7 26.6 Box Score
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 67.3 33.0  
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 39.9 29.1 Box Score
@ Old Dominion Monarchs 60.1 31.9  
Rice Owls 42.6 27.5 Box Score
@ Charlotte 49ers 57.4 30.4  
North Texas Mean Green 44.6 29.5 Box Score
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 55.4 31.9  
UTEP Miners 54.5 29.2 Box Score
@ Florida Atlantic Owls 45.5 29.0  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 62.4 31.9 Box Score
@ Marshall Thundering Herd 37.6 28.4  
Colorado State Rams 47.5 26.2 Box Score
@ Air Force Falcons 52.5 28.2  
New Mexico Lobos 52.3 30.3 Box Score
@ Utah State Aggies 47.7 29.2  
Wyoming Cowboys 69.3 30.8 Box Score
@ UNLV Rebels 30.7 25.0  
San Diego State Aztecs 69.3 33.2 Box Score
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 30.7 25.5  
Boise State Broncos 70.3 33.7 Box Score
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 29.7 26.5  
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 43.6 28.1 Box Score
@ Georgia Southern Eagles 56.4 31.2  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 44.6 29.2 Box Score
@ Georgia State Panthers 55.4 31.5  
New Mexico State Aggies 45.5 29.7 Box Score
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves 54.5 30.5  
Appalachian State Mountaineers 45.6 29.8 Box Score
@ Troy Trojans 54.4 31.4  
Idaho Vandals 53.5 33.1 Box Score
@ Texas State Bobcats 46.5 31.6  
Tulane Green Wave 26.7 22.4 Box Score
@ Houston Cougars 73.3 29.0  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 43.6 29.3 Box Score
@ Navy Midshipmen 56.4 30.6  
Cincinnati Bearcats 49.0 28.1 Box Score
@ UCF Knights 51.0 28.5  
SMU Mustangs 49.5 26.0 Box Score
@ East Carolina Pirates 50.5 28.9  
South Florida Bulls 59.9 31.7 Box Score
@ Memphis Tigers 40.1 28.4  

In addition, view our Week 11 power rankings or visit our college football archive for predictions from past weeks. For more statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.