WhatIfSports 2014 College Football Week 7 Predictions

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com’s NCAA college football simulation engine provides game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team’s chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. 

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team’s roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team’s game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: TCU at Baylor

The Oregon Duck’s Thursday night loss to Arizona State created a slippery slope through Saturday evening. When the dust settled, eight upsets shook college football’s Top 25 rankings. The Pac-12 experienced four Top 25 upsets and/or losses as the aforementioned Ducks, UCLA, Stanford and USC all fell in Week 6.

The Oklahoma Sooners also lost in Week 6 at TCU and left the Big 12 with only two undefeated teams heading into Week 7. It just so happens the Horned Frogs take their unblemished 4-0 record to McLane Stadium for a showdown with the 5-0 Baylor Bears in the WhatIfSports.com college football Week 7 featured matchup.

When you think of a Baylor, you think offense and not much has changed within Art Briles’ program. The offense is the top team in the country in points scored per game at 51 per pop and are ranked fifth in points allowed at just over 12. However, the combined record of the teams they’ve faced this season is only 8-18. The Bears have not faced a gauntlet of quality competition up until this point.

Bears’ senior quarterback Bryce Petty has already racked up 1,024 passing yards with nine touchdowns and only one interception.

Running back Shock Linwood averages five yards per carry for 449 yards with eight touchdowns.

The receiving tandem of KD Cannon and Jay Lee combined for 821 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.

The Horned Frogs played No. 4 Oklahoma last week, No. 5 Baylor this week and have No. 16 Oklahoma State on the schedule in two weeks.

There’s your gauntlet.

Texas Christian’s quarterback Trevone Boykin is a dual-threat in the passing and running game. In fact, he leads the team with 260 rushing yards to go with nearly 1,200 passing yards with 10 touchdowns and only two interceptions. Boykin and top back B.J. Catalon have combine for 480 yards with seven touchdowns.

The Horned Frogs rank inside the top 10 in scoring and totals defense and inside the Top 20 in rushing and passing defense. Before their upset win over the Sooners, their toughest test was against Minnesota.

We simulated Baylor and TCU 101 times and the computer likes Baylor 55 percent of the time by an average score of 26-25.

College Football Week 7 Predictions
Matchup Win % Avg. Score  
Cincinnati Bearcats 46.5 26.5 Boxscore
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 53.5 26.7  
Duke Blue Devils 47.5 22.7 Boxscore
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 52.5 24.4  
Boston College Eagles 47.5 23.2 Boxscore
North Carolina State Wolfpack 52.5 23.2  
Louisville Cardinals 50.5 20.9 Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers 49.5 21.0  
Florida State Seminoles 86.1 29.2 Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange 13.9 15.5  
Illinois Fighting Illini 39.6 22.4 Boxscore
Wisconsin Badgers 60.4 27.6  
Indiana Hoosiers 40.6 21.2 Boxscore
Iowa Hawkeyes 59.4 24.4  
Northwestern Wildcats 44.6 19.6 Boxscore
Minnesota Golden Gophers 55.4 21.8  
Penn State Nittany Lions 61.4 21.9 Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines 38.6 19.1  
Michigan State Spartans 72.3 25.7 Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers 27.7 17.4  
Miami (OH) RedHawks 26.7 17.3 Boxscore
Akron Zips 73.3 26.3  
Central Michigan Chippewas 34.7 22.6 Boxscore
Northern Illinois Huskies 65.3 27.5  
Massachusetts Minutemen 36.6 20.0 Boxscore
Kent State Golden Flashes 63.4 25.6  
Western Michigan Broncos 45.5 21.6 Boxscore
Ball State Cardinals 54.5 23.9  
Bowling Green Falcons 54.5 25.5 Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats 45.5 23.3  
Buffalo Bulls 71.3 25.7 Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles 28.7 20.2  
USC Trojans 36.1 23.9 Boxscore
Arizona Wildcats 63.9 27.9  
Washington State Cougars 38.6 25.7 Boxscore
Stanford Cardinal 61.4 29.1  
Washington Huskies 41.6 26.2 Boxscore
California Golden Bears 58.4 27.1  
Oregon Ducks 57.4 26.9 Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins 42.6 25.0  
Chattanooga Mocs 5.0 6.8 Boxscore
Tennessee Volunteers 95.0 44.0  
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.0 8.3 Boxscore
Vanderbilt Commodores 95.0 37.8  
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 38.1 21.9 Boxscore
Kentucky Wildcats 61.9 26.4  
LSU Tigers 55.4 20.5 Boxscore
@ Florida Gators 44.6 19.0  
Georgia Bulldogs 55.3 22.8 Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers 44.7 21.8  
Auburn Tigers 57.4 23.3 Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs 42.6 21.1  
Ole Miss Rebels 64.4 29.2 Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies 35.6 23.2  
Alabama Crimson Tide 67.8 24.2 Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks 32.2 19.7  
VMI Keydets 5.0 7.4 Boxscore
Navy Midshipmen 95.0 44.0  
North Carolina Tar Heels 44.6 22.2 Boxscore
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 55.4 25.4  
Rice Owls 68.3 26.0 Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights 31.7 20.1  
Texas Longhorns 35.6 21.5 Boxscore
Oklahoma Sooners 64.4 26.0  
TCU Horned Frogs 45.0 25.1 Boxscore
Baylor Bears 55.0 25.7  
Toledo Rockets 46.0 22.8 Boxscore
Iowa State Cyclones 54.0 24.2  
West Virginia Mountaineers 62.4 30.1 Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders 37.6 26.5  
Oklahoma State Cowboys 82.2 26.8 Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 17.8 16.5  
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 25.7 22.1 Boxscore
Marshall Thundering Herd 74.3 31.0  
FIU Golden Panthers 39.1 18.7 Boxscore
UTSA Roadrunners 60.9 21.9  
North Texas Mean Green 41.1 22.7 Boxscore
UAB Blazers 58.9 24.6  
Old Dominion Monarchs 59.4 29.1 Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners 40.6 25.9  
Air Force Falcons 39.6 23.1 Boxscore
Utah State Aggies 60.4 27.3  
Colorado State Rams 54.5 27.9 Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack 45.5 27.2  
Wyoming Cowboys 59.4 28.0 Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 40.6 23.7  
San Diego State Aztecs 59.4 27.9 Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos 40.6 24.5  
Fresno State Bulldogs 59.4 26.3 Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels 40.6 23.2  
Liberty Flames 5.0 7.7 Boxscore
Appalachian State Mountaineers 95.0 38.6  
Idaho Vandals 34.2 22.3 Boxscore
Georgia Southern Eagles 65.8 27.8  
New Mexico State Aggies 45.5 25.6 Boxscore
Troy Trojans 54.5 27.3  
Arkansas State Red Wolves 67.8 28.1 Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers 32.2 22.1  
BYU Cougars 42.6 19.3 Boxscore
UCF Knights 57.4 20.2  
Tulsa Golden Hurricane 45.5 21.3 Boxscore
Temple Owls 54.5 22.7  
Houston Cougars 48.0 24.2 Boxscore
Memphis Tigers 52.0 24.1  
Connecticut Huskies 49.0 20.6 Boxscore
Tulane Green Wave 51.0 20.4  
East Carolina Pirates 71.3 29.0 Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls 28.7 20.0  

For additional statistics, view our weekly college football predictions.