Sterling enters Saturday’s fight as the biggest favorite on the card as he looks to continue his 12-fight win streak. Sportsbook.ag and BetNow have Sterling at -400, while Bovada has the undefeated 26-year-old at -450. Simply, a bettor would have to pony up at least $400 to take home $100 with a Sterling win.
His opponent, Caraway, ranked eighth in the bantamweight division, is listed at +300 and +325 on those same books, making him the biggest underdog and by far the biggest ranked underdog on the card. And statistically, the numbers explain a bit of why Sterling is so heavily favored.
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Sterling vs. Caraway
Landed Strikes Per Minute
Absorbed per minute
According to the books, UFC newcomer Jordan Rinaldi (+250), who accepted his fight against Abel Trujillo (-325) on 10 days’ notice has a better chance of walking away with a win.
Other than that, oddsmakers are predicting very close bouts for the rest of the card, which bodes well for fight fans.
Sara McMann (-160) is slightly favored over Jessica Eye (-130), which makes sense considering their placement at fifth and sixth, respectively, in the UFC rankings. Same goes for welterweights Jorge Masvidal (+130) and Lorenz Larkin (-150), whose stats for significant strikes are virtually identical.
Landed Per Minute
Absorbed Per Minute
The co-main event sees former bantamweight champion Renan Barao (-200) as a favorite in his featherweight debut over the always tough Jeremy Stephens (+160). Meanwhile, in the main event, Thomas Almeida (-160) is likely to take home the win, but oddsmakers wouldn’t be surprised if unranked bantamweight Cody Garbrandt (+140) took care of business.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt goes down this Sunday, May 29, from Las Vegas, and you can catch all the action on FS1.