StaTuesday: Wild’s Niederreiter stands out in advanced stats

The Minnesota Wild avoided an arbitration hearing earlier this week, signing forward Nino Niederreiter to a five-year, $26.25 million contract.

He’ll be just 29 when he hits free agency in 2022.

If Niederreiter keeps improving at this rate, $5.25 million annually won’t be nearly enough to keep him in Minnesota.

Niederreiter’s surface-level numbers are good, particularly for a player who has been shuffled up and down the lineup over the last few years.

He scored 25 goals last season — his third straight 20-goal season — finishing fourth on the team in scoring with 57 points despite averaging just over 15 minutes of ice time per game.

But while his scoring totals are solid, his numbers get even better once his ice time is taken out of the equation, suggesting that Niederreiter’s ceiling goes far beyond a few 20-goal seasons.

He ranked 15th in the NHL last year in 5-on-5 scoring per 60 minutes, comparable to top-six forwards like Nikita Kucherov of the Tampa Bay Lightning and Victor Arvidsson of the Nashville Predators.

Player Team TOI (minutes) Goals Assists Points Points/60
Conor Sheary Pittsburgh 836.5 16 26 42 3.0126
Connor McDavid Edmonton 1309.93 21 42 63 2.8856
Jake Guentzel Pittsburgh 562.233 15 12 27 2.8814
Evgeni Malkin Pittsburgh 871.667 20 21 41 2.8222
Sidney Crosby Pittsburgh 1118.1 26 24 50 2.6831
Thomas Vanek Florida 759.8 12 21 33 2.6059
Mark Scheifele Winnipeg 1217.15 17 34 51 2.5141
Scott Hartnell Columbus 819.883 11 22 33 2.415
Jason Pominville Minnesota 921.467 12 25 37 2.4092
Brad Marchand Boston 1097.43 19 25 44 2.4056
Jason Zucker Minnesota 1104.32 19 25 44 2.3906
Nicklas Backstrom Washington 1107.27 13 31 44 2.3842
James van Riemsdyke Toronto 1058.4 23 19 42 2.381
Victor Arvidsson Nashville 1064.22 19 23 42 2.3679
Nino Niederreiter Minnesota 1041.93 16 25 41 2.361
Nikita Kucherov Tampa Bay 1097.08 18 25 43 2.3517
T.J. Oshie Washington 896.317 23 12 35 2.3429
Patrik Laine Winnipeg 1031.45 21 19 40 2.3268
Henrik Zetterberg Detroit 1274.33 15 34 49 2.3071
Ryan Getzlaf Anaheim 1119.58 5 38 43 2.3044

The numbers don’t lie: The Wild are just better when Niederreiter is on the ice.

Player TOI (minutes) GF GA GF60 GA60
Jason Zucker 1104.32 65 32 3.532 1.739
Nino Niederreiter 1041.93 55 37 3.167 2.131
Matt Dumba 1267.63 63 48 2.982 2.272
Jared Spurgeon 1405.6 69 45 2.945 1.921
Jason Pominville 921.467 45 43 2.93 2.8
Ryan Suter 1689.08 82 57 2.913 2.025
Zach Parise 909.65 44 43 2.902 2.836
Mikael Granlund 1152.68 55 39 2.863 2.03
Eric Staal 1136.53 54 44 2.851 2.323
Charlie Coyle 1107.55 51 43 2.763 2.329
Mikko Koivu 1117.85 51 34 2.737 1.825
Jonas Brodin 1056.5 45 38 2.556 2.158
Marco Scandella 1119.57 46 50 2.465 2.68
Christian Folin 699.067 28 23 2.403 1.974
Martin Hanzal 931.033 37 48 2.384 3.093
Erik Haula 869.333 34 32 2.347 2.209
Ryan White 662.6 21 36 1.902 3.26
Chris Stewart 795.367 25 22 1.886 1.66

They averaged 3.17 goals per 60 minutes with Niederreiter on the ice last year, up from an overall team average of 2.73.

Only speedy winger Jason Zucker had a greater impact on team scoring.

Niederreiter’s possession metrics factored on defense as well.

His CA60 — the number of shot attempts opponents averaged while he was on the ice, per 60 minutes — led the team.

Player TOI (minutes) CF60 CA60
Nino Niederreiter 1041.93 57.873 46.702
Jonas Brodin 1056.5 52.589 52.191
Erik Haula 869.333 56.526 53.006
Jared Spurgeon 1405.6 56.005 53.571
Jason Pominvlle 921.467 61.793 53.719
Mikko Koivu 1117.85 53.406 53.997
Jason Zucker 1104.32 54.55 54.441
Charlie Coyle 1107.55 55.203 54.553
Ryan Suter 1689.08 55.415 54.562
Eric Staal 1136.53 57.491 54.851
Mikael Granlund 1152.68 52.625 55.28
Martin Hanzal 931.033 56.131 55.422
Matt Dumba 1267.63 51.971 55.473
Marco Scandella 1119.57 53.431 56.808
Christian Folin 699.067 52.27 59.136
Ryan White 662.6 50.075 60.217
Zach Parise 909.65 58.572 61.606
Chris Stewart 795.367 42.697 61.858

Statistics courtesy of Puckalytics.com