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James Hernandez has more than 15 years in the sports handicapping industry and will contribute weekly for FOXSports.com as our betting expert. Have comments or questions? Make sure to email him at email@example.com.
James Hernandez, Contributor to FOXSports.com
During the NFL season, I will attempt to guide you to the winner’s circle more often than not. I consider a combination of statistical trends, my own personal player ranking system, and meticulous attention to various wagering techniques that allow me to analyze and formulate a plan of attack each week. Each week I will post my five favorite plays in order of preference, best on top and so on. All right, let’s get into it
Carolina Panthers (-7) over Case-Keenum-_20131102113758669_0_0.JPG" alt="" width="600" height="400" /> In the NFL bye weeks can either come in the form of a blessing or a curse depending on how it affects each team. In the case of the Colts, it came at the worst possible time, halting the momentum they had built with a win over
Peyton Manning and the
Broncos. On the flip side, the bye came at the perfect time for a Houston team that despite its 2-5 record seems to have finally figured out its quarterback situation. With the way the Texans battled against the undefeated
Chiefs, it is clear that this team is still leaving it all out on the field for maligned coach Gary Kubiak. With the No. 1 ranked defense in the NFL you can expect
JJ Watt and crew to continue to wreak havoc and hold the Indy passing game in check as the Texans scratch and claw to keep this contest within reach. On the offensive side of the ball it is crucial that
Ben Tate and
Arian Foster (if healthy enough to go) sustain drives on the ground and give some validity to the play action pass as Case Keenum continues to find his comfort level within this offense. Divisional games tend to favor the home team and with the newfound love affair between the betting public and the Colts, this play is just as much a fade on the betting public as it is on Indianapolis. This line should receive mostly one-sided action so wait as long as you can on betting this game. You may be fortunate enough to get +3 or even 3.5 and that can be the difference between a loss or push as opposed to an outright win.
San Diego Chargers/ Washington Redskins over 51
Two top-10 offenses matching up in the nation’s capital should provide plenty of action on the way to a free-for-all that may just make us forget the dismal season being put together by the home team. A year removed from a division title that earned
RG3 the key to the city, the second-year quarterback has found living up to expectations way more difficult than merely exceeding them. For all the flaws being scrutinized by his critics, Griffin has been able to guide the Washington offense to more than 27 points per game which is good enough to rank eighth in the NFL. The real issue in D.C. is a defense that is allowing an NFC worst 32.7 ppg and letting opposing offenses visit the end zone like it is the Lincoln Memorial. After the bye week, the Chargers come into this contest relatively healthy and with the extra week of film study, expect
Philip Rivers to have his way with a secondary that has struggled to contain the big play. The emergence of
Ryan Mathews has brought the Chargers offense a balance and stability that has been missing since the great
LaDainian Tomlinson was taking handoffs. With
Antonio Gates and rookie sensation
Keenan Allen providing the vertical passing threats, the Bolts should have no issue putting points on the board. This game will be played at a furious pace that will be sure to provide plenty of scoring opportunities for each side. Don't be surprised if both teams score 30-plus and easily push this total over 51.