The end of the 2016 NFL season is fast approaching, which means now is truly the time for winners.
I get it. You've got a little bit of holiday shopping left to do, and you could use a boost to get you through to 2017. But be warned; after a sloppy Week 14 in which we went 6-9-1 against the spread, we're down to 109-92-6 on the season. Here are your Week 15 lines, picks and over/unders.
(Lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of 12/15. Pick listed first, with home team in all caps.)
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SEAHAWKS (-16) over Rams (Over/under: 38.5)
My initial instinct was to trust L.A.'s defense to keep this one within two touchdowns despite the firing of coach Jeff Fisher and Jared Goff's struggles, then I read the following quote:
"Asked if he believes there is anything he can show the Rams during these final three games that would give him a shot at being the head coach, [interim head coach John] Fassel simply said, 'No.'"
Dolphins (-2.5) over JETS (Over/under: 37.5)
Even without Ryan Tannehill, I still like the Dolphins to win easily in New York. Trust the Miami defense — and that the Dolphins will be smart enough to lean on Jay Ajayi.
COWBOYS (-7) over Buccaneers (Over/under: 46)
Jameis Winston might light up the Dallas secondary, but I expect the Cowboys to bounce back from their second loss of the season with a solid win over Tampa Bay. If not, next week is going to be fun in Dallas.
Lions (+4.5) over GIANTS (Over/under: 41)
I'm done questioning Matthew Stafford's magic (until Week 16, anyway, depending on how he does against the Giants defense). My brain says Giants get the win, but my gut says Stafford leads another crazy comeback. Fortunately, we all can split the difference and take the points.
RAVENS (-5.5) over Eagles (Over/Under: 40.5)
One team's still fighting for a playoff berth; the other's essentially playing out the string. The Ravens should harass Carson Wentz enough to win by a touchdown at home against the Eagles, who have lost by double-digits in three of the past four games.
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Packers (-6.5) over BEARS (Over/under: 40.5)
Anything can happen on the road in a divisional matchup, but Green Bay is far and away the better team in this one. Expect the Packers to cover — and tie the all-time regular-season series with the Bears at 94-94-6.
Colts (+4.5) over VIKINGS (Over/under: 45.5)
Minnesota's offensive struggles will keep Andrew Luck's squad in the game until the final whistle. When the clock hits all zeroes, though, the Vikings defense will emerge victorious.
Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY SportsThomas J. Russo
Browns (+10) over BILLS (Over/under: 41.5)
There is no reason to pick Cleveland here. I would not encourage you to be as foolish as I am. Do not pick the Browns.
But I cannot shake the feeling that something weird is going to happen in Buffalo this weekend, significantly increasing the heat under Rex Ryan's seat as Bills coach.
CHIEFS (-5.5) over Titans (Over/under: 42)
The Chiefs are one of the best teams in the AFC — and a legitimate contender to knock off the Patriots for a Super Bowl berth. Kansas City should prove just that at home against a stout Tennessee team.
TEXANS (-6) over Jaguars (Over/under: 39.5)
Brock Osweiler v. Blake Bortles! Get your popcorn ready ... for a different game!
And never trust Bortles.
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Saints (+2.5) over CARDINALS (Over/under: 50.5)
Speaking of entities one should never trust — the Arizona Cardinals, ladies and gentlemen!
The Saints are flat-out a better team than the Cards, and they should emerge victorious on the road in Arizona.
FALCONS (-13.5) over 49ers (Over/under: 51.5)
If the Niners couldn't cover against the Jets, there's no hope for them the rest of this season. Book it.
Patriots (-3) over BRONCOS (Over/under: 44)
More often than not this season, elite offenses have bested elite defense. I expect that trend to continue in cold but snow-free Denver on Sunday.
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Raiders (-3) over CHARGERS (Over/under: 49.5)
"Want to throw for, like, all of the touchdowns next time we play against each other?"
"Sure. But my team can actually play defense, so ... "
"Not cool, Philip. Not cool."
Steelers (-3) over BENGALS (Over/under: 44)
The Steelers have quietly crept up to No. 4 in Football Outsiders' total efficiency, while the Bengals are waiting for the offseason to get here as soon as possible. Three points feels like a gimme, even with the Steelers on the road.
Getty ImagesJamie Sabau
REDSKINS (-6) over Panthers (Over/under: 50.5)
Josh Norman, meet Cam Newton. Cam, meet J—what's that? You guys already know each other?
Bold prediction: Norman comes away with an interception after Newton tries to test his former teammate, and Washington comes away with a big win at home to cap a fun Week 15 in the NFL.