Vick was exceptional against the Packers' prevent D in Week 1 and the Lions, who seem to be in perpetual prevent, in Week 2. And while it's true No. 7 was once the league's highest-paid player, consistency over more than a two-game stretch was and is, well, a stretch. Current QB rating: 105.5. Career rating: 75. Expect to see a number somewhere in the middle around Halloween.
Outside of the Steelers and Saints, the NFL is turned upside down this year. First-place teams include the Bucs, Chiefs, Dolphins, Texans, Seahawks and Bears (all non-playoff teams in '09). The combined records of those teams last season? 39-73! That's why I've come up with the list of those who, like all the teams listed above, are guaranteed to come back down to Earth sooner rather than later. – Joe Concha Got a question or comment? Email email@example.com
Braylon Edwards, WR, Jets
What is it with receivers in New York and the number 17? First, we had the Plaxico Burress cocktail at a Manhattan nightclub (that's one expensive shot!), and now Braylon Edwards is flagged for excessive celebration by the NYPD at 5:15 a.m. Where's the Hard Knocks crew when you REALLY need them? Edwards' production will undoubtedly fall once the organization finally drops the hammer on its most consistent off-the-field time bomb. And with fellow Boy Scout Santonio Holmes coming back in three weeks, his output will fall even further.
Aaron Hernandez, TE, Patriots
One consistent fact about tight ends: They're invariably big targets. That's not the case with Aaron Hernandez, who at 6 feet 1 more resembles Keith Hernandez. But after last week's six-catch, 101-yard performance, the big little guy may have become one of Tom Brady's top targets ... or not. Bill Belichick has a maddening tendency to go with different tight ends as much as he does running backs. Six different TEs have been on the roster the past three seasons alone. There's no guarantee Hernandez will even start in Week 3.
Mark Clayton, WR, Rams
The former first-round pick scored the Rams' only two touchdowns against the Raiders in Sunday's "Teams to Bolt L.A. Bowl" in Oakland. Clayton's 71 yards-per-game average is about double that of his output over the past two seasons, and he's doing it with a rookie QB to boot. My Gekko-wannabe pals on Wall Street would therefore deem Clayton as "overvalued." Buy low, sell high, as they say. And you're not going to find Clayton's stock any higher than right now, given his history (one season with more than 50 catches).
Josh Freeman, QB, Bucs
The undefeated Bucs are a nice story, but those wins came against two teams who may not win a game all season (Browns, Panthers). Three 2009 quality teams (Steelers, Bengals, Saints) await Freeman (4 TDs, 1 INT), which very well could result in his needing to throw the ball downfield more (a paltry 6.4 yards per attempt). The good news? Tampa Bay will be wearing its good-luck throwback creamsicles (undefeated lifetime record) again this year -- although it may be too late (Dec. 5 against the Falcons).
Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders
That thumping sound you hear is fantasy owners hitting their heads against their desks at work for not trusting McFadden over the past two weeks while he became the second-leading rusher in the AFC. McFadden's 240 yards and 5 yards per carry have eliminated any bust comparisons to JaMarcus Russell for now, but it's difficult to believe he can continue this pace, considering he hasn't rushed for more than 500 yards in either of his two pro seasons.
Jahvid Best, RB, Lions
The first Jahvid ever to make one of my lists! Best has been a fantasy dream over the first two weeks, outscoring top-five picks Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, Maurice Jones-Drew, Michael Turner and Ray Rice combined with two touchdowns to spare. But Best may be headed for the worst, given his difficulty in staying healthy. Hope I'm wrong here, but given the Millen stench hasn't quite left the organization, there isn't exactly good karma working in his favor here.
Jay Cutler, QB, Bears
Ah, the undefeated Bears. Cutler has been a big reason for the fast start (68.8 completion percentage, 5 TDs, 1 INT), but given his propensity to throw the ball to the wrong team over the past three years (58 INTs) and his issues with the Packers last season (3 TDs, 6 INTs), this week could be a bigger reality check than when Jack Black realized in Shallow Hal that Gwenyth Paltrow outweighed Albert Haynesworth.