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Chase is three-man show right now

Can Brad Keselowski hold off the Chase field?
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Larry McReynolds

Larry McReynolds has more than 30 years of NASCAR experience as a mechanic, Daytona 500-winning crew chief and broadcaster. He earned 23 Sprint Cup wins as a crew chief, including two victories in the prestigious Daytona 500, as well as a pair of non-points victories in the annual all-star race. Follow him on Twitter.

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There are six races to go in the NASCAR Chase for the Sprint Cup and we’ve got more or less conventional racing in each.

We don’t have a road-course race, we don’t have a restrictor-plate race. We do have a short track in a few weeks at Martinsville, but for the most part these are conventional tracks.

I was a little bit hesitant about making any predictions about the points until we saw what they looked like after the race at Talladega, but I also said I felt like if you were more than 30 points out of the lead, then you were not going to make that up in these next six races.

Right now, we have a couple of drivers that have made gains by leaps and bounds from where this Chase started, in particular the two wild-card guys: Kasey Kahne and Jeff Gordon. When the checkered flag waved in Chicago after that 35th-place finish, Gordon was 47 points behind the leader. He has followed up with top-three finishes – at Loudon, Dover and now at Talladega – and he has made up five points on the leader.

It’s just hard to make up ground on this caliber of drivers and teams.

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And then you’ve got Kahne, who has moved well up through the pack, but he’s more than 30 points back.

I think we’ve got a three-horse race.

We’re at Charlotte, a mile-and-a-half track and it’s the only race that’s a Saturday night, under-the-lights race in the Chase. If you go back to the 600 in May – I know this race is different, a lot has happened since May – but 11 of our 12 Chase drivers finished in the top 13 there. The only driver that didn’t really have a good day or night in the 600 was Tony Stewart, who finished 25th.

I know six races is still a lot of races, but I just think we’ve got a three-horse race.

Tagged: Kasey Kahne

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