Kyle Larson earned the first win of his NASCAR Cup Series career last year at Michigan International Speedway.
See which five drivers can win today's Firekeepers Casino 400 at MIS, based on how they've looked this weekend in practices and qualifying leading up to the race, plus past history at the 2-mile track.
NASCAR via Getty ImagesBrian Lawdermilk
Jones, a series rookie, is running his first Cup race at Michigan and has yet to win this season. So why does he have a chance to win? Because he's been fast in all practices this week and he ran well last year in the XFINITY Series at the 2-mile track, finishing fourth.
Plus Jones is coming off a career-best third-place finish last week at Pocono, and he appears to be getting better every week.
As hard as this is to believe, it has been 30 races and almost one full calendar year since Busch last won a Cup race at Indianapolis. He owns one career win at Michigan back in 2011 but has run poorly since, finishing 31st or worse in five of his last seven MIS outings with an average finish of 32.0 over that stretch.
So to say he's due in his No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota in general and at this track in particular is a massive understatement. He'll start fourth after a strong qualifying effort and has been consistently fast in the practices.
Martin Truex Jr.
For the third week in a row, Truex is starting on the front row in the second position. He's never won at Michigan, but he was fastest in Saturday's morning practice and obviously qualified well on Friday.
Sooner or later, Truex will convert another of his strong qualifying efforts into another victory. He's already done it twice this season, winning at Las Veags when he started second and at Kansas when he started third.
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Surprisingly, the Michigan native has never won a Cup race at his home track. But he was fastest in Saturday's final practice and has knocked on the door so many times that he's bound to bust it open soon.
The evidence: Keselowski finished second here in 2012 and has been third three times, including last August. He also has six consecutive finishes of ninth or better at the track.
Larson won the last Cup race run at MIS and will start from the pole after being fastest in the opening practice on Friday.
This is Larson's kind of track: big, wide and super fast, where he can run his favored high line and still have more of a margin for error than he does on smaller, tighter tracks. The No. 42 Chip Ganassi Chevrolet is sure to lead lots of laps and is the odds-on favorite to win the Firekeepers Casino 400.