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Lee, Holliday among hot trade market commodities
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Cliff Lee, IndiansStats of note: 111.0 IP, 2.92 ERA, 3.04 K/BB
ZiPs ROS*: 3.68 ERA
Contract status: $8 million team option for 2010
Matt Holliday, A'sStats: .274 AVG/.373 OBP/.432 SLG, 8 HR
ZiPs ROS: .285/.367/.477
Contract status: Pending free agent Holliday's AVG/OBP/SLG by month ... April: .240/.288/.360
June: .283/.383/.457 Save for his slow start to the season, Holliday has generally met expectations. He's not going to put up those mile-above-sea-level numbers again, but he's going to produce at an above-average clip by positional standards. He's also going to give you excellent defense in left and run the bases well. Unless Holliday is traded out of Oakland and signs an extension with his new team, he'll be a free agent this winter. However, he could be safely offered salary arbitration, and since he'll be a type-A free agent, his team will receive two compensatory draft picks once he signs elsewhere. So don't view him as a pure rental. Holliday's full complement of skills makes sense for the Cardinals, to whom he's been linked, and the Braves, who still need outfield help even after acquiring Nate McLouth. Expect that ZiPs ROS to look even better if Holliday gets out of the pitcher-friendly ballpark in Oakland and into the weaker National League.
Huston Street, RockiesStats: 33.0 IP, 3.00 ERA, 3.70 K/BB
ZiPs ROS: 3.75 ERA
Contract status: Eligible for salary arbitration
Jarrod Washburn, MarinersStats: 89.1 IP, 3.22 ERA, 2.40 K/BB
ZiPs ROS: 4.60 ERA
Contract status: Pending free agent, no-trade clause While the M's are within spitting distance in the AL West, Baseball Prospectus gives them just a 20.3% chance of making the postseason. So while you'd prefer to see the Mariners remain intact and go for the flag, a deadline sell-off is possible. Erik Bedard is terminal trade bait, but he's on the DL with an ailing shoulder. Perhaps, then, it's Washburn who'll be moved. He's enjoying his finest season since 2005, and his new two-seam fastball has at least something to do with that. ZiPs isn't bullish going forward, but it's possible that Washburn's deeper repertoire makes his performance sustainable, at least in the near term. Right now, he's the best starting pitcher on the market not named Cliff Lee. The Dodgers are reportedly interested, and the usual suspects i.e., the Mets and the Philies also could use the seasoned lefty.
Doug Davis, DiamondbacksStats: 98.2 IP, 3.28 ERA, 1.62 K/BB
ZiPs ROS: 4.79 ERA
Contract status: Pending free agent Caveat emptor. Davis' ERA sparkles, but it's out of step with his established norms (his career ERA is about a run higher). His FIP of 4.42 also suggests he's been quite lucky this season. While his ZiPs ROS seems a tad grim, you can expect Davis to regress in the coming weeks. Teams eyeballing Davis as some sort of reconstructed ace will be disappointed. Those who want him for help at the back end will not be. The Brewers have been linked to Davis, and he'd help stabilize the rotation behind Yovani Gallardo. From the Snakes' standpoint, selling high on Davis is the right move.