Fantasy Football

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings

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Joel Beall

Joel Beall is a writer for FOXSports.com and WhatIfSports.com. He lives with a Golden Tee machine and a jump shot that’s currently broken. Reach Joel on Twitter @FOXSportsBeall.

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Editor's Note: we have updated our rankings to account for Ryan Mathews injury ONLY.  Other player rankings updates to come.


Training camps are underway across the NFL, signaling the need for a second rollout of the FOXSports.com’s Top 200 for the upcoming fantasy football season.

Injuries haven’t taken their toll yet, and it’s too early to allow training camp rumors and hearsay to have a chief influence on the preseason projections. However, contentious contract negotiations and off-the-field incidents certainly reared their ugly head, most notably with Dez Bryant and Kenny Britt. Worse, despite looking like Gerald Butler from 300, Tim Tebow’s rain-soaked workout failed to vault him into the rankings.

Stay tuned for updated rankings as September nears, with a rerelease of position grades coming in two weeks. Enjoy.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: Top 10
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Arian Foster 2 2 1 1 1 view
Aaron Rodgers 1 1 4 4 2 view
Ray Rice 4 3 2 2 3 view
LeSean McCoy 3 4 3 3 4 view
Calvin Johnson 12 5 5 5 5 view
Chris Johnson 7 6 7 8 6 view
Tom Brady 5 7 10 7 7 view
Maurice Jones-Drew 9 8 12 9 8 view
Drew Brees 6 17 11 10 9 view
Matt Forte 15 11 8 12 10 view

Fantasy Draft Guide

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Analysis

Arian Foster enters as No. 1 thanks to his enormous upside, evidenced by over 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns from the past two seasons. However, the former rushing champ is far from a slam-dunk selection in the top spot, as Foster possesses his fair share of hazard. Houston halfback Ben Tate established his merit in Foster’s early absence, racking up 300 yards on the ground in the first three games of 2011. With Foster collecting over 600 rushing attempts and nearly 120 receptions since 2010, the Texans may utilize Tate in more packages to keep their All-Pro fresh.

Insert Maurice Jones-Drew into the risk ranks as well. Fantasy owners are still cleansing off the funk from Chris Johnson’s, uh, “performance” last season after CJ2K missed training camp due to a contract holdout. The August vacation correlated to an atrocious 366 rushing yards in his first eight contests, far below the output expected from an early-round fantasy selection. As MJD is steadfast in his sabbatical from the Jaguars until a new deal is reached, be warned of similar consequences.

For those looking to minimize danger, Aaron Rodgers and Ray Rice are the soundest entities in the first round. Though he’s had his battles with concussions, Rodgers has missed only one game in four seasons as starter, averaging 4,260 passing yards, 280 rushing yards and 37 total touchdowns in that span. Rice, recently bestowed an opulent contract, is one of the more durable rushers in the game, and has essentially no backfield competition, easing owners’ apprehensions of rotisserie robbery in the red zone.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 11-30
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Larry Fitzgerald 18 10 9 11 11 view
Cam Newton 8 9 21 21 12 view
Rob Gronkowski 19 12 16 13 13 view
Darren McFadden 10 13 18 20 14 view
Jimmy Graham 16 21 13 14 15 view
DeMarco Murray 13 23 15 16 16 view
Greg Jennings 17 14 14 23 17 view
Andre Johnson 20 15 17 18 18 view
A.J. Green 32 18 20 19 19 view
Trent Richardson 24 35 22 15 20 view
Matthew Stafford 22 33 24 17 21 view
Roddy White 27 25 19 27 22 view
Marshawn Lynch 25 24 25 24 23 view
Wes Welker 26 26 28 22 24 view
Michael Turner 14 31 30 39 25 view
Mike Wallace 34 22 31 28 26 view
Hakeem Nicks 43 28 23 30 27 view
Brandon Marshall 28 41 29 26 28 view
Adrian Peterson 38 20 43 29 29 view
Ryan Mathews 45 43 15 17 30 view

Analysis

Seems outlandish to label a top-15 player with steal status, though that designation seems apropos for Cam Newton at No. 13, considering the rookie signal caller finished the 2011 fantasy campaign with the second-most points. There seems to be a general consensus that Newton will regress this season, a sentiment I’m not totally buying. If the Heisman winner was capable of such carnage with just an abbreviated training camp serving as preparation, imagine the wrath he can inflict with an entire offseason under his belt. I’m not one for hyperbole, but visualize Tecmo Bo and 2004 Madden Michael Vick morphing into a realistic beast, and you have an idea of the aptitude of Newton. If he’s available at this juncture of the draft, jump all over him.

Adrian Peterson is an intriguing name sitting at No. 30. With varying reports coming from Vikings training camp on the four-time Pro Bowler’s health, Peterson could be the bargain or bust of the draft. He’ll need to see some action in preseason contests before a judgment is pronounced, but the juice is definitely worth the squeeze if the Minnesota back falls into the fourth round.

In this stratum, keep an eye on Andre Johnson (groin injury), Marshawn Lynch (legal trouble) and Mike Wallace (holdout), as periphery issues will have a heightened impact if the concerns linger.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 31-50
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Jamaal Charles 41 27 37 25 31 view
Julio Jones 42 30 27 31 32 view
Fred Jackson 23 40 33 35 33 view
Steven Jackson 39 29 26 41 34 view
Victor Cruz 33 37 34 34 35 view
Michael Vick 21 19 50 56 36 view
Steve Smith 36 44 36 33 37 view
Ahmad Bradshaw 40 34 41 44 38 view
Jordy Nelson 59 32 42 37 39 view
Marques Colston 30 47 38 57 40 view
Dez Bryant 45 36 40 55 41 view
Percy Harvin 55 42 32 51 42 view
Miles Austin 56 45 35 45 43 view
Frank Gore 50 43 39 49 44 view
Demaryius Thomas 53 38 55 40 45 view
Tony Romo 31 59 45 52 46 view
Darren Sproles 44 54 48 46 47 view
Doug Martin 62 50 54 32 48 view
Antonio Brown 37 63 52 47 49 view
Eli Manning 35 65 62 38 50 view

MOCK DRAFTS

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Analysis

Quite the free fall for Vick, who decorated the top of many preseason fantasy rankings last fall. As an upper-echelon selection, the Philly field general scared the bejesus out of me. As a late-third/early-fourth pick? Sign me up, Sally. Noted in the standings above, Ryan Fowler and I are much higher on Vick’s prospects versus our colleagues John Halpin and Mike Harmon. Concededly, the injury risk remains, yet didn’t we already know that entering 2011? And with the depth of quarterbacks in 2012, you can easily acquire an adequate backup in the later rounds for insurance. If Vick is still around at this frame in your draft, thank the fantasy gods.

In the same vein as Peterson, Kansas City’s Jamaal Charles in an enticing back whose potential is absurd for this interval. Yet unlike Peterson, Charles was injured early in 2011, meaning his road to recovery is far more advanced. Earning rave reviews from Chiefs camp, keep Charles on your watch list.

Even in PPR formats, Darren Sproles seems out of his league at this stage of the draft. Carolina wideout Steve Smith may raise some eyebrows with this slighted standing after his remarkable rejuvenation last season; alas, after accumulating 918 yards in his first eight games, Smith posted a more pedestrian 476 yards in the second half of the year.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 51-75
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Vincent Jackson 57 58 46 42 51 view
Peyton Manning 51 39 64 50 52 view
Dwayne Bowe 54 49 58 43 53 view
Antonio Gates 49 64 56 36 54 view
Jason Witten 47 48 51 67 55 view
Jeremy Maclin 46 62 44 70 56 view
Vernon Davis 52 53 59 59 57 view
Brandon Lloyd 29 94 53 48 58 view
Jermichael Finley 48 57 65 54 59 view
Philip Rivers 64 46 49 73 60 view
Reggie Bush 60 71 57 53 61 view
Steve Johnson 69 52 68 61 62 view
DeSean Jackson 68 51 60 75 63 view
Aaron Hernandez 90 60 47 62 64 view
Willis McGahee 67 72 61 66 65 view
Shonn Greene 82 56 71 60 66 view
Ben Roethlisberger 63 69 66 71 67 view
Reggie Wayne 58 67 69 78 68 view
Isaac Redman 61 77 72 65 69 view
Chris "Beanie" Wells 70 61 70 76 70 view
Eric Decker 77 80 63 58 71 view
Roy Helu 74 70 67 77 72 view
Jay Cutler 78 73 79 64 73 view
Donald Brown 83 79 75 69 74 view
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 80 74 73 81 75 view

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Analysis

Let’s all bow our heads in a moment of silence for Peyton Manning’s descent from the top 50. Dark days, indeed.

Count me as a believer in the No. 18 Era in Mile High. Just spitballin’ here, but perhaps we should cool the jets on this, “Why isn’t Manning throwing deep balls in camp yet?” nonsense. We’re talking about a dude who threw for 4,700 yards and 33 scores in 2010, and is now working behind a better line with more talented receivers. Some would counter this pick as rubbish, as there is more than enough endowment at the position without Manning’s baggage. However, it’s hard to beat the bang for your buck with Manning at this time in the draft.

Staying in Denver, while I think Peyton’s presence has a profound effect on most of the Broncos offense, Willis McGahee will not be the beneficiary of such providence. Not stating that Lance Ball or Knowshon Moreno are vulture threats; rather, McGahee goes from Option A in the Denver offensive assault to almost an afterthought until the fourth quarter, theoretically coming into play for running out the clock. Worse, the passing game has never been McGahee’s forte, meaning another back will be the recipient of Manning checkdowns.

Speaking of backs, love me some Law Firm at No. 75. Cincinnati relies heavily on the rushing attack, and BenJarvus Green-Ellis’ style should fit perfectly into offensive coordinator Jay Gruden’s approach. If Cedric Benson could somehow finagle a 1,000-yard season in the Queen City, envision Green-Ellis laying waste to adversarial defenses behind that Bengals line.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 76-100
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Torrey Smith 119 66 81 63 76 view
DeAngelo Williams 71 95 92 72 77 view
Matt Ryan 72 82 88 88 78 view
Jonathan Stewart 73 86 93 79 79 view
C.J. Spiller 97 75 83 82 80 view
Santonio Holmes 65 83 100 90 81 view
Stevan Ridley 85 93 78 85 82 view
Sidney Rice 87 85 74 96 83 view
Fred Davis 76 111 80 80 84 view
Pierre Garcon 92 78 95 86 85 view
Mark Ingram 112 76 76 94 86 view
Kenny Britt 154 55 86 74 87 view
Robert Griffin III 100 99 89 84 88 view
Robert Meachem 141 68 98 68 89 view
Ryan Williams 75 87 105 111 90 view
Matt Schaub 89 92 90 107 91 view
Ben Tate 102 98 87 92 92 view
Brandon Pettigrew 95 81 114 98 93 view
Brent Celek 104 84 85 118 94 view
Jacob Tamme 66 118 101 109 95 view
Mikel Leshoure 86 106 91 112 96 view
Anquan Boldin 93 96 109 101 97 view
Mike Williams 91 105 102 104 98 view
Jahvid Best 96 88 118 102 99 view
Denarius Moore 121 110 82 93 100 view


Analysis

In the majority of drafts last season, Newton, the first pick in the 2011 NFL Draft, went unselected. Thanks to his dexterous display in his debut season, Newton has raised the bar for incoming rookies, illustrated in the preseason stature of Robert Griffin III. Going to call shenanigans on this one, boys and girls. What Newton did was epic, legendary, once-in-a-lifetime, Rookie of the Year…alright, think you know where this train’s heading. Don’t anticipate an equivalent bounty for RG3 (or for that matter, Andrew Luck). The Baylor product will be fantasy relevant, just not to the same breathtaking degree as the Carolina QB in 2011.

While far from consistent, Baltimore’s Torrey Smith finished his first professional season with flying colors, hauling in 50 receptions for 841 yards and seven touchdowns. As the rapport between Smith and Joe Flacco improves, it’s easy to picture the second-year man out of Maryland overtaking Anquan Boldin as the Ravens’ primary target.

Stevan Ridley is a name managers should keep an eye on. Though the Patriots usually employ a backfield committee, Ridley has outshined his competition to the point where New England may have no choice but to give him the majority of touches.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 101-150
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Toby Gerhart 111 108 104 83 101 view
James Starks 146 91 84 87 102 view
Malcom Floyd 136 97 77 99 103 view
Lance Moore 79 121 99 110 104 view
Darrius Heyward-Bey 81 104 126 103 105 view
Peyton Hillis 113 116 96 91 106 view
Michael Bush 110 109 112 89 107 view
Tony Gonzalez 94 115 113 100 108 view
David Wilson 116 112 110 105 109 view
Pierre Thomas 114 120 97 116 110 view
LeGarrette Blount 84 90 122 154 111 view
Josh Freeman 126 89 108 129 112 view
Jermaine Gresham 122 100 121 113 113 view
Titus Young 107 107 107 136 114 view
Greg Little 163 101 111 95 115 view
Laurent Robinson 108 125 94 158 116 view
Justin Blackmon 133 119 103 133 117 view
Tim Hightower 99 140 131 127 118 view
Michael Crabtree 138 103 136 120 119 view
Daniel Thomas 147 102 134 119 120 view
Santana Moss 124 145 116 117 121 view
San Francisco 49ers 131 141 132 108 122 view
Ryan Fitzpatrick 103 131 120 159 123 view
Owen Daniels 106 130 133 146 124 view
Ronnie Hillman 148 127 127 114 125 view
Joe Flacco 144 123 117 132 126 view
Doug Baldwin 123 137 154 106 127 view
Carson Palmer 127 143 161 97 128 view
Kevin Smith 98 153 115 164 129 view
Michael Floyd 132 114 139 149 130 view
Jacquizz Rodgers 130 134 135 135 131 view
Jared Cook 149 129 129 131 132 view
Nate Washington 101 136 150 153 133 view
Randy Moss 139 133 143 125 134 view
Shane Vereen 157 132 106 147 135 view
Mario Manningham 109 149 119 172 136 view
Dustin Keller 105 122 141 183 137 view
Vincent Brown 140 159 125 128 138 view
Felix Jones 129 126 130 180 139 view
Reuben Randle 118 162 172 115 140 view
Andy Dalton 143 128 174 122 141 view
Sam Bradford 158 113 128 169 142 view
Alshon Jeffery 125 124 182 148 143 view
Andrew Luck 190 151 124 124 144 view
Cedric Benson 117 169 144 161 145 view
Kendall Wright 88 160 145 146 view
Kyle Rudolph 167 138 123 171 147 view
Austin Collie 171 142 145 150 148 view
Brandon LaFell 151 155 138 166 149 view
Alex Smith 128 157 140 187 150 view


Analysis

Potential diamonds in the rough: Sam Bradford, Alshon Jeffery, Kyle Rudolph, Austin Collie, Kendall Wright and Titus Young.

Potential burnouts: Daniel Thomas, Reuben Randle, James Starks, Vincent Brown, Carson Palmer and Greg Little.

And since I have nothing else to add, the fact the 49ers went 13-3 and Alex Smith barely cracked the top 150 doesn’t bode well for the fantasy forecasts of Michael Crabtree, Randy Moss or Mario Manningham.

2012 Fantasy Football Rankings: 151-200
  Ryan Fowler Joel Beall John Halpin Mike Harmon Fox Sports Fantasy Baseball FantasyPros Icon
Player Ryan
Fowler
Joel
Beall
John
Halpin
Mike
Harmon
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Brian Quick 172 150 152 142 151 view
Rashad Jennings 145 184 148 141 152 view
Bernard Scott 166 139 151 165 153 view
Jon Baldwin 120 154 175 173 154 view
Baltimore Ravens 161 176 159 126 155 view
Mike Tolbert 115 146 180 182 156 view
Chicago Bears 162 173 171 134 157 view
Leonard Hankerson 152 148 168 176 158 view
Coby Fleener 164 197 162 123 159 view
Pittsburgh Steelers 142 200 165 140 160 view
Mike Goodson 182 152 176 138 161 view
Davone Bess 175 164 147 162 162 view
Nate Burleson 174 147 153 175 163 view
Kendall Hunter 186 174 155 139 164 view
Isaiah Pead 183 161 191 121 165 view
Kellen Winslow 150 144 183 179 166 view
Heath Miller 169 194 146 151 167 view
Houston Texans 156 188 192 137 168 view
Philadelphia Eagles 195 170 166 144 169 view
Brandon Jacobs 185 158 137 200 170 view
Joe McKnight 117 170 193 171 view
Rashard Mendenhall 181 135 196 170 172 view
Delone Carter 184 156 142 173 view
Emmanuel Sanders 179 180 164 167 174 view
Jabar Gaffney 135 158 175 view
Green Bay Packers 196 171 169 160 176 view
Mark Sanchez 159 186 152 177 view
Greg Olsen 137 179 185 178 view
New York Jets 155 178 168 179 view
James Jones 178 166 160 180 view
Dallas Clark 165 143 181 view
Robert Turbin 188 193 130 182 view
Buffalo Bills 160 198 155 183 view
Danny Amendola 177 165 173 184 view
Stephen Hill 134 187 185 view
Evan Royster 187 182 156 186 view
Earl Bennett 193 179 157 187 view
Matt Cassel 149 184 188 view
Detroit Lions 197 175 163 189 view
Jacoby Ford 189 168 181 190 view
Randall Cobb 176 178 184 191 view
Golden Tate 157 190 192 view
Alex Green 195 163 191 193 view
Martellus Bennett 168 199 185 194 view
Tony Moeaki 173 183 198 195 view
David Nelson 192 177 194 192 196 view
Domenik Hixon 153 197 view
Ed Dickson 170 185 198 view
Ronnie Brown 156 199 view
Devery Henderson 194 191 178 200 view


Analysis

Final note: be careful when selecting defenses. My rule of thumb is using my second-to-last selection on a unit, letting other owners snatch up the supposed “superior” squads. Over the past eight seasons, top-5 defenses fail to repeat their performance in the following season more than 90 percent of the time. And avoid stashing two defensive crews on your roster, as you can always select a viable corps during your starter’s bye week.

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Tagged: Adrian Peterson, Tim Tebow, Lance Ball, C.J. Spiller, Falcons, Bills, Bears, Bengals, Browns, Cowboys, Broncos, Lions, Packers, Titans, Colts, Chiefs, Raiders, Rams, Dolphins, Vikings, Patriots, Saints, Giants, Jets, Eagles, 49ers, Seahawks, Buccaneers, Redskins, Panthers, Jaguars, Ravens, Cardinals, Steelers, Chargers, Texans, Michael Vick, Reggie Wayne, Peyton Manning, Tony Gonzalez, Randy Moss, Tom Brady, Santana Moss, Drew Brees, Steve Smith Sr., Jabar Gaffney, Adrian Peterson, Anquan Boldin, Jason Witten, Nate Burleson, Carson Palmer, Andre Johnson, Willis McGahee, Dallas Clark, Brandon Lloyd, Antonio Gates, Tony Romo, Matt Schaub, Devery Henderson, Larry Fitzgerald, Philip Rivers, Kellen Winslow, Ben Roethlisberger, Steven Jackson, Eli Manning, Michael Turner, Wes Welker, Ryan Fowler, Malcom Floyd, Aaron Rodgers, Roddy White, Heath Miller, Vincent Jackson, Frank Gore, Alex Smith, Ronnie Brown, Cedric Benson, Matt Cassel, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brandon Jacobs, Darren Sproles, Nate Washington, Lance Moore, Reggie Bush, Vernon Davis, Jay Cutler, Santonio Holmes, DeAngelo Williams, Greg Jennings, Maurice Jones-Drew, Marques Colston, Owen Daniels, Brandon Marshall, Domenik Hixon, Miles Austin, Fred Jackson, Ahmad Bradshaw, Brent Celek, Laurent Robinson, James Jones, Michael Bush, Calvin Johnson, Marshawn Lynch, Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meachem, Greg Olsen, Sidney Rice, Pierre Thomas, Jonathan Stewart, Joe Flacco, Felix Jones, Rashard Mendenhall, Dustin Keller, Jordy Nelson, Matt Forte, Fred Davis, DeSean Jackson, Ray Rice, Martellus Bennett, Matt Ryan, Darren McFadden, Pierre Garcon, Peyton Hillis, Jacob Tamme, Tim Hightower, Kevin Smith, Earl Bennett, Jamaal Charles, Jermichael Finley, Mario Manningham, Davone Bess, Mike Tolbert, Danny Amendola, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Rashad Jennings, Bernard Scott, Shonn Greene, Mike Wallace, Jared Cook, Mike Goodson, Austin Collie, Matthew Stafford, Mark Sanchez, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Michael Crabtree, Josh Freeman, Jeremy Maclin, Brandon Pettigrew, Percy Harvin, Donald Brown, Hakeem Nicks, Kenny Britt, Beanie Wells, LeSean McCoy, Arian Foster, Rob Gronkowski, Dez Bryant, Demaryius Thomas, Golden Tate, Antonio Brown, Ryan Mathews, Aaron Hernandez, Joe McKnight, Jahvid Best, Tony Moeaki, James Starks, Jimmy Graham, Ed Dickson, Eric Decker, Brandon LaFell, Ben Tate, Jacoby Ford, Emmanuel Sanders, Toby Gerhart, Sam Bradford, Jermaine Gresham, Mike Williams, Victor Cruz, LeGarrette Blount, David Nelson, Chris Johnson, Isaac Redman, Cam Newton, Mark Ingram, Julio Jones, Jon Baldwin, A.J. Green, Andy Dalton, Torrey Smith, Mikel Leshoure, Ryan Williams, Randall Cobb, Kyle Rudolph, Daniel Thomas, DeMarco Murray, Alex Green, Shane Vereen, Stevan Ridley, Titus Young, Vincent Brown, Leonard Hankerson, Greg Little, Jacquizz Rodgers, Delone Carter, Evan Royster, Kendall Hunter, Denarius Moore, Roy Helu Jr., Doug Baldwin, Doug Martin, Robert Griffin III, Michael Floyd, Kendall Wright, Justin Blackmon, Andrew Luck, David Wilson, Trent Richardson, Brian Quick, Coby Fleener, Isaiah Pead, Stephen Hill, Alshon Jeffery, Ronnie Hillman, Robert Griffin, Robert Turbin

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