You like that? Kirk Cousins has been incredibly solid all year long regardless of the opponent, but a matchup with Green Bay should lead to plenty of scoring opportunities. The Packers were just smacked around by the Titans, and it's clear that they are very beatable through the air. The Packers are ranked 29th in QB Rating allowed this year, and this feels like a potential shootout with Aaron Rodgers on the other side.
Anything less than 300 yards and multiple touchdowns would be a surprise in this spot. Vegas has Washington's point total at 26.5, and the Packers have allowed at least 30 points in four of their last five games. In Kirk we trust.
Jim Brown-USA TODAY SportsJim Brown
DeMarco Murray will total over 200 yards
DeMarco Murray has hit the 100-yard rushing mark in five of his last eight games, and he's been a big factor in the passing game as well. While this game may appear to set up as a passing game shootout, Tennessee will want to establish the run game and keep Andrew Luck off the field as long as possible.
After destroying a tough Green Bay run defense last week, Murray should gash a Colts defense that's 29th in Yards Per Carry allowed and last in the league in run-defense DVOA. With his toe injury seemingly behind him, Murray should rack up yards on the ground and in the pass game, where the Colts allow receivers out of the backfield plenty of space.
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Zach Miller will be the highest scoring TE
Alshon Jeffery is facing a PED suspension for the next four games, which puts Chicago's already shaky offense in a tough spot. While Cameron Meredith and Eddie Royal should take on bigger roles in Jeffery's absence, TE Zach Miller might see even more targets come his way. Jay Cutler is a QB who tends to lock in on his favorite receivers, and Miller has 17 combined targets over the last two weeks with Cutler back under center.
The matchup helps as well. The Giants have been hit pretty hard by opposing tight ends as of late, and it seems like there's a good chance the Bears will be playing from behind and needing to throw a lot. A score and double-digit receptions are in reach for Miller this week.
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Blake Bortles will throw for 350 yards
I'm not saying it will be pretty, because it rarely is with Blake Bortles, but a matchup with Detroit could turn into a shootout pretty quickly. The Lions are allowing opposing passers a whopping 112.4 QB rating this year, which is by far the worst number in the league. Opponents are completing 74 percent of their passes against Detroit, which bodes well for Bortles, who has at least 40 passing attempts in each of his last four games.
Bortles has thrown for over 320 yards three times this year, with garbage time treating him well. With Allen Robinson, Julius Thomas and the rest of Jacksonville's receiving corps having a clean bill of health, this is a great spot for Bortles to rack up the yards.
Maybe it's easy to pick on the rookie quarterback seeing his first real NFL action, but it would be shocking if Jared Goff didn't turn the ball over at least once in this game. Miami has been a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of getting sacks and interceptions, but based on what we saw from Goff in preseason, those should flow rather easily.
The top scoring defense almost always needs a touchdown return or special teams score to get that spot, and it's really hard to predict when those will happen. Still, with such a high ceiling and floor with the Rams only projected to score 19.25 by Vegas, the Dolphins are as good of a bet as any in Week 11.
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Colin Kaepernick will finish as a top-5 QB this week
The garbage stats will flow. The Patriots should have no problem getting up big against the 49ers, a team that can't stop the run even a little bit. While the Patriots will likely milk the clock, there will still be time for Colin Kaepernick to get his against a pass defense that has been gashed by the few solid quarterbacks they've played against this season.
Of course, you can't talk about Kaepernick without mentioning his rushing stats. Kaep racked up 11.5 FOX Sports fantasy points on the ground alone last week and has at least 55 rushing yards in three of his last four starts. If you're in need of a QB streamer this week, get him in your lineup.
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Latavius Murray will set a new career-high in rushing yards
Latavius Murray has been rolling since he came back from injury, and the Texans defense has been allowing big rushing days as of late. Without J.J. Watt, the Texans just don't have enough up front to stop teams who want to run, and with Brock Osweiller providing no threat whatsoever on the other side of the ball, everyone wants to run against the Texans.
Murray's career-high came last year against the Browns when he totaled 139 yards. Houston is 26th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, which should all lead to a big Monday night performance from Murray.