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Hammel leads list of early free agents
Here’s your very first 2013 installment of Free Agent Frenzy. We’re going to call this one the I Can’t ****ing Believe That Guy is Still Out There edition, since that’s what always happens in March. The masses forget about some useful players, and you get to swoop in before Opening Day to rescue them.
Also, please note that it’s perfectly OK to make roster moves before the season starts. It doesn’t mean you’re a failure or an idiot, or that a poor draft has sentenced you to six months of fantasy hell. You can always upgrade, and it’s better to start now before the pickings get slim.
Finally, as in past seasons, no player will be mentioned in this space more than once in a four-week span, because we don’t want to beat you over the head all year long about, say, Jason Hammel. Let’s get going!
Martin’s batting average was pretty bad as a Yankee – he hit .237 in 2011 and .211 last season. However, his BABIPs in those seasons (.252 and .222) took a turn toward the unlucky, and should improve. He also regained his home run power with 39 homers in two years, and while some of that was related to a homer-friendly ballpark, he hit better as well. Assuming decent power and an improved BA from Martin, you could do worse for a second catcher.
Carter is expected to bat third for the rebuilding Astros, and he carries 1B/OF fantasy eligibility. He strikes out a lot – like really a LOT – but has 30-homer potential and will play home games in a park friendly to righthanded power hitters. Can your team carry a .230 batting average? If so, Carter’s slugging can help.
With prospect Nolan Arenado having been shipped to Triple A, Nelson will start at third base for the Rockies, and his 2B/3B eligibility is a nice bonus for fantasy owners. As often happens with guys on this team, the ballpark is more attractive than the player. For as long as he plays – and we don’t know how long that will be – look for Nelson to provide a .280 BA with decent power. His bat plays better as a second baseman for fantasy purposes.
Third base: Josh Donaldson, A’s (owned in 0.3 percent of FOXSports.com leagues)
Donaldson doesn’t bring the nifty catcher eligibility he had at this time last year, but even as a third baseman he’s not a bad free-agent fill-in. In 274 at bats with the A’s in 2012, Donaldson batted .241 with nine home runs, and he stole nine bases between Triple A and the majors. How do 15 homers and 10 steals sound to you? Not bad, right?
Whooooooooosh! Cabrera can’t hit – he has a .240 batting average with a .321 OBP in 1,137 big-league plate appearances – so he’ll always been in danger of losing his job. But when he plays, he’s one of the speediest demons around. Cabrera swiped 59 bases between Triple A and the majors last season, including 26 is his final 47 games with the Padres. Do you have Hanley Ramirez stuck on the DL for a while? Grab Cabrera and rack up some steals in his absence. If he plays 150 games, he might lead the majors in stolen bases.
The good thing about mediocre players on bad teams is that they get plenty of playing time. Ruggiano will bat in the heart of the Marlins’ order, and probably even spend some time in the cleanup spot. He won’t hit .313 again – heck, he might bat .250 or .260 with all those strikeouts - but there’s no reason why he can’t hit 15 homers and steal 15 bases with regular playing time. He’s not sexy, but he’ll be productive.
Starting pitcher: Jason Hammel, Orioles (owned in 8 percent of FOXSports.com leagues)
My favorite underappreciated fantasy pitcher! I think people are avoiding Hammel because of his low 2012 innings total that was related to a knee injury, and their hesitance means opportunity for you. Hammel was terrific last season, whiffing almost a batter per inning and inducing an elite percentage of ground balls while posting a 3.43 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 118 innings. Ron Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster says that Hammel’s upside is a 3.25 ERA with 200 strikeouts, and your humble FOXSports.com analyst concurs. He’s available in NINETY-TWO PERCENT OF LEAGUES, folks. Get him while you still can.
As noted in a March 28 blog post following Bruce Rondon’s demotion, Coke won’t become the Tigers’ full-time closer, but as long as there’s a committee, he’ll own the lefthanded side of it. I’m a big proponent of playing the free-agent game for saves all year long, and Coke is a nice early-season option to own while we wait for Jim Leyland to pick a winner.
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