Pre-Draft Player Rankings

2 Miguel Cabrera (Det - 1B, 3B, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 2.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 1B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 148 555 103 44 137 3 .348
2014 Projections 160 589 103 38 122 2 .338
3 Year Average 157 583 108 39 127 3 .340
Outlook: In what has become the norm, Cabrera put together another season for the ages in 2013, besting even his 2012 Triple Crown campaign. Cabrera finished last season hitting .348/.442/.636 with 44 homers, 137 RBI and 103 runs. His 1.078 OPS was easily a career best as he paced the rest of the majors by a wide margin in the category. His plate discipline improved dramatically, bouncing back from a dip in walk rate during the 2012 season (9.8 percent), to 13.8 percent last year. And the scary part is Miggy’s season could have been even better if not for a lingering groin injury, which sapped his production at the plate in September and during the postseason. After the Tigers were ousted from the playoffs, Cabrera was diagnosed with a groin tear. He underwent surgery in late October to repair the injury, but is fully expected to be ready for spring training. To help prevent future injury risk, the Tigers are expected to slide Cabrera back over to first base following the trade of Prince Fielder to Texas in November. At age 30, Cabrera is still in the prime of his career. Barring an unforeseen setback, fantasy owners will once again want to target Cabrera near the top of the draft.
17 Adrian Beltre (Tex - 3B, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 18.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 161 631 88 30 92 1 .315
2014 Projections 136 535 76 29 80 0 .299
3 Year Average 147 574 88 33 100 1 .312
Outlook: Beltre enjoyed another productive season, managing to play through a litany of injuries to supply 30-plus homers for the fourth straight campaign while maintaining the high average that has been a hallmark for him since he left Seattle. A poor September (.262/.322/.364) put a drag on his overall numbers, but there's no reason to think that he won't remain near the top of the third base rankings for the next year or two, as long as he can stay healthy.
21 David Wright (NYM - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 25.4
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 112 430 63 18 58 17 .307
2014 Projections 125 464 71 16 62 14 .280
3 Year Average 123 467 71 18 71 15 .291
Outlook: Wright, for the second time in three years, had an injury wreak havoc with his season. This time, it was a strained right hamstring that sidelined him from the beginning of August for seven weeks. Wright had a big first half, starting the All-Star Game at Citi Field, and looked to be on pace for another 20-plus HR, 90-plus RBI and possible 30-steal campaign before the injury. He only saw a handful of games when returned, so his overall numbers are skewed by the fact that he only played in 112 contests. Wright's walk, strikeout and contact rates along with his BABIP were pretty close to his 2012 campaign, while his ISO power spiked for the second straight season. He should once again be one of the top third basemen off the board in fantasy drafts.
22 Evan Longoria (TB - 3B, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 24.1
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 160 614 91 32 88 1 .269
2014 Projections 126 469 71 27 76 2 .258
3 Year Average 122 457 69 27 81 2 .265
Outlook: After an injury-shortened campaign in 2012, Longoria proved in 2013 what he can bring to the Rays' offense. While a .269 batting average may not seem overly impressive, he posted an .842 OPS and had the third 30-homer season of his career. His RBI total fell to 88 and his strikeout rate rose to 23.4%, but he managed to play in a career-high 160 games. He brings big power to the middle of the order for the Rays and was a finalist for a Gold Glove Award for his prowess defensively. The dip in RBI production is likely not too concerning, since he hit .284/.375/.453 with runners on base. Longoria will enter his age-28 season as an elite option at the hot corner. If he remains healthy, the developing power talent of Wil Myers near him in the lineup will only help him see better pitches to hit. He is a solid bet most seasons to hit 30 home runs with 100 RBI.
54 Ryan Zimmerman (Was - 3B, LF)
DL15
ADP: 59.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 147 568 84 26 79 6 .275
2014 Projections 132 512 69 20 67 4 .273
3 Year Average 131 514 76 21 74 5 .280
Outlook: For a guy whose final numbers always seem fairly consistent, Zimmerman is an amazingly streaky player. This time around, he limped into September with just 15 home runs and concerns that his shoulder issues might finally have sapped his power, but those concerns vanished after an 11-homer barrage to close out the season. His 79 RBI were the lowest total of his career, but that was as much due to the offense around him as his own early-season struggles. If you roster Zimmerman, odds are good that at some point he'll seem like a wasted investment, and at some point he'll be the hottest hitter in the majors.
60 Josh Donaldson (Oak - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 66.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 158 579 89 24 93 5 .301
2014 Projections 111 419 63 16 57 4 .286
3 Year Average 116 426 62 16 63 4 .282
Outlook: Donaldson was one of the breakout stars in all of baseball last year, hitting .301 with 24 homers and 93 RBI, finishing fourth in the AL MVP race and serving as the MVP for many fantasy owners who drafted him very late or added him early in the season as a free agent. Donaldson came on strong at the end of 2012 (a second-half OPS of .844) and carried that success into 2013. He was strong all season and only had one month (July) where he slumped, and he went on to finish the season in the top 10 in the AL in slugging, on-base percentage and OPS. Donaldson will hit in the middle of the order for the A's in 2014 and should be one of the top offensive third basemen in the league. For those who think last year was a fluke, thank them for passing on Donaldson, grab him in your league, and enjoy the production.
61 Matt Carpenter (StL - 2B, 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 56.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 157 626 126 11 78 3 .318
2014 Projections 84 313 61 6 43 1 .339
3 Year Average 93 312 57 6 41 1 .308
Outlook: The Cardinals got a lot more than they were expecting from Carpenter when the 28-year-old utility man excelled in his first year at second base, hitting .318 in 717 plate appearances. He's not a prototypical leadoff hitter in that he does not offer great speed, but most of his advanced stats suggest that his 2013 season was not a fluke. As long as he's hitting near the top of the Cardinals' stacked lineup, he should be good for 100-plus runs again in 2014. Even with a move to third base following the trade of David Freese to Anaheim, Carpenter will offer fantasy owners flexibility by qualifying at second base as well this season.
63 Carlos Santana (Cle - C, 1B, 3B, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 62.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 154 541 75 20 74 3 .268
2014 Projections 154 566 73 18 66 3 .228
3 Year Average 151 533 77 22 76 4 .253
Outlook: Santana's gradual move from behind the plate was accelerated with the development of Yan Gomes, but he still figures to see enough action behind the plate to qualify in most formats for at least a few more years. The power he flashed back in 2011 may have been his peak, but he's still driving in and scoring runs at a nice clip for a catcher thanks to his hold on a place in the heart of the Cleveland lineup. Santana was reportedly unhappy about yielding a significant share of time behind the plate, but the move should help him avoid the bumps and bruises that tend to mount with heavy use at the position, while also boosting his offensive numbers. Look for his playing time to come in the form of a rotation between catcher, first base and DH again in 2014.
87 Pedro Alvarez (Pit - 3B)
DTD
ADP: 91.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 152 558 70 36 100 2 .233
2014 Projections 119 457 53 23 66 1 .230
3 Year Average 125 439 51 23 68 1 .230
Outlook: With 36 homers, Alvarez became the first Pirate to lead the NL in home runs since Willie Stargell smacked 44 in 1973. Alvarez tied Arizona's Paul Goldschmidt for that honor and also drove in 100 runs for the first time. The third baseman offers fantasy owners a predictable skillset: big-time pop, huge strikeout totals (186 in 2013, most in the NL), low batting average (.233 in 558 at-bats) and dependable health (149 and 152 games played the last two seasons). The surprisingly nimble Alvarez enters his age-27 season in 2014, and it wouldn't be shocking to see him flirt with .250 with some more lucky bounces. He's one of the streakiest players in the league, but at the end of the day he boasts reliable power numbers at a shallow position.
108 Martin Prado (Ari - 3B, 2B, LF)
Healthy
ADP: 102.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 155 609 70 14 82 3 .282
2014 Projections 159 624 73 12 68 7 .277
3 Year Average 147 592 72 12 70 8 .282
Outlook: Prado ended up having a nice season in Arizona following the trade that sent Justin Upton to Atlanta. He had a rough first half, but really came on late in the season, hitting .374 in August. There is talk of a positional change for Prado, possibly to make room for Matt Davidson at third, but his multiple position eligibility should remain, making him very valuable. Regardless of how the D-Backs decide to make all of the pieces fit, Prado should see an everyday supply of at-bats again in 2014.
109 Manny Machado (Bal - 3B)
DTD
ADP: 116.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 156 667 88 14 71 6 .283
2014 Projections 108 440 53 10 46 4 .270
3 Year Average 104 429 56 10 48 4 .280
Outlook: It was thought that Machado would take time to mature as a hitter, but instead he hit .310 in the first half and was on pace to break the MLB record for doubles. He's still not a finished product as shown with his 4.1% walk rate, a clear sign that Machado needs to develop more patience at the plate. Machado suffered an ugly knee injury in the final week of the season and needed surgery to repair a torn medial patellar ligament. Although he had the procedure in mid-October and there was no reported damage to his ACL or MCL, Machado is facing a six-month rehab window. As a result, he is in danger of missing Opening Day. Once Machado is ready to take the field again, he will be one of the more attractive options at third base, and over the next few years some of those doubles should begin to turn into home runs as he reaches his power peak.
112 Kyle Seager (Sea - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 133.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 160 615 79 22 69 9 .260
2014 Projections 122 471 50 14 52 8 .251
3 Year Average 123 464 54 15 56 8 .259
Outlook: Seager continues to be one of the few positives on the roster and the lone Mariners youngster without major questions dogging him. He proved that 2012 was no fluke by posting remarkably similar stats last year across the board. What's more, he improved his walk rate while his strikeout and contact rates remained strong. Seager played 106 consecutive games at one point, which might have tired him down the stretch, as he slumped in the last six weeks of the season with a .181 average and a .558 OPS. He still finished among the better AL third basemen –- first in steals, fourth in doubles, fifth in homers, fifth in OPS, fifth in ISO. The only place he took a step back was in RBI, with a near 20-run drop thanks to the impotent bats surrounding him in the lineup. After two solid years, it wouldn't surprise if Seager took another step this season.
131 Aramis Ramirez (Mil - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 152.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 92 304 43 12 49 0 .283
2014 Projections 125 479 65 20 74 3 .286
3 Year Average 130 480 72 22 82 3 .298
Outlook: Injuries limited Ramirez to 92 games and sapped his power last season, as he finished with his second lowest slugging percentage in a season since 2003. Ramirez should be healthy to begin 2014 however, and he figures to hit out of the cleanup spot in the order. Don’t be surprised if the Brewers opt to sit him more often than most regulars in order to keep him in the lineup all season.
137 Brett Lawrie (Tor - 3B, 2B)
DL15
ADP: 172.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 107 401 41 11 46 9 .254
2014 Projections 89 350 45 10 39 9 .277
3 Year Average 92 348 47 10 40 10 .270
Outlook: While he's mostly lauded for his work with the glove, Lawrie has also shown signs that he can become a very good major league hitter. His .254/.315/.397 slash line in 2013 wasn't particularly impressive, but he continues to make contact (15.4% strikeout rate) and draw a decent number of walks (6.8% walk rate). More disappointing than anything else is the fact that he's hit only 11 home runs in each of the last two seasons, after smashing nine in just 171 plate appearances in 2011. Lawrie still has a chance to find that power, and 20-plus homers would really take his game to the next level. As is, he's one of the better defensive third basemen in the league, with a good enough bat to easily justify a starting spot. There's some serious breakout potential here, and it doesn't hurt that Lawrie will continue to slot into a strong Toronto lineup.
138 Chase Headley (NYY - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 182.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 141 520 59 13 50 8 .250
2014 Projections 134 495 64 15 66 12 .281
3 Year Average 138 502 66 16 70 13 .275
Outlook: After driving in an NL-leading 115 RBI in 2012, Headley had a tough act to follow, and a fractured thumb sustained late in spring training didn't exactly aid in realizing similar output, as his season debut was delayed until Apr. 17. Morever, his year of misery concluded with news of a torn meniscus in his left knee, which had apparently been bothering him since March. In between, there were some positives, including a second half in which he slashed .280/.371/.458, but certain season-long marks, namely a wOBA (.330) and HR/FB rate (10.9 percent), were in line with his career numbers. If he enters 2014 with a fully healthy knee, there's no reason to believe he can't reach base more regularly or steal double-digit bases for the fifth time in six seasons, with ordinary power for a corner infielder.
143 Pablo Sandoval (SF - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 163.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 141 525 52 14 79 0 .278
2014 Projections 120 465 54 15 60 1 .275
3 Year Average 122 449 55 16 71 1 .292
Outlook: Sandoval had a relatively healthy year (141 games) in 2013 considering he missed at least 45 games in both 2011 and 2012. He turned in a fairly useful campaign at a deep position, with 14 homers, 79 RBI, a 115 wRC+, and a .278/.341/.417 line. Weight was an issue for Sandoval, as he entered spring training overweight yet again. Despite the weight issues, he still managed to produce, but that may not be the case down the road. He should be motivated to get into playing shape this upcoming season, considering 2014 will be a contract year for the switch-hitting third baseman. All of Sandoval's peripherals were right in line with his career averages, so it would be safe to assume similar production in 2014 as long as he stays healthy and in shape.
182 Xander Bogaerts (Bos - SS, 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 182.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 18 44 7 1 5 1 .250
2014 Projections 125 482 75 13 47 23 .278
3 Year Average 18 44 7 1 5 1 .250
Outlook: Bogaerts played at three levels of the organization in 2013, including the final few months in Boston, where he earned regular playing time in the playoffs and World Series. He's the unquestioned top prospect in the organization and will have a full-time role when the upcoming campaign opens. Up until last season, Bogaerts was exclusively a shortstop, but the Red Sox had him train at third base next to Stephen Drew. It's presumed that he'll be the everyday shortstop with Drew out of the picture this year, though the Red Sox are interested in adding an infielder to the left side. His growth as a hitter in 2013 was displayed by increased patience and a knack for making in-game adjustments at the plate. The one knock on Bogaerts as a hitter was his aggressiveness, but he incorporated patience as part of his hitting plan last season, boosting his walk rate from 0.34 per game in 2012 to last year's 0.53. As we saw in the postseason, he drew some big walks in Boston's World Series run.
185 Nolan Arenado (Col - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 205.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 133 486 49 10 52 2 .267
2014 Projections 133 541 56 12 58 2 .285
3 Year Average 133 486 49 10 52 2 .267
Outlook: Arenado got the call to the big leagues in late April and never looked back, holding down the everyday job at third base while delivering a sterling 2.7 WAR mark. Much of that value derived from his defense, as Arenado disputed earlier scouting reports suggesting he was slow-footed by finishing second among NL third basemen in UZR and accruing a number of highlight-reel plays on his way to a Gold Glove Award. Arenado’s work in the batter’s box wasn’t quite as sublime as his play in the field, but the 22-year-old acquitted himself well with a .267/.301/.405 line. Prior to reaching the majors, Arenado was universally recognized as one of the best hitting prospects in all of baseball, making further improvement from last season’s offensive marks a relatively safe assumption. As he matures, Arenado figures to add further power, while the hitting environment of Coors Field should allow him to maintain a consistently high batting average. A breakout might not fully metastasize next season, but Arenado should at least get things trending in that direction.
194 Chris Johnson (Atl - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 202.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 142 514 54 12 68 0 .321
2014 Projections 116 464 43 10 61 2 .289
3 Year Average 128 460 45 11 62 2 .287
Outlook: Johnson began the 2013 season in a platoon with Juan Francisco, but took over as the everyday third baseman after Francisco was designated for assignment in late May. He rewarded the Braves for their trust, finishing with the second-best batting average in the National League (.321) while smacking 12 home runs and 34 doubles. The numbers were surprising, but even more so when looking at his advanced statistics, as Johnson posted a rather paltry .136 ISO, and his contact rate dipped slightly. His walks were also down, as he drew only 29 in 514 at-bats, and his .394 BABIP jumps out as an anomaly. Johnson did, however, hit lefties with great consistency (.383 average), after struggling against southpaws in 2012 (.245 average). Still, a regression at the dish seems inevitable, but the hot corner is his, and he could move up to the five-hole in the batting order to fill the void left by the departure of Brian McCann.
210 Todd Frazier (Cin - 3B, 1B)
Healthy
ADP: 218.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 1B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 150 531 63 19 73 6 .234
2014 Projections 41 105 13 4 13 1 .238
3 Year Average 106 355 45 15 52 3 .248
Outlook: Some regression was expected in Frazier's stat line in his second full season in the big leagues, but instead the pendulum fully swung from lucky to unlucky, as his BABIP dropped from .320 down to .271. But bad luck can't fully explain Frazier's drop-off, as he continued to have a poor contact rate (76%) and his ISO dropped from .225 down to .173. To contend in 2014, the Reds need more from their right-handed hitters, and Frazier in particular. He may never exceed his 2012 rate stats, but he needs to approach them to be viable beyond this season.
211 Will Middlebrooks (Bos - 3B)
DL15
ADP: 213.1
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 94 348 41 17 49 3 .227
2014 Projections 78 314 38 15 48 3 .255
3 Year Average 84 308 38 16 52 4 .253
Outlook: Middlebrooks spent portions of the 2013 season as the starting third baseman, but lost the job twice. He hit poorly out of the gate, lost the starting job and spent the summer in Pawtucket. Upon his return in August, he hit better but was replaced in the postseason by Xander Bogaerts. When all was said and done, Middlebrooks slashed .227/.271/.425 -- not very good. But he did flash long-ball power, bashing 17 homers in 374 at-bats. It could be the broken wrist that ended his 2012 rookie season impacted his swing, particularly early on. He wouldn't be the only player in MLB to return slowly from a wrist injury. Middlebrooks was a better looking hitter in the second half, though he still struck out nearly five times as much as he walked and that on-base percentage is ugly. If Bogaerts takes over the starting shortstop job, Middlebrooks will start at third base. If the Red Sox feel Bogaerts isn't ready and add a veteran shortstop, Middlebrooks' role is less clear.
217 Anthony Rendon (Was - 2B, 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 218.5
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 98 351 40 7 35 1 .265
2014 Projections 125 476 56 11 47 1 .286
3 Year Average 98 351 40 7 35 1 .265
Outlook: As with Bryce Harper before him, the Nationals didn't require much convincing to find a regular spot for Rendon on the major league roster, but the results were far less impressive. He doesn't have Harper's upside (who does?) but at second base Rendon doesn't have to break any records to have fantasy value. That .319/.461/.603 Double-A line last year looks mighty fine, but he's more of a line drive machine than a middle-of-the-order monster and realistically the batting average is the only one of those numbers that might be sustainable in the majors.
229 David Freese (LAA - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 217.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 138 462 53 9 60 1 .262
2014 Projections 116 446 53 12 58 1 .269
3 Year Average 126 432 55 13 65 2 .282
Outlook: Freese struggled in his final season with the Cardinals, seeing his numbers come down across the board, likely the result of a normalization of his BABIP (.320) thanks to a very groundball-heavy profile (55.2% groundball rate). Over his five-year big league career, Freese has been increasingly prone to pounding pitches into the ground, which understandably has taken a toll on the power he can provide. After being traded to the Angels during the offseason, he'll have minimal competition for playing time in Orange County, but his new home park doesn't offer much in terms of an upgraded run environment. Fortunately, he may be able to pile up useful counting stats if the Angels manage to get rebound efforts from Albert Pujols and Josh Hamilton in front of Freese in the batting order.
238 Mike Moustakas (KC - 3B)
Healthy
ADP: 216.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 136 472 42 12 42 2 .233
2014 Projections 118 463 46 12 47 3 .251
3 Year Average 125 458 46 12 48 3 .245
Outlook: After breaking out with 20 home runs in 2012, there were lofty expectations for the Royals' young corner man heading into the 2014 season. He spent the offseason altering his approach at the plate, hoping to be more aggressive and hit more line drives and fewer ground balls, but ultimately, he overcompensated and spent the first month of the season hitting weak pop-ups to infielders. It took him to almost the end of June before he fixed his issues and by then his power had diminished to the point where he had just six home runs at the All Star break. Moustakas continued to work and made some slight improvements, but in the end, he finished the season batting just .233 with 12 home runs and 44 RBI. The Royals are nowhere near giving up on this 25-year old and will give him ample opportunity to return to his 20-home form from 2012. His struggles from last year will easily keep his 2014 draft position low, so look for him as a corner infielder late and hope that his corrected mechanics do the trick.
259 Kelly Johnson (NYY - LF, 1B, 2B, 3B)
DTD
ADP: 218.1
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 3B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 118 366 41 16 52 7 .235
2014 Projections 130 497 65 19 58 12 .233
3 Year Average 136 473 59 18 55 12 .226
Outlook: Johnson put together a rollar coaster season of hot and cold at the plate. After a slow start to the season, he was fantastic in May, hitting .330 with a 1.022 OPS in 25 games that included seven of his 16 home runs on the season and 26 RBI. He cooled off in June before heating up again in July and then seeing his role diminish toward the end of the season. He offers solid power and hits left-handers quite well as a left-handed bat. He offers versatility defensively with his ability to play left field as well as multiple infield spots. His days as an everyday starter may be over, but he offers solid pop in the right situations and matchups, and he'll be a top utillity man for the Yankees this year.
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