Pre-Draft Player Rankings

8 Hanley Ramirez (LAD - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 10.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 86 304 62 20 57 10 .345
2014 Projections 109 418 63 17 56 16 .263
3 Year Average 112 415 65 18 65 17 .275
Outlook: A variety of injuries limited Ramirez to 86 games in 2013, but when healthy, he performed like an MVP candidate. Ramirez batted .345/.402/.638 with 20 home runs and 10 stolen bases in just 304 at-bats. This came after he hit just .243 and .257 the preceding two seasons, so the bat is back, but will his health be there in 2014? If you buy into the whole "guys perform better in contract years," Ramirez is your guy in 2014, as he's scheduled to hit free agency after the season. At the very least, the lineup around him in Los Angeles provides an excellent supporting cast to help him pile up counting stats.
13 Troy Tulowitzki (Col - SS)
DL60
ADP: 14.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 126 446 72 25 82 1 .312
2014 Projections 106 402 64 20 68 3 .299
3 Year Average 105 388 62 21 71 4 .304
Outlook: After sustaining a season-ending groin injury one year earlier, Tulowitzki came out of spring training looking like the MVP candidate of old, batting .347/.414/.639 with 16 homers and 51 RBI in his first 60 games. However, it was in Game 61 where things inevitably turned sour, as Tulowitzki suffered a broken rib while making a diving stop and missed a full month of action. Tulowitzki would come back to hit a more modest but still satisfying .277/.369/.466 in his remaining 65 contests, but it ultimately left fantasy owners wondering just how spectacular his final totals might have been if not for the injury. Those “what ifs” have unfortunately occurred far too often for Tulowitzki, who has missed 35 or more games in four of the past six seasons. The injuries have rendered the former stolen base threat a station-to-station baserunner at this stage in his career, but when healthy, Tulowitzki’s four-category production makes him the class of his position in the fantasy realm. Entering his age-29 season, Tulowitzki still offers first-round upside in nearly any format, but he’s obviously not someone for the risk-averse to target.
30 Jose Reyes (Tor - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 34.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 93 382 58 10 37 15 .296
2014 Projections 140 548 85 9 46 29 .305
3 Year Average 126 520 82 9 46 31 .306
Outlook: Reyes turned in a solid .296/.353/.427 line in his first season with the Blue Jays, but was limited to just 419 plate appearances because of injuries. An early-season ankle injury landed him on the 60-day DL, and Reyes never seemed to get back to 100 percent, finishing with just 15 stolen bases. Still one of the best offensive shortstops in the game, his health is as much of a concern now as ever. Fortunately, Reyes ended the season without any injuries, and he'll have the entire offseason to rest his ankle. Assuming he stays healthy, Reyes will almost certainly be one of the league's most productive shortstops again in 2014.
40 Ian Desmond (Was - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 46.0
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 158 600 77 20 80 21 .280
2014 Projections 145 573 71 16 60 23 .264
3 Year Average 147 566 71 18 67 22 .274
Outlook: Desmond put together his second straight 20-20 season, cementing his spot among the elite fantasy options at shortstop. His high strikeout rate makes his ability to sustain a useful batting average questionable, but after Desmond hit .280 or better in back-to-back years, most owners should be comfortable taking that risk. Desmond is still young, athletic, and he hasn't been injury-prone, while he is capable of contributing in all five major categories. What more could you want?
42 Jean Segura (Mil - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 50.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 146 588 74 12 49 44 .294
2014 Projections 95 383 52 7 33 29 .313
3 Year Average 96 370 46 6 32 26 .286
Outlook: Segura began hitting late in the 2012 season and didn’t look back, tearing up the Arizona Fall League and posting a .294 batting average in his first full major league season. Segura earned an All-Star berth by posting an .850 OPS in the first half, but he hit the dreaded Rookie Wall after the break, posting an unsightly .583 OPS. Despite the late-season struggles, Segura still managed to reach double digits in all three extra-base hit categories, and his stolen base total ranked fourth in all of baseball. Segura’s stamina should improve in his second season, and he will be among the top options at the shortstop position.
66 Elvis Andrus (Tex - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 76.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 156 620 91 4 67 42 .271
2014 Projections 158 615 91 3 55 29 .273
3 Year Average 155 612 91 4 63 33 .279
Outlook: Andrus had his worst year at the plate since 2010, though a career-high 42 stolen bases took some sting out of his .271/.328/.331 line. He was much better after the All-Star break, however, largely fueled by a BABIP normalization from an unlucky first half. The trade of Ian Kinsler keeps Andrus in Texas for the long haul, or at least another year or two until Rougned Odor might be ready. He'll become a $15 million player starting in 2015, so Texas would like to see some advancement at the plate in what's been a pretty flat career trajectory thus far.
80 Everth Cabrera (SD - SS)
DL15
ADP: 98.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 95 381 54 4 31 37 .283
2014 Projections 124 475 66 3 34 53 .272
3 Year Average 71 262 35 2 18 28 .263
Outlook: Cabrera's season was juxtaposed by his first All-Star appearance and a 50-game ban for his association with the Biogenesis Clinic. His continued emergence as one of the game's top basestealers (37-for-49 on the basepaths) was supplemented by a favorable batting line (.283/.355/.381 in 381 at-bats) for the first time, raising logical questions as to whether he can uphold his new standard. The jump can be explained by striking out far less in 2013 (15.9 percent) than one year prior (24.5), which, if sustained, ensures his status as one of the preeminent shortstop options in fantasy, despite the lack of any presumed power (just nine long balls in 1,376 career at-bats).
90 Ben Zobrist (TB - 2B, SS, LF, RF)
Healthy
ADP: 84.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 157 612 77 12 71 11 .275
2014 Projections 161 597 87 17 73 15 .258
3 Year Average 157 587 88 17 79 15 .271
Outlook: The Rays may shuffle pieces around the field with frequency, but the one constant fixture in the lineup is Zobrist. Though he bounced around in some matchups, the switch-hitter mostly played second base in 2013 for a total of 117 starts and was a finalist for the Gold Glove Award at the keystone position. He hit .275/.354/.402 with 12 home runs and 71 RBI and was selected to the All-Star Game. His stolen base total dipped to 11, but his 14 attempts were his lowest total since 2008. He remains the ultimate utility man who can play almost any position in the infield or outfield, which adds to his fantasy value as well. He cut down his strikeout rate, though his power numbers decreased also. Despite the decreases in some categories, he remains a well-rounded offensive player who is durable and logs a high volume of at-bats in the Rays' offense. He is a mainstay in the top few spots of the batting order, and with Evan Longoria and Wil Myers expected to bat nearby, Zobrist could see an increase in his run production. He has great value at second base for fantasy teams in 2014 with his consistent balance of power, speed, and versatility.
104 Starlin Castro (ChC - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 129.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 161 666 59 10 44 9 .245
2014 Projections 162 660 74 11 58 17 .274
3 Year Average 160 662 76 11 63 19 .278
Outlook: Castro led the National League with 666 at-bats last year, and the rest of his numbers were just as evil. Despite reaching base more than 200 times, he tallied only 59 runs and 44 RBI – abysmal totals relative to the high workload. The 30:129 BB:K ratio is unacceptable for any hitter, but it's even more egregious when you consider that Castro is supposed to be one of the offensive leaders of the team and that he only hit 10 home runs. He turns 24 right before the beginning of the season, so he is still young enough to turn it around – he certainly has the talent to do so – but if he doesn't make huge strides in 2014 it may be time to put the “bust” label on him for good and give his starting job to uber-prospect Javier Baez.
130 Asdrubal Cabrera (Was - SS, 2B)
Healthy
ADP: 151.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 136 508 66 14 64 9 .242
2014 Projections 146 572 72 18 69 12 .267
3 Year Average 143 556 74 18 75 12 .263
Outlook: Cabrera's offensive slide continued again last season, as he hit just .242 with 14 homers, after dealing with nagging back, wrist and quadriceps injuries. He'll make $10 million in 2014 and is getting to the point where the Indians might decide to move him in a trade, if they think some of their middle-infield prospects are ready. Cabrera still offers above-average power from the shortstop spot but needs to turn around the downward trend. By all indications, he'll return as the Opening Day shortstop for Cleveland in 2014, but it's becoming easier to wonder if 2011 will go down as the most productive season of his career.
133 Alexei Ramirez (CWS - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 172.4
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 158 637 68 6 48 30 .284
2014 Projections 44 118 13 1 12 5 .280
3 Year Average 158 615 69 10 64 19 .273
Outlook: Where has Ramirez's power gone? He averaged 17 home runs over the first four years of his career, but Ramirez hit six in 2013, and he suffered a four-month power outage at one point. Fortunately, he did not leave fantasy owners completely high and dry, as his 30 steals were both a career high and the second most for any AL shortstop. The high steal total also suggests his body is still OK even as he enters his age-32 season, and there is some hope that some of his 39 doubles will make it over the wall in 2014. He has also been remarkably durable, missing a total of 12 games over the past three seasons. Ramirez enters the year as the White Sox's starting shortstop, and he should be a candidate to hit second in the team's rebuilding lineup.
135 J.J. Hardy (Bal - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 144.9
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 159 601 66 25 76 2 .263
2014 Projections 148 591 74 25 64 0 .247
3 Year Average 149 597 76 26 75 1 .256
Outlook: Hardy earned his second consecutive Gold Glove, tied for the home run lead at his position and pushed his batting average back in line with his career numbers. An 11.3% strikeout rate was his best mark since his rookie year, which may have aided in his effort to raise his average. Hardy has been a savior since being acquired by the Orioles three years ago and is at the height of his career. Free agency awaits at the end of the 2014 season, and he figures to cash in. The Orioles have several key players with expiring contracts over the next two years, and Hardy could be a trade target, if the team acknowledges that it cannot sign him to a long-term deal. Under that scenario, Manny Machado could potentially move back from third base to shortstop.
140 Andrelton Simmons (Atl - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 170.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 157 606 76 17 59 6 .248
2014 Projections 98 389 44 10 37 3 .260
3 Year Average 103 386 46 10 39 4 .256
Outlook: While establishing himself as an elite defensive shortstop in 2013, Simmons also disappointed somewhat at the dish, at least in real life. He posted just a .282 OBP and a .105 ISO over the first half of the season, and eventually lost his job as leadoff man for the Braves. The move down the batting order predictably helped his power numbers, as Simmons went on to post a .472 slugging percentage after the All-Star break, but he still finished the year with an OBP below .300. Fantasy owners didn't have quite as much to complain about, as Simmons smacked 17 homers and scored 76 runs, fourth-most among all shortstops. However, looking ahead to 2014, Simmons figures to see fewer scoring chances while near the bottom of the order, but his .247 BABIP seems likely to rise.
171 Jimmy Rollins (Phi - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 197.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 160 600 65 6 39 22 .252
2014 Projections 141 546 71 13 48 26 .247
3 Year Average 153 600 85 15 57 27 .257
Outlook: Rollins had a down year at the plate in 2013. His batting average held steady from 2012, but his home-run total plummeted from 23 in 2012 to just six last season. He also swiped eight fewer bags. The 35-year-old is clearly beginning his decline, but he can still have value provided that expectations are adjusted to the new reality. Rollins is unlikely to hit 20 home runs in a season again, but he can still reach double-digits if his home run/flyball rate can bounce back a bit from 3.0 percent last season, which was a career low. He remains aggressive enough on the basepaths that he will reach double digits in steals, and Rollins is also likely to remain somewhere near the top of the Phillies' lineup, which will help his runs scored total.
180 Jed Lowrie (Oak - SS, 2B)
DL15
ADP: 175.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 154 603 80 15 75 1 .290
2014 Projections 108 415 51 11 45 1 .258
3 Year Average 113 417 54 12 51 1 .269
Outlook: Oakland acquired Lowrie in an offseason trade with the Astros. The deal paid immediate benefits for the A's as Lowrie turned in his first full healthy season in the majors, hitting .290 with 15 homers. Lowrie's .319 BABIP topped his career average, so his average may dip some in 2014, but Lowrie provides excellent pop from a middle-infield spot and will continue to be productive for the A's and fantasy squads as long as he can avoid the injuries that have plagued his career. At least until Addison Russell is ready to take over as the starting shortstop in Oakland, Lowrie's role with the A's should be stable, and he could simply move to second base upon Russell's arrival.
182 Xander Bogaerts (Bos - SS, 3B)
DL7
ADP: 182.7
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 18 44 7 1 5 1 .250
2014 Projections 125 482 75 13 47 23 .278
3 Year Average 18 44 7 1 5 1 .250
Outlook: Bogaerts played at three levels of the organization in 2013, including the final few months in Boston, where he earned regular playing time in the playoffs and World Series. He's the unquestioned top prospect in the organization and will have a full-time role when the upcoming campaign opens. Up until last season, Bogaerts was exclusively a shortstop, but the Red Sox had him train at third base next to Stephen Drew. It's presumed that he'll be the everyday shortstop with Drew out of the picture this year, though the Red Sox are interested in adding an infielder to the left side. His growth as a hitter in 2013 was displayed by increased patience and a knack for making in-game adjustments at the plate. The one knock on Bogaerts as a hitter was his aggressiveness, but he incorporated patience as part of his hitting plan last season, boosting his walk rate from 0.34 per game in 2012 to last year's 0.53. As we saw in the postseason, he drew some big walks in Boston's World Series run.
203 Jhonny Peralta (StL - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 202.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 107 409 50 11 55 3 .303
2014 Projections 125 486 61 14 60 1 .282
3 Year Average 134 488 59 15 68 1 .279
Outlook: Peralta’s 2013 campaign will always be remembered as the year he was slapped with a 50-game suspension, but lost in the off-field drama is the fact Peralta was well on his way to putting together one of the best seasons of his career. In his 107 appearances for the Tigers, Peralta hit a career-high .303 and posted the second-best OPS (.815) of his career. He also chipped in 11 home runs, 30 doubles, 55 RBI and 50 runs. All in all, Peralta bounced back nicely from a dreadful 2012 campaign. But there are some red flags about Peralta’s improvements at the plate. His .377 BABIP was easily a career-high and a rate he’s unlikely to approach again in 2014. Peralta’s plate discipline also remained an issue, as he finished with a 0.36 BB/K ratio and 21.9 percent strikeout rate. The Cardinals signed Peralta to a four-year deal in November to become their everyday shortstop, erasing concerns about a position change for at least a couple of seasons. Expect some regression in 2013, but Peralta should be able to avoid the lackluster production he posted in 2012 even with the league change, thanks in part to having another strong lineup around him to help secure his counting stats.
206 Jonathan Villar (Hou - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 217.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: --
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 58 210 26 1 8 18 .243
2014 Projections 136 518 67 2 21 43 .266
3 Year Average 58 210 26 1 8 18 .243
Outlook: Once the Astros realized that Ronny Cedeno wasn't cutting it as their starting shortstop, Villar was given an opportunity to show what he could do at the big league level. After displaying elite speed in the minors, the 22-year-old Dominican Republic native was extremely aggressive on the basepaths for Houston, swiping 18 bags in 54 games. He made some baserunning gaffes along the way (he was caught stealing eight times) and he didn't hit the ball particularly well (.243 batting average, 29.5 percent strikeout rate), but the switch-hitter showed good plate discipline (10 percent walk rate) while hitting from the leadoff and ninth spots in the batting order. With top prospect Carlos Correa still a few years away, Villar will be given an extended look in Houston this season. He should be a relatively cheap source of steals in 2014 drafts since he does not offer much outside of that category.
207 Erick Aybar (LAA - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 218.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 138 550 68 6 54 12 .271
2014 Projections 141 568 73 8 55 23 .285
3 Year Average 141 541 69 8 53 21 .279
Outlook: Aybar began 2013 with a stint on the disabled list due to heel soreness, and subsequently dealt with minor injuries to his knee, calf, and hamstring throughout the course of the season. Though the shortstop was able to log 589 plate appearances during the campaign, it may be said that these maladies contributed to a down year for Aybar, as the speedster stole just 12 bases, saw his slugging percentage dip below .400 for the first time since 2010, and posted a .301 on-base percentage, his worst mark since 2007. Aybar was able to finish his year on a positive note, slugging .447 in September, and looks to be a bounce-back candidate as he heads into 2014 with his legs healthy once again.
221 Brad Miller (Sea - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 218.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 76 306 41 8 36 5 .265
2014 Projections 137 538 72 14 60 8 .257
3 Year Average 76 306 41 8 36 5 .265
Outlook: Miller began last season at Double-A Jackson, was promoted to Triple-A Tacoma by late May and a month later found himself in Seattle for good. The quick rise was partly due to his crushing both of his minor-league stops and partly due to the Mariners' desperation for a shortstop who could produce more than the all-glove, no-bat Brendan Ryan. The left-handed Miller held his own as the team's leadoff hitter, flashing league-average power with a .153 ISO and mirroring his solid minor-league contact and strikeout rates. His walk rate dipped dramatically to 7.2 percent, which caused his OBP to take a big hit, however. He'll look for improvement in that area in 2014, as he will with his defense at shortstop, which is a work in progress.
257 Alcides Escobar (KC - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 221.3
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 158 607 57 4 52 22 .234
2014 Projections 152 615 67 4 48 26 .254
3 Year Average 157 587 65 4 50 28 .261
Outlook: After Escobar's breakout campaign in 2012 there were two very distinct camps -- those who believed he was taking his game to the next level and those who believed that he overachieved and wouldn’t be able to duplicate those numbers in 2013. The doubters received their validation as Escobar struggled to match his 2012 totals despite playing in three more games. The root of Escobar's decline can be found in two statistical regressions: a drop in his BABIP, which went from .344 to .264, and a spike in fly balls at the expense of his ground ball rate. Lazy fly balls and bad bounces do not couple well with a poor walk rate and the results are found in a plummeting batting average and subpar on-base percentage. He is fully capable of bouncing back though with a bit more patience at the plate and fewer swings outside the zone, two adjustments not outside the realm of possibility. With even just a slight rebound he could pull his rate stats back up and, coupled with his stolen base potential, return to top-10 shortstop status.
270 Derek Jeter (NYY - SS, DH)
Healthy
ADP: 206.6
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 17 63 8 1 7 0 .190
2014 Projections 104 412 54 5 34 7 .272
3 Year Average 102 431 64 7 42 8 .302
Outlook: In the end, 2013 was a totally lost season for Jeter, as he never really bounced back from the fractured ankle he suffered in the 2012 postseason, and he was plagued by a series of leg injuries when he did try to return. There haven't been many 40-year-old starting shortstops at any point in major league history, but Jeter is only one year removed from a four-win season in 2012, when he hit .316 with 15 homers. Much like his long-time teammate Mariano Rivera, Jeter is likely to be highly motivated to put up one more good year before calling it a career. Don't expect many steals at this point, but Jeter could still put up decent average and runs scored numbers in 2014. Just be careful not to overpay for his name value.
284 Stephen Drew (NYY - SS, 2B)
Healthy
ADP: 221.8
CHG: 0.0
Depth: 2B-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 124 442 57 13 67 6 .253
2014 Projections -- -- -- -- -- -- --
3 Year Average 96 350 46 8 47 4 .246
Outlook: Drew had a nice bounce-back season in 2013 that should get him a multi-year offer. His percentages don't jump out, but his 13 homers and 67 RBI were among the best at his position, and his glove played well all year long. In between a dreadful April (.154) and his epic struggles in the postseason (6-for-54, 19 strikeouts), Drew was a pretty competent hitter in the lower third of Boston's order. An average hitter with good pop for a shortstop, Drew should be a safe selection in fantasy leagues as long as a finds a home.
285 Zack Cozart (Cin - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 221.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 151 567 74 12 63 0 .254
2014 Projections 97 393 50 9 31 1 .242
3 Year Average 100 388 51 10 34 1 .253
Outlook: Cozart's continued presence in the second spot in the lineup consistently undermined the Reds' offense. He had 264 at-bats in that spot in the lineup, putting up a .254/.284/.367 line while batting between Shin-Soo Choo and Joey Votto. He wasn't any better elsewhere in the lineup, but at least then he wasn't actively diluting the top of the order. Making matters worse from a fantasy perspective, he didn't attempt any stolen bases. While his double-digit home run power makes him useful, Cozart doesn't seem to have too high of a ceiling.
292 Yunel Escobar (TB - SS)
Healthy
ADP: 221.2
CHG: 0.0
Depth: SS-1
G AB R HR RBI SB AVG
2013 Season 153 508 61 9 56 4 .256
2014 Projections 143 554 65 10 49 4 .269
3 Year Average 144 526 65 10 52 4 .266
Outlook: Escobar, who hit .256/.332/.366 with nine home runs and 56 RBI last year, was one of the best of the Rays' sneaky pickups over the past few seasons. Acquired in an offseason trade with the Marlins, he brought a stable balance on offense and defense at shortstop. He had a few droughts of power, but he played in a career-high 153 games. Despite the lack of huge power and his placement near the bottom of the batting order, he is a decent source of RBI. After nearly winning a Gold Glove Award this past season, he will return as the everyday shortstop for the Rays in 2014.
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