NCAA BK

Best values, busts in tourney odds

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NCAA tournament future bets are for suckers.

Vegas sportsbooks must love them.

Since 1998, the past 15 tourney champions have been at least a top-three seed. The biggest underdog to take home a title was Rollie Massimino's No. 8-seeded Villanova Wildcats, who shocked the world with a 66-64 win over Patrick Ewing and top-ranked Georgetown in 1985 (Internet research shows the Hoyas were favored by 10 points, but we can’t confirm).

Again, we don't suggest it, but if you must bet on an NCAA future, these are the best values.

Odds are provided by Las Vegas Hotel & Casino on vegasinsider.com.

• No. 4 seed Michigan — 18-1: If the hype about the Big Ten being the best conference is true, the Wolverines make a lot of sense here. They play their first two games in nearby Auburn Hills vs. South Dakota State in the second round and the VCU-Akron winner in the third round. If they can get past a likely Sweet 16 opponent in top seed Kansas, there's no telling how far this team with NBA bloodlines (Tim Hardaway Jr., Glen Robinson III and Jon Horford) can go.   

• No. 4 seed Syracuse — 30-1: The Orange made it to the Big East final before bowing out to overall No. 1 seed Louisville, and they beat the then-No. 1 Cards on Jan. 19. Sure Jim Boeheim's club has to travel to San Jose, Calif., for games against Montana and the winner of UNLV-California, no easy task. But if the Orange can advance to the Sweet 16 in DC and knock off potential foe Indiana — some revenge for 1987? — at 30-1, this is a decent value bet. 

• No. 7 seed Creighton — 100-1: Here's your Cinderella. Doug McDermott is the No. 2 scorer in the nation, averaging 23.1 points. If one player can lead a team to Atlanta, this is the guy. The Bluejays open with Cincinnati, would probably get Duke in the third round and likely face Michigan State or Memphis in the Sweet 16. Then it's a potential bout with Louisville in the Elite Eight. But hey, you never know.

• No. 7 seed Notre Dame — 100-1: Our top suggestion! The Irish's ugly uniforms are enough to throw off opponents, though they might break your TV picture, too. With Jack Cooley and Jerian Grant leading the charge, victories over Iowa State, Ohio State and Arizona/New Mexico don't seem far-fetched. Besides, at 100-1, why not carry over your luck from St. Patrick's Day.

Futures not worth betting on — you're better off playing the spreads for each game.

• No. 1 seed Indiana — 7-1: These kind of bets are mostly made by alumni. Despite losing three of their past six, the Hoosiers might win it all, but at 7-1, is it really worth it?

• No. 2 seed Duke — 8-1: Seriously? Did you see what the Blue Devils did in last year's tourney? It didn't last long, losing to 15th-seeded Lehigh. Coach K's team should last longer than the first game, but potential bumps in the road include Creighton (see McDermott above) in the third round and Michigan State or Memphis in the Sweet 16.

• No. 1 seed Gonzaga — 12-1: The Zags shouldn't be a No. 1 seed, considering whom they play in the regular season. Not to take anything from Mark Few's Bulldogs, they're not afraid to play anybody — teams just don't want to schedule Gonzaga or travel to Spokane, Wash., in the regular season. But honestly, the Zags could be the first No. 1 seed to lose its NCAA tourney opener.

• Any team at 1,000-1: No. 11 seeds Saint Mary's and Belmont, No. 13 seeds La Salle and Boise State and No. 14 seed Davidson have no chance. You can dream of that 1,000-1 payoff, but forget it. Forget it. You have a better chance of winning the Powerball.

 

2013 NCAA Tournament Odds
Louisville
4.5-1
Indiana
7-1
Duke
8-1
Florida
8-1
Miami
8-1
Kansas
10-1
Gonzaga
12-1
Ohio State
15-1
Michigan State
18-1
Michigan
18-1
Georgetown
18-1
Wisconsin
25-1
Syracuse
30-1
Saint Louis
30-1
New Mexico
30-1
Marquette
40-1
Pittsburgh
50-1
Arizona
50-1
North Carolina
50-1
VCU
50-1
NC State
60-1
Kansas State
60-1
Missouri
75-1
Oklahoma St.
100-1
Minnesota
100-1
Notre Dame
100-1
UNLV
100-1
Memphis
100-1
Creighton
100-1
Butler
100-1
UCLA
100-1
Oregon
100-1
Illinois
200-1
Colorado
300-1
Cincinnati
300-1
San Diego St.
300-1
Wichita State
300-1
California
300-1
Temple
500-1
Villanova
500-1
Iowa State
500-1
Colorado State
500-1
Oklahoma
500-1
Mississippi
500-1
Saint Mary's
1000-1
Davidson
1000-1
Belmont
1000-1
La Salle
1000-1
Boise State
1000-1
FIELD
150-1

Tagged: Louisville, Arizona, Indiana, Kansas, Gonzaga, Michigan, Tim Hardaway Jr., Memphis, Michigan State, Duke, Creighton, Lehigh, Notre Dame, Doug McDermott, Butler

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