Predicting the NCAA tournament bracket

For the past four years, Chris Kulenych and Craig Gately of Bracketology 101 have been the most accurate bracketologists in the country. Their “projection-prediction” model is not based on the season ending today. Instead, it takes into account what teams have done so far and factors in future results as well. For more analysis of their weekly bracket and to read their daily content, please visit Bracketology 101.



Seed Team Comment
at New Orleans
1   Kentucky Wildcats have real title shot in Year One of Calipari era.
16  East Tennessee State The Buccaneers won what was a crazy Atlantic Sun tourney.
8 Oklahoma State The Cowboys were never in the game against Kansas State.
9 Saint Mary’s The Gaels picked a perfect time to finally beat Gonzaga.
at Spokane
5  Maryland The red-hot Terps were probably due for a loss.
12  Cornell They could be as high as a 10 seed or as low as a 13 on Sunday.
4  Pittsburgh Pitt fell victim again to the double bye jinx.
13 Houston Houston’s upset win in C-USA burst a few bubbles.
at San Jose
6  BYU Lack of an out-of-conference resume hurts the Cougars.
11 Virginia Tech A loss to Miami was the last thing the Hokies needed.
3  Purdue Blowout loss in Big Ten semis will be costly
14  Montana Anthony Johnson (42 points) sent the Grizz dancing on his own.
at Milwaukee
7  California The Bears will be a tough team to seed on Sunday.
10 Utah State The Aggies have won their last four by 27.3 ppg.
2  Georgetown Hoyas will be a trendy Final Four pick
15 Vermont Could Catamounts spring another first-round shocker?




Seed Team Comment
at Buffalo
1  Syracuse Winning Big East by two games should still ensure a 1 seed.
16 Winthrop The Eagles are going dancing for the fourth time in five years.
8  Northern Iowa The Panthers are dancing for the fifth time in seven years.
9 Florida State Loss to N.C. State ruined the chance at a real good seed.
at New Orleans
5  Baylor The Bears could have been a 3 if they had beaten Kansas State.
12  Minnesota Run to Big Ten title game sealed deal for Gophers
4  Vanderbilt Vandy could have moved up with a trip to the SEC final.
13  Oakland Derick Nelson’s 36 points sent the Grizzlies to the dance.
at Providence
6 Texas A&M Gaudy RPI but no real great wins.
11 Louisville The Cardinals got outmuscled by Cincinnati in the second half.
3  Temple The Owls would have helped the A-10 by losing to URI.
14  Wofford The Terriers are going dancing for the first time.
at Milwaukee
7  UNLV The Rebels are taking care of business on their home floor.
10 Wake Forest Wake’s free-fall will likely end with a double-digit seed.
2  Ohio State The Buckeyes are the favorite to win the Big Ten tourney.
15 North Texas The Mean Green are dancing for the first time since 2007.




Seed Team Comment
at Jacksonville
1  Duke It’s an easy road to an ACC title now for the Blue Devils.
16 Lehigh/
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
The Mountain Hawks are dancing for the first time since 2004.
8 Notre Dame Luck of the Irish ran out against West Virginia.
9  Missouri The loss to Nebraska knocks the Tigers down a seed line.
at Jacksonville
5  Michigan State Their thin resume looks even thinner after loss to Minnesota.
12 Washington Winning Pac-10 title makes Sunday less stressful  for UW.
4 Tennessee The Vols ended Mississippi’s chances at an at-large.
13 Siena It wasn’t easy, but the Saints are dancing for a third straight year.
at Providence
6 Xavier The second-half comeback ended Dayton’s tourney run.
11 San Diego State The Aztecs locked up a bid even before they won the MWC title.
3  Villanova The Wildcats enter the NCAA tourney having lost five of seven.
14 Ohio Ohio zipped past the Zips in the MAC final.
at Oklahoma City
7 Gonzaga The ‘Zags can forget about playing in Spokane now.
10 UTEP We’ve given up looking for a C-USA bid-stealer.
2  Kansas State The Wildcats hung tough vs. Kansas … again.
15  Sam Houston The Bearkats survived a scare in the Southland semis.




Seed Team Comment
at Oklahoma City
1  Kansas The Jayhawks have to be considered the tourney favorite.
16 Robert Morris The Colonials are going dancing for the second straight year.
8  Clemson Loss to N.C. State drops them back to the dreaded 8/9 game.
9  Marquette The Golden Eagles ran out of gas in the second half against Georgetown.
at Spokane
5 Butler The Bulldogs made sure there’d be no Horizon bid-stealer.
12  New Mexico State Upset WAC winner is ruining things for bubble teams.
4  Wisconsin The Badgers have great OOC resume, but stumbled a little down stretch.
13 Murray State The OVC champs could be as high as a 12 on Selection Sunday.
at San Jose
6 Richmond Win over Xavier was for second-best in the A-10.
11  Georgia Tech Their 7-9 ACC record doesn’t matter anymore after win over Terps.
3  New Mexico Semifinal loss to SDSU ended hopes at a No. 2 seed.
14 UC Santa Barbara The Gauchos held off Long Beach State to earn bid.
at Buffalo
7 Texas Not many had the Longhorns seeded here when the season began.
10  Old Dominion The Monarchs’ win was great news for the rest of the bubble.
2  West Virginia No one is playing better than the Mountaineers right now.
15  Morgan State The top-seeded Bears earned  the MEAC auto bid.
The last schools in: Minnesota, UTEP, Utah State, Virginia Tech
The last schools out: Florida, Illinois, Mississippi State, Seton Hall